sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,776

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0x84a…9743
WR 60+1y+OtherCryptoPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$4,600vol $162k
PnL 30d−$3,076gains $2,012 · losses $893
PnL 7d−$3,455win rate 7d 71.4%
Win rate63.6%adj 62.3% · 30d 64.3%
Open value$14.3kcash n/a
Positions101 / 294open / all-time
Max drawdown−99.7%of equity peak
Account age2.6ylast trade 7h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$3,903below peak −$3,893Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

37/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 63.6% · shrunk toward 50%56
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable82
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
US recession by end of 2026?No3,54791.1¢93.5¢$3,316+$86$0
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes4,15456.8¢58¢$2,409+$51+$0.04
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes4,31940.7¢41.5¢$1,793+$35$0
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No1,50089.3¢90.5¢$1,357+$18$0
Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation at the end of October?Yes1,28593.4¢98.9¢$1,271+$71$0
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Yes1,12979¢72.5¢$819−$73$0
Will Trump's approval rating hit 37% in 2026?Yes39695.3¢95.6¢$379+$1.08$0
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026?No34594¢95.5¢$329+$5.17$0
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $950B by October 31?No32164.2¢84¢$270+$64$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No20079¢82.5¢$165+$7.00$0
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?No20076.2¢73¢$146−$6.50$0
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $900B by October 31?No13783.4¢95.5¢$131+$17$0
Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.00 on October 31, 2026?No18661¢69¢$128+$15$0
Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $900B and $1.00T at the end of November 2026?No17884.1¢68.5¢$122−$28$0
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No10097.6¢99.5¢$99+$1.85$0
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No10096.5¢97.8¢$98+$1.25$0
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No10095.9¢97.5¢$97+$1.55$0
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?No10195¢95.5¢$96+$0.51$0
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes10096.5¢95.6¢$96−$0.95$0
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?No10092¢95.5¢$96+$3.50$0
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?No10088¢89.5¢$90+$1.50$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by October 31?No16559.5¢51.5¢$85−$13$0
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $20.5B by October 31?Yes14537.7¢57.5¢$83+$29$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Yes15058.8¢54.5¢$82−$6.45$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes10069¢75.5¢$76+$6.50$0
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $102.5B by October 31?Yes9553¢77.5¢$74+$23$0
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.2T by October 31?Yes14923¢48.5¢$72+$38$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.2T by October 31?No8579.2¢84.9¢$72+$4.76$0
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Letitia James by September 30, 2026?No10050¢68¢$68+$18$0
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.05T by October 31?Yes8053.3¢72¢$58+$15$0
Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026?No8335¢66.5¢$55+$26$0
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $95B by October 31?No7034¢57.5¢$40+$16$0
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?Yes4843.1¢67.2¢$33+$12$0
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $20B by October 31?Yes12022¢27¢$32+$6.01$0
Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?No3095¢94.5¢$28−$0.15$0
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on October 31, 2026?No4034.5¢52.5¢$21+$7.20$0
Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.10T and $1.20T at the end of November 2026?Yes10716¢18.5¢$20+$2.68$0
Will Lindsay Clancy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026?Yes2064¢79¢$16+$3.00$0
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $27B by October 31?Yes11114¢12.5¢$14−$1.66$0
Will Lamine Yamal rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026?Yes8011¢16¢$13+$4.00$0
Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.20T and $1.30T at the end of November 2026?Yes6013¢17.5¢$11+$2.70$0
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No5018¢16.5¢$8.25−$0.75$0
Will Nicolás Maduro rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026?Yes2052¢40¢$8.00−$2.40$0
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes5012.6¢15.1¢$7.53+$1.23$0
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?Yes5012¢10.5¢$5.25−$0.75$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?Yes7010.4¢7.5¢$5.21−$2.06$0
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026?Yes4012¢12.5¢$5.00+$0.20$0
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Hillary Clinton by September 30, 2026?No567¢90.5¢$4.53+$1.18$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No494.5¢95.6¢$4.10+$0.05$0
Will Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2026?No396¢96.4¢$2.81+$0.01$0
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?Yes301.5¢3.2¢$0.96+$0.51$0
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Yes5,41139.5¢0¢$0−$2,140+$11
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?No2,00068¢0¢$0−$1,360$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETUp1,0000.1¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.83
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 1:15AM-1:20AM ETDown9915¢0¢$0−$50−$3.25
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by September 30, 2026?No72260¢0¢$0−$433−$191
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $105B by September 30?No6571¢0¢$0−$6.46−$0.26
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:30AM-12:35AM ETDown47910.4¢0¢$0−$50−$1.92
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:50AM-12:55AM ETUp39619.2¢0¢$0−$76−$3.61
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Yes2975.4¢0¢$0−$16−$0.61
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:35AM-12:40AM ETDown2928.9¢0¢$0−$26−$1.59
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by September 30?No24173¢0¢$0−$176−$1.90
Will Oracle (ORCL) beat quarterly earnings?No20213¢0¢$0−$26−$1.14
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of August 31 2026?Yes20012¢0¢$0−$24−$0.84
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ETUp1833.3¢0¢$0−$6.00−$0.40
Solana Up or Down on September 17?Down1811.9¢0¢$0−$3.44−$0.24
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $236 Week of August 31 2026?Yes16216.9¢0¢$0−$27−$0.91
Will Trump praise Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September?No13512¢0¢$0−$16−$0.71
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ETUp1254¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.34
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of August 31 2026?Yes11432.5¢0¢$0−$37−$1.00
Will Netanyahu say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?No1125¢0¢$0−$5.62−$0.21
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 1:00AM-1:05AM ETUp11024.6¢0¢$0−$27−$1.36
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $179 Week of August 31 2026?Yes10066¢0¢$0−$66$0
Trump renames AI by September 30?No1002.8¢0¢$0−$2.80−$8.32
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes10013¢0¢$0−$13−$0.14
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes10067¢0¢$0−$67−$1.11
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No10073.7¢0¢$0−$74$0
Will Adobe (ADBE) beat quarterly earnings?No943.9¢0¢$0−$3.68−$0.17
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $186 Week of September 7 2026?Yes8527.7¢0¢$0−$24−$4.53
Will Netanyahu say "Hormuz" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?Yes7243.7¢0¢$0−$31−$0.71
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $360 Week of September 7 2026?No7038.7¢0¢$0−$27$0
Ethereum Up or Down on September 17?Down524.2¢0¢$0−$2.17−$0.15
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETDown502¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.07
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes4074¢0¢$0−$30$0
Will BTC hit $80,000 in March?Yes2741¢0¢$0−$11$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?No2314¢0¢$0−$3.16−$0.11
Will Nike (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?No2118.5¢0¢$0−$3.85−$0.08
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $244 Week of September 7 2026?Yes2019¢0¢$0−$3.80−$0.12
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 17?Down207¢0¢$0−$1.40$0
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $192 Week of September 7 2026?Yes2013¢0¢$0−$2.60−$0.09
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ETDown176¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.07
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:45PM-9:50PM ETUp1512.9¢0¢$0−$2.00−$0.12
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 in September?Yes1028¢0¢$0−$2.80$0
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $367.50 Week of September 7 2026?No1055.5¢0¢$0−$5.55$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETDown955.2¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:40PM-9:45PM ETDown923.3¢0¢$0−$2.00−$0.11
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:00PM-10:05PM ETDown650¢0¢$0−$3.00$0
Will Hyperliquid reach $104 in September?Yes514.9¢0¢$0−$0.74$0
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $137.50 Week of September 7 2026?Yes521¢0¢$0−$1.05$0
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in September?Yes234¢0¢$0−$0.83−$3.88

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?84¢3,383$2,84264%37
SELL NoAI bubble burst in 2026?93.8¢402$37764%37
BUY YesWill Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?11¢911$10064%37
SELL NoAI bubble burst in 2026?92.9¢1,263$1,17364%37
BUY YesWill SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?40.7¢4,319$1,75764%37
SELL NoWill Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?16¢1,717$27564%37
BUY NoWill Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?18¢1,250$22564%37
BUY YesWill Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?56.9¢1,620$92164%37
BUY YesWill Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?56.7¢772$43864%37
BUY YesWill Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?56.7¢1,764$1,00064%37
SELL DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET7.8¢100$7.8064%37
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET36.7¢100$3764%37
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?80¢100$8064%37
BUY NoWill Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026?94¢345$32464%37
BUY NoWill OpenAI’s valuation be between $900B and $1.00T at the end of November 2026?84.1¢178$15064%37
BUY YesWill OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.10T and $1.20T at the end of November 2026?16¢107$1764%37
BUY YesWill OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.20T and $1.30T at the end of November 2026?13¢60$7.8064%37
BUY YesWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?79¢1,129$89264%37
BUY NoWill OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $950B by October 31?78.2¢128$10064%37
BUY YesWill Trump's approval rating hit 37% in 2026?96.5¢199$19264%37