sharpside
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Traders/Rank #5,716

Bursted

0x843…d2f3
WhalePoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$45.0kvol $1.50M
PnL 30d+$1,584gains $119 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$23.4kwin rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate100.0%adj 52.4% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$151kcash n/a
Positions24 / 25open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age12molast trade 1h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$26.2kbelow peak −$26.3kOct 10

SharpScore inputs

12/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 100.0% · shrunk toward 50%31
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable47
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 24

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes347k30.7¢40.7¢$141k+$34.4k$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes16.2k36.4¢11.5¢$1,858−$4,030$0
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?No9,54344.4¢18.5¢$1,765−$2,468−$3,117
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes163k1.8¢1.1¢$1,712−$1,218$0
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes637k0.3¢0.2¢$955−$730$0
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?No96356.5¢99¢$953+$409$0
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes68.8k2.3¢1.2¢$825−$738$0
Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Yes1,13944¢46¢$524+$23$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No4,16236.9¢11.6¢$481−$1,053$0
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes40.9k1.7¢1.1¢$429−$264$0
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?No43467.2¢77.9¢$338+$46$0
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes17.3k29.1¢0.5¢$95−$4,946$0
Will Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Yes1,4556.6¢6¢$87−$8.73$0
Will Bruno Retailleau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Yes9806.1¢6.5¢$64+$4.07$0
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?No5192¢95.4¢$49+$1.71$0
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes23.1k0.2¢0.2¢$35−$12$0
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes7,38015¢0.5¢$33−$1,077$0
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes65913.9¢2.5¢$16−$75$0
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Yes9284.8¢0.4¢$3.25−$41$0
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceEgypt100.0k38¢0¢$0−$38.0k$0
Lecornu out as French PM by October 31?Yes20.0k9.7¢0¢$0−$1,938$0
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?Yes17.1k9¢0¢$0−$1,550$0
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?Yes2,13121.4¢0¢$0−$456$0
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?Yes12450¢0¢$0−$62−$0.18

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?1.3¢32.0k$412100%12
BUY YesWill Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?1.1¢12.1k$133100%12
BUY YesWill Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?1.4¢17.1k$239100%12
BUY YesWill Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?6.6¢1,455$96100%12
BUY YesWill Bruno Retailleau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?6.1¢980$60100%12
BUY YesWill Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?44¢1,139$501100%12
BUY YesWill Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?1.3¢14.3k$186100%12
BUY NoWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?37¢1,412$522100%12
BUY YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?37¢7,195$2,662100%12
BUY NoWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?36.8¢2,750$1,012100%12
BUY YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?36¢8,959$3,225100%12
BUY YesWill Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?2.1¢14.4k$303100%12
BUY NoWill Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?40¢201$80100%12
BUY YesWill Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?1.4¢12.0k$168100%12
BUY YesWill Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?1.6¢9,638$154100%12
BUY YesWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?44.8¢2,407$1,078100%12
BUY YesWill Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?1.4¢2,800$39100%12
BUY YesWill Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?2.3¢1,512$35100%12
BUY YesWill Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?2.3¢1,202$28100%12
BUY YesWill Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?2.3¢15.4k$355100%12