sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,221

Specksalam

0x80f…3ccd
WhaleWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$1,177vol $740k
PnL 30d+$1,633gains $5,573 · losses $6,614
PnL 7d+$4,629win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate82.5%adj 74.0% · 30d 61.5%
Open value$114kcash n/a
Positions46 / 105open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age5molast trade 1h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$4,415below peak −$11.3kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

45/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale44
Adjusted win rateraw 82.5% · shrunk toward 50%85
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable67
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 46

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes46.7k82.4¢86.5¢$40.4k+$1,935−$1,535
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No19.4k80.7¢83.5¢$16.2k+$543+$18
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No13.1k91.5¢92¢$12.0k+$61$0
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No14.2k78¢78.5¢$11.2k+$70$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No10.3k87.6¢85.5¢$8,788−$212$0
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes12.0k59¢62.5¢$7,500+$420$0
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No7,61284.8¢91¢$6,927+$470$0
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes12.8k28.7¢29.5¢$3,770+$97$0
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes6,00041.9¢52.3¢$3,138+$625+$694
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes4,00045¢44.5¢$1,780−$20$0
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?Yes4,38431.2¢30.5¢$1,337−$31$0
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?Yes4,03032.6¢28.5¢$1,149−$166$0
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?No23486¢94¢$220+$19$0
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes6,00011.1¢2.3¢$135−$531$0
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?No14092¢89.5¢$125−$3.50$0
Will the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government?Yes28154.6¢33.5¢$94−$59$0
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?No3073¢87.5¢$26+$4.36$0
Will Reps lose Senate Seat in any Trump+10 State and win in a Kamala State?No2055¢49¢$9.80−$1.20$0
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No13.3k83.3¢0¢$0−$11.1k−$6.03
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes12.0k8.4¢0¢$0−$1,008−$28
Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?No10.7k36.7¢0¢$0−$3,939$0
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes10,00010¢0¢$0−$1,000$0
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes6,20016.1¢0¢$0−$998−$25
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?Yes5,2810.5¢0¢$0−$26$0
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes4,5802.4¢0¢$0−$111−$1.96
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?Yes4,3007¢0¢$0−$301$0
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?No4,21018¢0¢$0−$758$0
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?Yes3,07713¢0¢$0−$400$0
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceAustralia2,50043¢0¢$0−$1,075$0
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?Yes2,10031¢0¢$0−$651$0
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?No2,00016.6¢0¢$0−$332$0
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?No2,00039¢0¢$0−$780−$14
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?No2,00012¢0¢$0−$240$0
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?No2,00032¢0¢$0−$640$0
Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No1,80041¢0¢$0−$738$0
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No1,8008¢0¢$0−$144$0
Will France win on 2026-06-26?No1,50040¢0¢$0−$600−$11
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?Yes1,5004¢0¢$0−$60$0
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceCanada1,50028.7¢0¢$0−$430$0
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?Yes1,3877¢0¢$0−$97$0
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?No1,35037¢0¢$0−$499$0
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?Yes90022¢0¢$0−$198$0
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?No80021¢0¢$0−$168$0
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?No80033¢0¢$0−$264$0
Will England win on 2026-07-01?No70053¢0¢$0−$371$0
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Yes334¢0¢$0−$1.31$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?86¢1,235$1,06283%45
BUY YesPerim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?31.5¢4,000$1,26083%45
BUY NoWill a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?86¢1$0.6583%45
SELL NoWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?95¢8,900$8,45583%45
BUY YesPerim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?28¢334$9483%45
BUY YesWill the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government?53.6¢76$4183%45
BUY NoUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?87¢2,629$2,28783%45
BUY NoUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?89¢2,900$2,58183%45
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?95¢494$46983%45
BUY NoWill Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?44¢169$7583%45
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?95¢8,900$8,45583%45
BUY NoUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?87¢10.0k$8,70083%45
BUY YesWill Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?85.9¢12.7k$10.9k83%45Whale
BUY YesWill Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?81.9¢8,505$6,96883%45
BUY NoWill Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?21¢762$16083%45
BUY YesWill Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?83.6¢6,874$5,74683%45
SELL NoWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?95¢6$5.7183%45
SELL NoWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?95.1¢5$4.7683%45
SELL NoWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?95.1¢5$4.7683%45
BUY YesWill Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?76¢4,895$3,72083%45