sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,669

Mr-Krabs

0x859…daee
SharpWhalePnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$82.7kvol $8.94M
PnL 30d+$15.5kgains $18.7k · losses $4,948
PnL 7d+$2,913win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate74.9%adj 74.0% · 30d 75.0%
Open value$109kcash n/a
Positions27 / 802open / all-time
Max drawdown−48.0%of equity peak
Account age1.7ylast trade 1h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$78.3kbelow peak −$24.2kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

72/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale70
Adjusted win rateraw 74.9% · shrunk toward 50%85
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable97
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity52

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · Yesclosed+$16.9kUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · Yesclosed+$9,561 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? · Noclosed+$8,640MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$8,221Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? · Noclosed+$6,812

Worst markets

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? · Noclosed−$16.2kWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? · Noclosed−$12.5kUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$12.0kStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yesopen−$11.4kUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7? · Noclosed−$8,913

Open positions · 27

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?No18.3k83.8¢91¢$16.6k+$1,318$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No17.7k83.5¢84.5¢$15.0k+$169+$1,613
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes15.8k92.9¢90.5¢$14.3k−$377$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes12.7k75.1¢82.5¢$10.5k+$935+$157
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes9,56284.5¢85.7¢$8,195+$110$0
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No8,99671.1¢81.5¢$7,332+$934+$622
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?No8,14675.2¢69¢$5,621−$508$0
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?No4,65084.5¢89.5¢$4,162+$232$0
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?No4,93782.9¢80¢$3,949−$144$0
Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes4,03882.7¢88.5¢$3,574+$233$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No3,23086.9¢95.9¢$3,098+$290+$170
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes5,19361¢58.5¢$3,038−$130$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes13.2k81¢19.5¢$2,573−$8,118−$3,268
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes2,67278.7¢87.6¢$2,342+$240+$155
Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31?No2,18784.2¢95.5¢$2,089+$248$0
Iran leadership change by December 31?No1,46469.7¢88.5¢$1,296+$275+$1,007
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No1,16583.9¢93.5¢$1,089+$111+$1,432
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No1,16585.3¢86.8¢$1,010+$17$0
Cornell President out by October 31?No82390.2¢94¢$774+$32$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No3,32922¢21.5¢$716−$17−$215
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Yes4,41625¢15.5¢$685−$420$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes3,50064¢15.5¢$543−$1,698$0
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?No22389.5¢88.3¢$197−$2.75+$3.74
Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by October 31?Yes1,7806¢9.5¢$169+$62+$74
FlyDubai co-pilot transferred to Israel by Oct. 31?No6391.6¢96.9¢$61+$3.32$0
Trump Admin held in contempt over press ban by October 31?No1588¢78.9¢$12−$1.36$0
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No290¢93.8¢$1.54+$0.06+$186

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?22¢3,329$73275%72Sharp
SELL NoRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?96.1¢7$6.5375%72Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?92¢1,771$1,62975%72Sharp
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?84¢184$15475%72Sharp
BUY YesKimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by October 31?6¢3,739$22475%72Sharp
SELL NoWill Trump visit Greenland by October 31?98.2¢430$42275%72Sharp
BUY NoWill the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?74.3¢446$33175%72Sharp
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?29¢3,300$95775%72Sharp
SELL YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?83¢2,000$1,66075%72Sharp
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?85¢6,194$5,26775%72Sharp
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?61¢5,193$3,16875%72Sharp
BUY NoWill Trump not announce his AI czar pick by December 31, 2026?87.6¢627$54975%72Sharp
BUY NoIsrael accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?88¢1,006$88575%72Sharp
SELL NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?37¢4,000$1,48075%72Sharp
BUY NoJerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?83.9¢3,271$2,74675%72Sharp
SELL NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?79¢7,503$5,92775%72Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?93¢1,000$93075%72Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?93¢2,000$1,86075%72Sharp
BUY NoIsrael accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?78¢2,000$1,56075%72Sharp
BUY NoIsrael accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?85¢600$51075%72Sharp