sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,515

57284910

0x856…4ea2
WhaleWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$2,442vol $301k
PnL 30d+$43.6kgains $2,443 · losses $1.56
PnL 7d+$1,239win rate 7d 86.7%
Win rate88.9%adj 68.4% · 30d 88.9%
Open value$138kcash n/a
Positions38 / 56open / all-time
Max drawdown−25.7%of equity peak
Account age3molast trade 12h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$3,386below peak $0Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

42/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale48
Adjusted win rateraw 88.9% · shrunk toward 50%71
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable58
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity74

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 38

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No37.2k96.6¢97.8¢$36.3k+$425$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?No24.8k98.9¢99¢$24.6k+$9.84$0
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Yes16.2k98.5¢98.7¢$16.0k+$32$0
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No11.5k95.8¢97.8¢$11.2k+$224$0
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No10.0k97.4¢97.1¢$9,705−$40$0
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?No9,65697.8¢97.8¢$9,439−$3.07$0
Trump out as President before 2027?No5,91396.2¢95.8¢$5,665−$26$0
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?No5,69596.1¢97.9¢$5,573+$98$0
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No3,50095.8¢97.5¢$3,411+$57$0
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No3,12597.7¢97.8¢$3,055+$1.56$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No2,50184¢84.5¢$2,114+$13$0
OPEC dissolves in 2026?No2,09596.8¢97.5¢$2,042+$15$0
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?No1,50396.5¢96.6¢$1,452+$0.99$0
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?No1,29488.6¢91.5¢$1,184+$38$0
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?No1,04094¢94.5¢$983+$5.20$0
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?No1,00196¢95.5¢$956−$5.00$0
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?No60496.5¢97.6¢$590+$6.65$0
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No60596.9¢97¢$587+$0.59$0
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?No50097.4¢97.5¢$488+$0.50$0
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?No38098.4¢99.1¢$376+$2.57$0
Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?No36096.6¢98.4¢$354+$6.48$0
Plague pandemic in 2026?No25196.1¢97.3¢$244+$2.89$0
US military draft authorized in 2026?No25297¢96.5¢$243−$1.20$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No25090¢93¢$233+$7.50$0
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No21497.3¢97.4¢$208+$0.11$0
Will Trump resign before 2027?No20197.3¢97.5¢$196+$0.40$0
Alibaba matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?No20297¢96.9¢$196−$0.28$0
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?No10397.3¢97¢$100−$0.36$0
Will Venezuela become 51st state?No10197.9¢98¢$99+$0.05$0
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?No10089¢89.5¢$90+$0.50$0
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?No6794.9¢97.8¢$66+$1.92$0
Z.ai matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?No10093¢58¢$58−$35$0
Will Jūlija Stepaņenko be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?No5099.3¢99.9¢$50+$0.28$0
Will Andris Kulbergs be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?Yes3398¢98.6¢$32+$0.20$0
ByteDance matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?No3092¢96¢$29+$1.20$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No197.4¢98.7¢$1.01+$0.01$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?No197.7¢97.9¢$1.00$0$0
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?No197.5¢97.4¢$1.00$0$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?96.7¢1,081$1,04689%42
BUY NoWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?97.3¢211$20589%42
BUY NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?99.1¢7,677$7,60889%42
BUY YesWill the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?99¢1,796$1,77889%42
SELL NoWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?99.8¢15.0k$15.0k89%42Whale
BUY YesWill the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?98.8¢1,971$1,94689%42
BUY NoWill Trump end Department of Education before 2027?96.6¢360$34889%42
BUY NoWill Alberta vote for independence in 2026?97.8¢6,276$6,13789%42
BUY NoOPEC dissolves in 2026?97¢911$88389%42
BUY NoOPEC dissolves in 2026?96.8¢693$67189%42
BUY NoUS military draft authorized in 2026?96.9¢59$5889%42
BUY NoOPEC dissolves in 2026?96.3¢487$46989%42
BUY NoWill Greenland vote for independence in 2026?96.5¢604$58389%42
BUY NoWill Venezuela become 51st state?97.9¢5$4.8989%42
BUY YesWill the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?98.4¢1,127$1,11089%42
SELL NoWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?99.7¢1,057$1,05389%42
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?90¢250$22589%42
BUY NoWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?99.2¢2,500$2,48089%42
BUY NoPlague pandemic in 2026?96.1¢131$12689%42
SELL NoWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?99.9¢5,000$4,99589%42