PnL all-time−$132vol $309k
PnL 30d−$13gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$1.69win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate52.0%adj 51.9% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$503cash n/a
Positions50 / 535open / all-time
Max drawdown−87.4%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 5mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$182below peak −$276Oct 14
SharpScore inputs
27/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 52.0% · shrunk toward 50%30
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable91
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity13
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30? · Yesclosed+$428Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Noopen+$324Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs? · Yesclosed+$284Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season? · Noclosed+$189Will the New England Patriots be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round? · Noclosed+$145
Worst markets
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January? · Yesclosed−$280Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season? · Yesclosed−$245Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30? · Noclosed−$170Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? · Yesclosed−$143Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? · Noclosed−$127
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 513 | 26¢ | 90¢ | $462 | +$328 | −$4.38 | |
| Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage? | No | 26 | 93¢ | 100¢ | $26 | +$1.82 | $0 | |
| Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET? | No | 11 | 49¢ | 98.6¢ | $11 | +$5.45 | +$12 | |
| Will Titan launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 30 | 61¢ | 9.5¢ | $2.85 | −$15 | +$6.46 | |
| NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026? | No | 1 | 93.6¢ | 100¢ | $1.00 | +$0.06 | +$0.61 |
Recent trades
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