sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,802

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0x847…5418
WhalePnL 50k+PnL 10k+1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$57.1kvol $7.77M
PnL 30d+$5,138gains $21.3k · losses $17.8k
PnL 7d+$2,116win rate 7d 31.8%
Win rate59.4%adj 59.0% · 30d 31.9%
Open value$85.6kcash n/a
Positions25 / 512open / all-time
Max drawdown−72.8%of equity peak
Account age1.1ylast trade 2h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$62.3kbelow peak −$112kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

58/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale68
Adjusted win rateraw 59.4% · shrunk toward 50%48
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable90
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity27

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 25

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No62.7k97.9¢99.6¢$62.4k+$1,010$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes10.6k85.7¢90.5¢$9,567+$513+$44
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No4,92794.6¢96.2¢$4,739+$79+$25
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes2,99976.7¢73.5¢$2,204−$95$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No3,00070¢64.5¢$1,935−$165$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No2,22280¢79.5¢$1,766−$11−$11
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes3,48349.5¢48¢$1,672−$51−$18
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes5,55512.4¢13.2¢$730+$42+$211
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes5,5609.1¢8.1¢$448−$58$0
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes33.4k0.2¢0.2¢$50−$16+$41
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes9,7910.3¢0.2¢$15−$11$0
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No1088¢96.7¢$9.67+$0.87$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes2,63820¢0.4¢$9.23−$518$0
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No595.1¢98.2¢$4.92+$0.16+$282
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes5,4280.3¢0.1¢$2.71−$14$0
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes559¢42.5¢$2.14−$0.83+$170
Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Yes50¢39.5¢$1.98+$1.98$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No193¢94.5¢$1.02+$0.02+$52
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No179¢97.9¢$0.98+$0.19$0
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes109¢8.5¢$0.83−$0.05$0
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No173.3¢59.9¢$0.61−$0.14+$194
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes511.5¢10.2¢$0.51−$0.07$0
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes148¢22.5¢$0.23−$0.26−$90
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes116¢15.5¢$0.16−$0.01+$8,448
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes19¢3.3¢$0.03−$0.06−$4.84

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?86.1¢5,555$4,78359%58
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?85.7¢4,649$3,98459%58
BUY YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?11¢9,999$1,10059%58
SELL NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?79¢1,111$87859%58
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?80¢2,016$1,61359%58
SELL NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?91¢3,333$3,03359%58
SELL NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?90¢3,333$3,00059%58
BUY YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?49.9¢3,013$1,50559%58
BUY YesWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?4.5¢2,801$12659%58
SELL YesRussia military action against an EU country by September 30, 2026?0.2¢504$1.0159%58
SELL YesRussia military action against an EU country by September 30, 2026?0.2¢495$0.9959%58
BUY YesWill Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0.1¢1,992$1.9959%58
SELL YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?34¢3,000$1,02059%58
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?28¢999$28059%58
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?31¢3,000$93059%58
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?71¢1$1.0059%58
BUY NoWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?98¢12.6k$12.4k59%58Whale
SELL YesWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?0.3¢638$1.9159%58
BUY NoWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?98¢3,862$3,78459%58
BUY NoWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?98.1¢5,662$5,55459%58