sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,926

Niseko

0x801…d8e0
WhaleWR 60+1y+WeatherCryptoSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$2,518vol $7.23M
PnL 30d−$9,785gains $13.6k · losses $32.4k
PnL 7d−$4,134win rate 7d 63.3%
Win rate67.9%adj 67.2% · 30d 62.8%
Open value$20.6kcash n/a
Positions20 / 2,045open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.8ylast trade 4h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$59.1kbelow peak −$105kOct 11

SharpScore inputs

53/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale49
Adjusted win rateraw 67.9% · shrunk toward 50%68
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 20

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes78.0k68.8¢14.5¢$11.3k−$42.4k−$1,202
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes5,00077.3¢43.5¢$2,172−$1,694$0
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes19.6k46.1¢11¢$2,153−$6,866$0
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes18.1k59.9¢6.5¢$1,179−$9,698$0
Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027?No90076.2¢91.5¢$823+$137$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes6,00077.7¢13.5¢$810−$3,850$0
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 12?Down1,60050.2¢46.5¢$744−$59$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes4,00046¢14.5¢$580−$1,260$0
Ethereum Up or Down on October 12?Up40052¢59.5¢$238+$30$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 10?No10089¢100¢$100+$11$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 10?No10096.9¢100¢$100+$3.06$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 11?No10089¢100¢$100+$11$0
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 10?No10071¢99.9¢$100+$29$0
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 12?No10095¢92.5¢$93−$2.50$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 12?No10069.7¢69¢$69−$0.69$0
Trump out as President before 2027?No882.5¢96.5¢$8.14+$1.17+$472
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 11?No10085¢0.1¢$0.10−$85$0
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 9?No5065¢0.1¢$0.05−$32$0
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 9?Yes5067.9¢0.1¢$0.05−$34$0
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 11?Down80050¢0¢$0−$400$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY Manchester City FCSpread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)94¢1,000$94068%53
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 12?69.7¢100$7068%53
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down on October 12?50.7¢437$22268%53
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down on October 12?51¢4$2.1968%53
BUY UpEthereum Up or Down on October 12?52¢400$20868%53
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down on October 12?50¢39$2068%53
BUY NoWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 12?95¢100$9568%53
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down on October 12?50¢40$2068%53
BUY UpEthereum Up or Down on October 11?48.7¢129$6368%53
BUY UpEthereum Up or Down on October 11?52¢266$13968%53
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 11?89¢100$8968%53
BUY NoWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 11?85¢100$8568%53
BUY UpEthereum Up or Down on October 10?59¢235$13968%53
BUY UpEthereum Up or Down on October 10?57¢265$15168%53
BUY UpEthereum Up or Down on October 10?57¢300$17168%53
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down on October 10?50¢5$2.5068%53
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 10?89¢100$8968%53
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 10?96.9¢100$9768%53
BUY NoWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 10?71¢100$7168%53
BUY DownEthereum Up or Down on October 9?55¢400$22068%53