PnL all-time−$6,752vol $802k
PnL 30d+$776gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$190win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate61.0%adj 58.2% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$16.5kcash n/a
Positions5 / 64open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.4ylast trade 42d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$4,428below peak −$8,122Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
22/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 61.0% · shrunk toward 50%46
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable60
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30? · Noclosed+$7,339Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? · Noopen+$2,084Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July? · Noclosed+$1,822Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · Yesopen+$806Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31? · Noclosed+$748
Worst markets
Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8? · Noclosed−$6,189Iran x Israel conflict ends before July? · Noclosed−$2,864Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? · Noclosed−$2,029Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? · Yesclosed−$1,942Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8? · Yesclosed−$1,603
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | No | 12.2k | 76.9¢ | 94¢ | $11.5k | +$2,084 | $0 | |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? | No | 2,115 | 90.7¢ | 94.5¢ | $1,999 | +$80 | $0 | |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? | No | 2,000 | 89¢ | 95.5¢ | $1,910 | +$130 | $0 | |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | Yes | 1,000 | 92¢ | 95¢ | $950 | +$30 | +$776 | |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026? | No | 170 | 89¢ | 95¢ | $162 | +$10 | $0 |
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