sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,594

Jet9

0x870…8354
SharpPnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$19.5kvol $831k
PnL 30d+$1,297gains $4,166 · losses $2,252
PnL 7d+$493win rate 7d 61.5%
Win rate70.6%adj 69.8% · 30d 58.4%
Open value$14.5kcash n/a
Positions79 / 556open / all-time
Max drawdown−23.7%of equity peak
Account age1.1ylast trade 3h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$20.6kbelow peak $0Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

75/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale61
Adjusted win rateraw 70.6% · shrunk toward 50%75
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable92
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity76

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 79

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No4,42193¢95.5¢$4,222+$112+$227
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?No2,08094.4¢97.8¢$2,034+$71$0
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No1,31188¢97¢$1,271+$117+$81
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No60592.9¢92.5¢$560−$2.40$0
Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by October 31, 2026?No40096.4¢98.8¢$395+$9.20$0
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No40195.9¢97.2¢$389+$5.01$0
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No40083.7¢94.5¢$378+$43+$13
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?No40062.7¢76.5¢$306+$55$0
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No30186.7¢94.5¢$284+$24−$2.11
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No60036.9¢35.5¢$213−$8.28+$11
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No30066¢65.5¢$196−$1.50+$17
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?Yes20090.2¢95.6¢$191+$11$0
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Yes20092¢95¢$190+$6.00$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo20092¢91.5¢$183−$1.00$0
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No20086¢89¢$178+$6.00$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes20083¢86.5¢$173+$7.00+$6.80
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No20050¢84.5¢$169+$69$0
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No20075.5¢82.5¢$165+$14$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes20072¢77.5¢$155+$11$0
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No14964¢99.1¢$148+$52$0
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?No15093¢98.2¢$147+$7.85$0
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?No20366¢71.5¢$145+$11$0
Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?No18349.4¢74.5¢$136+$46$0
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?No13974¢95.5¢$133+$30$0
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?No40033.5¢32.5¢$130−$4.00$0
Will Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?Yes30038¢37.5¢$112−$1.50$0
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?No13777¢78.5¢$108+$2.07+$9.33
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?No10090¢95¢$95+$5.00$0
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?No10093¢93.5¢$94+$0.50$0
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?No10575¢87.5¢$92+$13$0
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No10080¢90.5¢$91+$11$0
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?No9985¢91.5¢$90+$6.43+$0.10
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?No10060¢87¢$87+$27$0
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?No9077¢93¢$84+$14$0
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?No10056¢83¢$83+$27$0
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?No10076¢76.5¢$77+$0.50$0
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?No7980¢95.8¢$75+$12$0
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes7549¢90.5¢$68+$31$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?Yes30016¢22.5¢$68+$20$0
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?No40038.5¢16.5¢$66−$88$0
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No10062¢62.5¢$63+$0.50$0
Will Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?No10079¢60.5¢$61−$19$0
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?No6076¢89.5¢$54+$8.10$0
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?No7365¢73¢$54+$5.86+$1.38
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?No5589.9¢92.6¢$51+$1.49$0
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Anthropic5074¢95.9¢$48+$11$0
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?No27422.5¢17.5¢$48−$14−$9.14
Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?No4894¢97.2¢$46+$1.50$0
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?Yes15037¢22¢$33−$23$0
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?Yes10045¢33¢$33−$12$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No3881¢84.5¢$33+$1.35+$69
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No3097.7¢98.7¢$30+$0.30$0
Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in October 2026?No3083.6¢84.3¢$25+$0.19$0
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?No11861¢20.5¢$24−$48−$45
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?No2374¢81.5¢$18+$1.70+$1.72
Will there be 2 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?Yes2868¢54.5¢$15−$3.78$0
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Yes10015¢14.5¢$15−$0.50$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes10013¢11.5¢$12−$1.50$0
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes7,5000.4¢0.2¢$11−$19$0
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?No1083¢90.5¢$9.05+$0.75$0
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?No1653.5¢57.5¢$8.93+$0.62+$13
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes10058¢5.5¢$5.50−$53$0
Will Egypt join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No587¢94.3¢$5.10+$0.39$0
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Yes529¢27¢$1.35−$0.10$0
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Yes514¢13¢$0.65−$0.05$0
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes10016¢0.1¢$0.10−$16$0
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?Yes9,6647.2¢0¢$0−$695−$17
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?No83011¢0¢$0−$91−$3.25
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?Yes6053.3¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026?Yes4750.2¢0¢$0−$0.95$0
Will Italy be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?Yes33110.2¢0¢$0−$34−$1.52
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceEngland30475.2¢0¢$0−$229−$2.83
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?Yes30016.7¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?Yes21524¢0¢$0−$52−$1.18
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?Yes20525¢0¢$0−$51−$1.15
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Yes20041¢0¢$0−$82$0
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes20028¢0¢$0−$56$0
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 15?Yes20013.6¢0¢$0−$27$0
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?Yes15333¢0¢$0−$51−$1.02

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?85¢101$8671%75Sharp
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?92¢100$9271%75Sharp
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?84¢240$20271%75Sharp
SELL NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?84¢1,736$1,45871%75Sharp
SELL YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?67¢30$2071%75Sharp
SELL YesWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?17.8¢600$10771%75Sharp
SELL NoWill Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?62¢184$11471%75Sharp
SELL NoTrump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?21¢100$2171%75Sharp
BUY NoIran full airspace closure by December 31?76¢100$7671%75Sharp
BUY YesWill there be 2 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?68¢28$1971%75Sharp
SELL NoRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?29.6¢300$8971%75Sharp
SELL YesIran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?26.7¢413$11071%75Sharp
SELL YesIran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?30¢99$3071%75Sharp
BUY NoWill Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?54.3¢382$20771%75Sharp
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?78¢552$43071%75Sharp
BUY NoAny of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?66¢203$13471%75Sharp
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?63¢649$40971%75Sharp
SELL NoTrump renames AI by September 30?71¢101$7271%75Sharp
SELL NoPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?95.9¢437$41971%75Sharp
BUY NoTrump renames AI by September 30?66¢101$6771%75Sharp