sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #3,896

merlen

0x826…edde@merezanij
WR 60+CryptoSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$7,928vol $499k
PnL 30d−$831gains $894 · losses $2.24
PnL 7d+$93win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate64.5%adj 63.4% · 30d 80.0%
Open value$2,971cash n/a
Positions84 / 339open / all-time
Max drawdown−33.1%of equity peak
Account age12molast trade 10d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$7,038below peak −$2,473Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

63/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale56
Adjusted win rateraw 64.5% · shrunk toward 50%59
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable84
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d63
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity67

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 84

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?No3,75557.5¢41¢$1,539−$621+$2.75
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?No1,38639.6¢41.5¢$575+$26+$31
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?No38668¢72.2¢$278+$16$0
Multipli.fi FDV above $150M one day after launch?No52635.8¢25.5¢$134−$54+$2.90
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?No63360¢17.5¢$111−$269$0
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?No81148.7¢13.5¢$109−$285+$193
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?No80032.4¢9.2¢$73−$186+$149
Multipli.fi FDV above $100M one day after launch?No44916.2¢11¢$49−$23+$44
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes1,1509.9¢3.2¢$36−$78$0
Cambria FDV above $40M one day after launch?Yes8440¢39¢$33−$0.84+$11
Ethereal FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes18236¢17.5¢$32−$34−$5.23
Billions FDV above $50M one day after launch?No2,2669¢0¢$0−$204−$22
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes2,0000.7¢0¢$0−$14$0
Will Opinion launch a token on March 9?Yes1,4461.6¢0¢$0−$24+$0.48
Nexus FDV above $300M one day after launch?No1,37623.5¢0¢$0−$324+$8.87
Nexus FDV above $200M one day after launch?No1,35515¢0¢$0−$203−$33
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?No1,2221.6¢0¢$0−$19−$22
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?No1,20416.3¢0¢$0−$196$0
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?No1,13529¢0¢$0−$329−$3.83
Will Opinion launch a token on March 11?Yes1,1330.4¢0¢$0−$4.53+$0.73
Will Opinion launch a token on March 3?Yes1,1141.7¢0¢$0−$19+$0.57
Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?No1,1005¢0¢$0−$55+$22
Squid FDV above $150M one day after launchYes1,03612.4¢0¢$0−$129−$7.10
Will Opinion launch a token on March 2?Yes1,0001.5¢0¢$0−$15$0
Will Opinion launch a token on March 6?Yes9002.7¢0¢$0−$24$0
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?Yes8883¢0¢$0−$27$0
Will ZachXBT release his investigation on February 26?No8504.3¢0¢$0−$37$0
Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes8417.2¢0¢$0−$61$0
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?No82111.4¢0¢$0−$94$0
Will Opinion launch a token on March 10?Yes7941.5¢0¢$0−$12$0
GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes6856.1¢0¢$0−$42−$1.69
Squid FDV above $300M one day after launchYes6003¢0¢$0−$18−$1.22
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No58041¢0¢$0−$238−$4.80
Citrea FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes54226¢0¢$0−$141−$70
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes50011¢0¢$0−$55−$1.47
Squid FDV above $50M one day after launchNo49117.3¢0¢$0−$85−$11
Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?Yes43056.5¢0¢$0−$243−$354
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?No4000.3¢0¢$0−$1.20+$35
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?No4000.5¢0¢$0−$2.00+$747
OneFootball FDV above $20M one day after launch?No4004.8¢0¢$0−$19$0
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-01-29?No40053¢0¢$0−$212$0
Over 30,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?Yes40017.5¢0¢$0−$70−$32
Espresso FDV above $100M one day after launch?No4007.3¢0¢$0−$29+$43
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No4004.5¢0¢$0−$18$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 22?Yes3008¢0¢$0−$24$0
Aligned FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes29345.2¢0¢$0−$132$0
Will Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?No2333¢0¢$0−$6.99−$11
Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes2006.4¢0¢$0−$13+$11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 13?Yes1603.2¢0¢$0−$5.12$0
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1514.9¢0¢$0−$7.38−$0.55
Over $60M committed to the Jumper public sale?Yes1502.5¢0¢$0−$3.75−$0.26
Will Elina Svitolina win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?Yes1505.8¢0¢$0−$8.69$0
Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes13510.4¢0¢$0−$14−$0.49
OneFootball FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes13523¢0¢$0−$31−$9.91
Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1208.2¢0¢$0−$9.84−$0.45
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?Yes12055¢0¢$0−$66−$0.89
Enzo Fernández: 2+ shotsYes10040¢0¢$0−$40$0
Will Aston Villa win on 2026-08-12?Yes10017.2¢0¢$0−$17−$0.71
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?Yes10042.3¢0¢$0−$42$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETDown10041¢0¢$0−$41−$1.69
Over $200M committed to the Printr public sale?Yes1005¢0¢$0−$5.00+$5.35
Cap FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes10038¢0¢$0−$38$0
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Spain?Yes1009¢0¢$0−$9.00−$0.41
CS2 market cap reaches 6 billion again by December 31, 2025?Yes10010¢0¢$0−$10$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 29?Yes10035¢0¢$0−$35$0
Lamine Yamal: 4+ shotsYes10042¢0¢$0−$42$0
Désiré Doué: 1+ goalsYes10022¢0¢$0−$22−$0.86
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No10034¢0¢$0−$34−$0.67
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvancePortugal10034¢0¢$0−$34−$0.67
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes985.4¢0¢$0−$5.31−$281
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Yes9038¢0¢$0−$34−$0.64
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 3 WinnerNatus Vincere7027¢0¢$0−$19−$0.41
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-08?No6068.3¢0¢$0−$41+$0.16
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals PlayoffsNatus Vincere6012¢0¢$0−$7.20−$0.19
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ5054¢0¢$0−$27−$2.00
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?Yes5038¢0¢$0−$19−$0.35
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreYes5054¢0¢$0−$27−$0.62
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-08?No5019¢0¢$0−$9.50−$0.38
Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?No4346¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will Iceland win on 2025-11-16?Yes4124¢0¢$0−$9.84$0
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2Monte2539¢0¢$0−$9.66−$5.30
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes1825.1¢0¢$0−$4.47−$49
Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,600 on the final trading day of March 2026?No1322.9¢0¢$0−$2.92$0
LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes334¢0¢$0−$0.89−$32

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesOver $60M committed to the Jumper public sale?2.5¢150$3.7565%63
BUY YesOver $40M committed to the Jumper public sale?40¢114$4665%63
BUY YesOver $50M committed to the Jumper public sale?9.9¢237$2465%63
SELL YesEthereal FDV above $100M one day after launch?28¢141$3965%63
BUY NoWill Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?41.7¢311$13065%63
SELL YesWill Portugal win on 2026-09-27?34¢100$3465%63
BUY YesWill Portugal win on 2026-09-27?34¢100$3465%63
SELL NoMultipli.fi FDV above $100M one day after launch?12¢232$2865%63
SELL NoMultipli.fi FDV above $100M one day after launch?10.3¢232$2465%63
BUY YesWill Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?10.6¢650$6965%63
SELL YesConcrete FDV above $300M one day after launch?45.4¢291$13265%63
BUYReal Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5 AND Spread: AC Milan (-1.5) AND Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 AND Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5) AND Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12? AND Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-09-12?7.5¢127$9.5665%63
SELL NoLAPTOP FDV above $750M one day after launch?41¢231$9565%63
SELL NoLAPTOP FDV above $750M one day after launch?44¢32$1465%63
SELL NoLAPTOP FDV above $750M one day after launch?44¢305$13465%63
SELL YesLAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?28¢197$5565%63
SELL YesLAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?35¢400$14065%63
BUY YesLAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?37¢400$14865%63
BUY YesLAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?50¢200$10065%63
BUY YesLAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?51¢200$10265%63