sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,764

BobbyBakedBeans

0x872…0882
PnL 10k+SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$25.1kvol $1.68M
PnL 30d+$2,045gains $5,892 · losses $5,649
PnL 7d+$428win rate 7d 47.1%
Win rate46.6%adj 46.8% · 30d 46.6%
Open value$67.3kcash n/a
Positions1,777 / 9,183open / all-time
Max drawdown−34.9%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 3h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$31.2kbelow peak −$1,613Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

59/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale63
Adjusted win rateraw 46.6% · shrunk toward 50%17
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity65

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
2026 Balance of Power: OtherNo5,07750¢99.8¢$5,064+$2,526$0
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?No3,00088¢87.5¢$2,625−$15$0
Will Ciara Miller win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?No1,37499.9¢99.8¢$1,371−$0.78$0
Will Florida Gators win the 2027 CFP National Championship?No1,38092.9¢98.5¢$1,359+$77−$697
Will Buffalo Bills win the 2026 AFC East?Yes2,07069¢59.5¢$1,232−$196−$8.71
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes2,99940¢39.5¢$1,185−$15$0
Will Taylor Hanson win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?No1,07799.8¢99.8¢$1,075−$0.46$0
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No1,10881.9¢91¢$1,008+$101$0
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes2,34729.6¢41.5¢$974+$280+$59
Will Notre Dame Fighting Irish win the 2027 CFP National Championship?No1,09087¢88.5¢$965+$16+$35
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes2,96530.2¢30.5¢$904+$9.20+$146
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat?Yes1,30057.4¢67¢$871+$124−$11
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?No1,05079¢80.5¢$845+$16$0
Will USC Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs?No1,06253.2¢77.5¢$823+$258$0
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes1,83940.5¢36.5¢$671−$73−$3.01
Will the Democratic Party win the AK-AL House seat?No67285.9¢98¢$658+$81$0
Will Giada De Laurentiis win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?No65599.7¢100¢$655+$1.47$0
Will Nebraska have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes82044.2¢75.5¢$619+$256+$0.95
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026No61086.9¢96.7¢$589+$60$0
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?No1,69653.1¢34¢$577−$324$0
Will Alabama have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes60079.1¢94.5¢$567+$92−$3.62
Will Sarah Jane Nader win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?No52399.8¢100¢$523+$0.65$0
Will Connor Wood win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?No52591¢96.8¢$508+$30$0
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026No60075.5¢82¢$492+$39$0
Will the Republican Party win the MN-01 House seat?Yes64271.3¢75.5¢$485+$27−$3.25
Will the Republican Party win the WA-04 House seat?Yes49675.1¢93¢$461+$88$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No52557¢87.5¢$459+$160$0
Will LSU Tigers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?No45886.8¢97.7¢$447+$50−$39
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?No61469.4¢71.5¢$439+$13$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-02 House seat?No50081¢85.5¢$428+$23$0
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat?No50877.1¢84.2¢$427+$36−$2.58
Will Conner Leavitt win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?No41999.9¢100¢$419+$0.34−$45
Will Texas Tech have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?No72945.5¢54.5¢$397+$66+$4.01
Will Maryland have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?No53446.5¢71.5¢$382+$134+$13
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?Yes52570¢71.5¢$375+$7.88$0
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?No3,00112.2¢12.5¢$375+$7.63$0
Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat?Yes44376¢81.5¢$361+$24$0
Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?No34982.1¢98.7¢$344+$58+$2.41
Will Texas have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes42973.2¢80¢$343+$29−$70
Will Maryland have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?No39162.2¢86.5¢$339+$95+$2.61
Will Arizona State have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?No40263.7¢84¢$338+$82−$15
Will the Republican Party win the FL-22 House seat?Yes72357.6¢46.5¢$336−$80$0
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Yes71347.7¢46¢$328−$12−$49
Will Penn State have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?No33326¢92¢$306+$220+$12
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No32571¢93.9¢$305+$74−$68
Levante UD leading at halftime?No38485¢79¢$304−$23$0
Will the Vikings win the season series against the Packers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes55034.7¢51¢$280+$90+$11
Will the Republican Party win the OH-15 House seat?Yes37168.9¢75¢$278+$23$0
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?$6078344.5¢35¢$274−$74+$1.90
Will Missouri have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?No1,35248.2¢19.5¢$264−$388+$0.46
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-03 House seat?Yes27779.7¢95.2¢$264+$43−$108
Will Syracuse have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?No28882.3¢91¢$262+$25−$33
Will BYU Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs?No40165¢64¢$257−$3.86$0
Will Texas Tech Red Raiders Win the 2026 Big 12 Championship?No34458.6¢74¢$255+$53−$4.26
Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?Yes50543¢50.5¢$255+$38+$11
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No61428¢41.5¢$255+$83+$4.14
Will the Cowboys win the season series against the Eagles during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No42772.7¢59.5¢$254−$56−$33
Spread: Wizards (-2.5)Nets52547¢48¢$252+$5.25$0
Will Purdue have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes27325.4¢91.5¢$250+$180+$15
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No68047.6¢36.5¢$248−$75$0
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes34166.8¢72.5¢$247+$20+$41
Will LSU Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs?Yes1,18650.7¢20.5¢$243−$358−$0.44
Will Washington Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs?No23874.4¢97.2¢$232+$54$0
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?No35555.3¢63.5¢$225+$29−$3.91
Will the Republican Party win the OK-01 House seat?Yes23191¢96.9¢$223+$13$0
Will Oregon Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs?No26736.6¢83¢$222+$124$0
Will the season series between the Cowboys and Giants end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No88440.3¢24.5¢$217−$140+$48
Bills vs. Rams: 1H O/U 25.5Over38252¢55.5¢$212+$13$0
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes2,19412.9¢9.5¢$208−$76$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Yes63435¢32.5¢$206−$16+$52
Will Utah Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs?No40967.4¢50¢$205−$71$0
Will the Republican Party win the MN-06 House seat?Yes21481.1¢95.5¢$204+$31$0
Will Utah have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes23074.6¢86.5¢$199+$27−$9.02
Will Georgia Tech have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?No33259.5¢59.5¢$197+$0.09+$1.85
Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?Yes83221.2¢23.5¢$196+$19$0
Will the Democratic Party win the CT-04 House seat?Yes20088¢97.3¢$195+$19$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?No99634.4¢19.5¢$194−$148+$209
Will Vanderbilt Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs?No20083¢96.8¢$193+$27$0
Will Georgia have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes19887.6¢96.6¢$191+$18−$5.66
Will Notre Dame have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes22466.5¢84¢$188+$39−$10
Will Illinois Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs?No19287.3¢96.9¢$186+$18$0
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes26261.5¢70¢$184+$22−$1.27
Will Alabama have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes18988.6¢96.6¢$183+$15−$5.13
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-08 House seat?Yes21677.1¢84.5¢$182+$16−$1.20
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No1,5249.8¢11.8¢$179+$30+$70
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No1,80012.2¢9.5¢$171−$48+$4.57
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?No37646.8¢45.5¢$171−$5.03−$13
Will the season series between the Eagles and Giants end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No31956.4¢53¢$169−$11−$14
Will the Republican Party win the OH-09 House seat?Yes64326¢26¢$167$0+$3.61
Will the Giants win the season series against the Cowboys during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No21868.2¢74¢$161+$13−$165
Will Florida State have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?No24665.4¢65¢$160−$1.02−$3.34
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-22 House seat?No34171.2¢45.5¢$155−$88−$13
Will the Chiefs win the season series against the Chargers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes32733.7¢46.5¢$152+$42+$19
Will the Dallas Cowboys make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?Yes30843¢49¢$151+$18$0
Will Washington State have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?No17367¢87¢$151+$35−$19
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No52514¢28.5¢$150+$76$0
Will Kansas State have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes90251.3¢16.5¢$149−$314−$8.99
Will Oklahoma State have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes20637.9¢72.1¢$149+$70+$9.96
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat?No32546¢44.5¢$145−$4.88+$0.78
Will the Giants win the season series against the Eagles during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No24082.1¢60.3¢$145−$52−$22

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill Miami FL have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?72¢1$0.7047%59
SELL YesWill Oklahoma have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?10.3¢4$0.4347%59
SELL YesWill West Virginia have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?27¢1$0.2747%59
BUY O 7.5Will the New York Giants win more than 7.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season?43¢16$6.9847%59
BUY O 7.5Will the New York Giants win more than 7.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season?43¢14$6.0747%59
BUY OverBears 1H Team Total: O/U 13.552¢93$4847%59
BUY OverBears 1H Team Total: O/U 13.552¢61$3247%59
BUY Procyon GamingCounter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs Hacha Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 7 Group Stage72¢5$3.6047%59
SELL Sibir NovosibirskKHL: Salavat Yulaev Ufa vs. Sibir Novosibirsk33¢2$0.6647%59
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election by 30% or more?4.9¢59$2.9047%59
SELL NoWill Fresno State have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?21¢1$0.2147%59
SELL O 11.5Will the Los Angeles Rams win more than 11.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season?41¢1$0.4947%59
BUY NoWill Kansas State have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?92¢9$7.8947%59
BUY O 10.5Will the Kansas City Chiefs win more than 10.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season?70¢163$11447%59
SELL YesWill BYU have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?74¢1$0.7447%59
SELL YesWill Miami FL have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?72¢1$0.7147%59
SELL O 8.5Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win more than 8.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season?45¢1$0.4647%59
SELL YesWill Ole Miss have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?67¢1$0.6647%59
SELL YesWill Stanford have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?54¢1$0.4247%59
BUY YesWill Democrats win fewer than 4 House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections?0.4¢102$0.4147%59