| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 2,716 | 93.3¢ | 96.2¢ | $2,611 | +$79 | +$49 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 3,628 | 68¢ | 71.6¢ | $2,598 | +$130 | $0 | |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 2,648 | 93.3¢ | 96.1¢ | $2,543 | +$72 | $0 | |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 2,671 | 72.8¢ | 76.5¢ | $2,043 | +$98 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 5,023 | 48¢ | 36.5¢ | $1,833 | −$578 | $0 | |
| Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals? | No | 2,709 | 90¢ | 52.5¢ | $1,422 | −$1,016 | −$2.28 | |
| Will Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026? | Yes | 1,737 | 76.5¢ | 79.5¢ | $1,381 | +$52 | +$0.31 | |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | No | 1,748 | 73¢ | 71.5¢ | $1,250 | −$26 | $0 | |
| Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? | No | 1,255 | 97¢ | 98.6¢ | $1,237 | +$21 | $0 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? | No | 3,365 | 49.6¢ | 34.5¢ | $1,161 | −$509 | −$0.73 | |
| Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | No | 884 | 62¢ | 63.5¢ | $561 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by October 31? | No | 647 | 87.9¢ | 86¢ | $557 | −$12 | +$0.15 | |
| Will Scott Wiener win the CA-11 House seat? | Yes | 708 | 61.4¢ | 75.5¢ | $535 | +$100 | +$14 | |
| Will Novak Djokovic announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 534 | 96.5¢ | 92.7¢ | $495 | −$20 | $0 | |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | No | 544 | 84.2¢ | 85.5¢ | $465 | +$6.84 | −$128 | |
| Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? | No | 438 | 81.5¢ | 97.1¢ | $425 | +$68 | $0 | |
| Will Waymo launch in Seattle, WA by December 31 2026? | No | 372 | 88.6¢ | 94¢ | $350 | +$20 | +$12 | |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company? | No | 352 | 85.8¢ | 91.5¢ | $322 | +$20 | +$0.30 | |
| Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | No | 344 | 90.2¢ | 90.8¢ | $312 | +$1.95 | +$0.29 | |
| Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 House seat? | Yes | 379 | 82.2¢ | 82¢ | $311 | −$0.75 | −$0.02 | |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 833 | 44.5¢ | 36.5¢ | $304 | −$67 | $0 | |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 2,580 | 7.5¢ | 11.5¢ | $297 | +$103 | +$0.44 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-09 House seat? | Yes | 285 | 94¢ | 98.8¢ | $282 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by December 31? | No | 347 | 80.7¢ | 80¢ | $278 | −$2.55 | $0 | |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI? | No | 315 | 80.7¢ | 86.5¢ | $272 | +$18 | $0 | |
| Iman Vellani as Ms. Marvel? | Yes | 353 | 62.8¢ | 75.5¢ | $267 | +$45 | −$2.17 | |
| Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026? | No | 316 | 75¢ | 80¢ | $253 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Will Luz Rivas win the CA-29 House seat? | Yes | 265 | 87.7¢ | 94¢ | $249 | +$17 | $0 | |
| U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026? | No | 255 | 63.1¢ | 86¢ | $220 | +$59 | +$2.31 | |
| Brie Larson as Captain Marvel? | Yes | 442 | 39¢ | 49.5¢ | $219 | +$46 | +$53 | |
| Will Waymo launch in San Diego, CA by December 31 2026? | Yes | 265 | 76.5¢ | 78.5¢ | $208 | +$5.35 | +$8.76 | |
| Will Doris Matsui win the CA-07 House seat? | Yes | 344 | 51.7¢ | 58.5¢ | $201 | +$23 | $0 | |
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | No | 221 | 78.5¢ | 88.5¢ | $196 | +$22 | $0 | |
| Will Ken Martin cease to be DNC Chair by December 31, 2026? | No | 268 | 65.6¢ | 72.5¢ | $194 | +$19 | $0 | |
| Will Pedro Pascal be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 240 | 72.4¢ | 80.2¢ | $192 | +$19 | $0 | |
| Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | No | 200 | 89.4¢ | 95.4¢ | $191 | +$12 | +$0.88 | |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1,507 | 40¢ | 12.5¢ | $188 | −$414 | $0 | |
| Will Trump pardon Roger Ver before 2027? | No | 192 | 89.5¢ | 94.6¢ | $181 | +$9.65 | +$0.04 | |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 204 | 68.1¢ | 88.5¢ | $181 | +$42 | $0 | |
| Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? | No | 192 | 87¢ | 93.4¢ | $180 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? | No | 198 | 87.5¢ | 88.5¢ | $175 | +$1.93 | $0 | |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? | Yes | 190 | 36¢ | 90.6¢ | $172 | +$104 | $0 | |
| Will Kirsten Gillibrand vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | No | 178 | 87¢ | 92.5¢ | $165 | +$9.79 | +$0.13 | |
| Will Sporting CP win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship? | No | 163 | 76¢ | 93¢ | $152 | +$28 | +$4.35 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada Attorney General election? | Yes | 188 | 74.1¢ | 80.5¢ | $151 | +$12 | +$7.56 | |
| Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | 907 | 14.7¢ | 16.5¢ | $150 | +$16 | +$1.14 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 170 | 35.7¢ | 86.9¢ | $148 | +$87 | $0 | |
| Will Angela Gonzales-Torres win the CA-34 House seat? | Yes | 199 | 73¢ | 74¢ | $147 | +$2.07 | +$50 | |
| Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 458 | 35.7¢ | 32¢ | $146 | −$17 | +$2.36 | |
| League City, Texas passes ballot measure approving the police use of Flock Cameras? | Yes | 190 | 50¢ | 76¢ | $144 | +$49 | $0 | |
| Will María Corina Machado be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? | No | 147 | 95.1¢ | 96.5¢ | $142 | +$2.01 | $0 | |
| Will Ella Langley win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Yes | 239 | 64¢ | 58.5¢ | $140 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Will Miami win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship? | No | 145 | 91.6¢ | 96¢ | $139 | +$6.38 | $0 | |
| Will Waymo launch in Tampa, FL by December 31 2026? | Yes | 174 | 80.2¢ | 76.6¢ | $133 | −$6.14 | +$8.81 | |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? | Yes | 878 | 11.7¢ | 14.8¢ | $130 | +$27 | +$72 | |
| Will "Fatherland" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 135 | 84¢ | 91.8¢ | $124 | +$10 | $0 | |
| Will over 58 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | No | 129 | 81.5¢ | 93.5¢ | $121 | +$15 | +$4.71 | |
| Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas, NV by December 31 2026? | Yes | 162 | 72.8¢ | 74¢ | $120 | +$1.93 | +$5.58 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont Lieutenant Governor election? | Yes | 128 | 90¢ | 92.5¢ | $118 | +$3.20 | $0 | |
| Will Carolyn Parrish win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election? | Yes | 240 | 47.6¢ | 47.5¢ | $114 | −$0.27 | −$0.50 | |
| Will Ken Welch win the St. Petersburg mayoral election? | No | 125 | 90.3¢ | 90.4¢ | $113 | +$0.12 | $0 | |
| Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election? | Yes | 123 | 85¢ | 90¢ | $111 | +$6.15 | $0 | |
| Will Michigan State win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship? | No | 114 | 90¢ | 96.6¢ | $110 | +$7.52 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? | No | 236 | 46¢ | 44.5¢ | $105 | −$3.54 | +$0.72 | |
| Will St. John's win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship? | No | 109 | 92¢ | 95.5¢ | $104 | +$3.76 | $0 | |
| Will Raphael Warnock vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | No | 114 | 87¢ | 91.1¢ | $104 | +$4.62 | $0 | |
| Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? | No | 997 | 27.5¢ | 10¢ | $100 | −$175 | −$0.02 | |
| Will Iowa State win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship? | No | 100 | 94.9¢ | 97.2¢ | $97 | +$2.25 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat? | Yes | 192 | 45.1¢ | 45.5¢ | $87 | +$0.70 | +$0.60 | |
| Will Waymo launch in Washington, DC by December 31 2026? | No | 91 | 83.3¢ | 95¢ | $87 | +$11 | +$3.07 | |
| Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader? | No | 156 | 62.1¢ | 53.5¢ | $83 | −$13 | $0 | |
| US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31? | No | 90 | 87.3¢ | 90.5¢ | $81 | +$2.83 | $0 | |
| Will Caleb Downs win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | No | 80 | 93.7¢ | 95.8¢ | $77 | +$1.68 | $0 | |
| Will Waymo launch in Sacramento, CA by December 31 2026? | Yes | 628 | 20.6¢ | 12¢ | $75 | −$54 | −$12 | |
| Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine? | No | 101 | 0¢ | 69.5¢ | $70 | +$70 | $0 | |
| Will Arch Manning be the first overall pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft? | No | 79 | 78¢ | 88.5¢ | $70 | +$8.29 | $0 | |
| Will Canada have an Ebola case in 2026? | No | 77 | 84¢ | 90¢ | $69 | +$4.62 | $0 | |
| Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 950 | 5.5¢ | 7¢ | $66 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.? | Yes | 268 | 14.2¢ | 23.5¢ | $63 | +$25 | −$2.11 | |
| Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 1,022 | 3¢ | 6.1¢ | $62 | +$32 | +$10 | |
| Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader? | Yes | 248 | 34.6¢ | 25¢ | $62 | −$24 | $0 | |
| Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026? | Yes | 94 | 64¢ | 65¢ | $61 | +$0.94 | +$0.90 | |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Anthropic PBC? | Yes | 464 | 9.6¢ | 13¢ | $60 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Will there be between 120m and 125m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections? | Yes | 365 | 17.2¢ | 16.5¢ | $60 | −$2.67 | $0 | |
| Will Connie Chan win the CA-11 House seat? | No | 72 | 59.5¢ | 79¢ | $57 | +$14 | +$8.72 | |
| Will Chicago Bears advance to the NFC Championship Game in the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | Yes | 221 | 5¢ | 25.5¢ | $56 | +$45 | +$4.59 | |
| Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange? | Yes | 64 | 83.8¢ | 86¢ | $55 | +$1.39 | +$13 | |
| Will Eric Jones win the CA-04 House seat? | Yes | 305 | 18.8¢ | 17.5¢ | $53 | −$3.95 | +$55 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Attorney General election? | Yes | 202 | 12¢ | 25.5¢ | $52 | +$27 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Attorney General election? | Yes | 171 | 17¢ | 29.5¢ | $50 | +$21 | $0 | |
| Will Rob Howard win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election? | No | 77 | 85¢ | 64.1¢ | $49 | −$16 | $0 | |
| Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop? | Yes | 57 | 75.1¢ | 82.5¢ | $47 | +$4.21 | −$5.16 | |
| US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026? | Yes | 442 | 10.6¢ | 10.5¢ | $46 | −$0.63 | $0 | |
| Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? | Yes | 83 | 50¢ | 54.5¢ | $45 | +$3.73 | +$0.52 | |
| Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Yes | 100 | 29¢ | 44.5¢ | $45 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Will Monterrey win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? | No | 45 | 92.4¢ | 95.2¢ | $43 | +$1.24 | $0 | |
| Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 519 | 7¢ | 8.1¢ | $42 | +$5.42 | +$0.02 | |
| Will Michigan win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship? | No | 40 | 92.1¢ | 96.4¢ | $39 | +$1.70 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Indiana Secretary of State election? | Yes | 91 | 38¢ | 41.5¢ | $38 | +$3.19 | +$0.17 | |
| Benedict Wong as Wong? | No | 132 | 21¢ | 28.5¢ | $38 | +$9.90 | +$2.53 | |