sharpside
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Traders/Rank #277

RenanPresidente.

0x88c…129a
SharpWhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsSportOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$692kvol $15.5M
PnL 30d+$176kgains $65.5k · losses $7,686
PnL 7d+$145kwin rate 7d 82.7%
Win rate81.1%adj 79.7% · 30d 82.8%
Open value$1.08Mcash n/a
Positions54 / 489open / all-time
Max drawdown−30.8%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 4h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$866kbelow peak $0Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

83/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale83
Adjusted win rateraw 81.1% · shrunk toward 50%99
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable90
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity69

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 54

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes550k63.3¢85.7¢$471k+$123k$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No382k78.4¢86.5¢$331k+$30.8k$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No134k81.9¢84.5¢$113k+$3,420+$431
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No79.9k75.2¢83.5¢$66.7k+$6,590+$124k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes54.0k84.9¢81.5¢$44.0k−$1,812$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Yes16.3k95¢94.5¢$15.4k−$81$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?No18.5k67.2¢74¢$13.7k+$1,263$0
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?No11.7k81.2¢79.5¢$9,305−$198$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Yes12.7k39.2¢45.5¢$5,764+$799$0
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?No6,69885.1¢85¢$5,693−$4.19+$2.97
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Yes16.1k12.4¢15.4¢$2,480+$491$0
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?Yes1,58278.5¢82¢$1,297+$56$0
Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes1,21493.9¢99¢$1,201+$61$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?No53389.2¢93.5¢$499+$23$0
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Yes53081.3¢79.5¢$421−$9.73$0
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?Yes74824.2¢18.5¢$138−$43−$312
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?Yes4782¢85¢$40+$1.42$0
Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?No5058.2¢71¢$35+$6.36$0
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?Yes3044¢69¢$21+$7.58+$35
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?Yes2868.5¢29¢$8.15−$11−$58
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?No793k3.4¢0¢$0−$26.8k−$9,645
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?No60.7k34.5¢0¢$0−$20.9k−$455
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?No56.3k78.8¢0¢$0−$44.4k−$4,618
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago CubsCincinnati Reds21.0k93¢0¢$0−$19.5k−$41
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No20.8k80.4¢0¢$0−$16.7k−$589
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Yes18.5k52.4¢0¢$0−$9,685−$146
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?Yes17.5k85.3¢0¢$0−$14.9k$0
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?Yes16.3k54.9¢0¢$0−$8,950$0
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?Yes13.2k78.6¢0¢$0−$10.4k$0
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?Yes11.9k69.1¢0¢$0−$8,222$0
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?Yes11.5k82.7¢0¢$0−$9,469$0
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco GiantsPittsburgh Pirates10.4k88.1¢0¢$0−$9,144−$33
Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?Yes8,26393.1¢0¢$0−$7,691−$3,841
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?No5,63288.1¢0¢$0−$4,963−$4,115
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5Over4,63492¢0¢$0−$4,261−$1,280
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?No4,59185.9¢0¢$0−$3,945−$12
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes3,77562.3¢0¢$0−$2,351−$102
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?Yes3,24258.2¢0¢$0−$1,888$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?No2,65485.8¢0¢$0−$2,278−$13
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?No2,46572.3¢0¢$0−$1,782$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?No1,96892.6¢0¢$0−$1,823−$5.38
Will André do Prado win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?Yes1,38326¢0¢$0−$360−$11
Will Mohsen Araki be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes1,0760.9¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?No79063.1¢0¢$0−$499−$7.36
Will Carlos Jordy win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?Yes78750.3¢0¢$0−$396−$7.87
Will Guilherme Derrite win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?Yes68529.9¢0¢$0−$205−$5.74
Will Maguinha Malta win the second-most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election?Yes67918.7¢0¢$0−$127−$4.13
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?No48268.2¢0¢$0−$329$0
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-05-02?Yes47184.9¢0¢$0−$400−$1.80
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?No46081.1¢0¢$0−$373−$2.82
Will Marcel Van Hattem win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?Yes43581.8¢0¢$0−$356−$20
Iran closes its airspace by July 31?No28963.3¢0¢$0−$183$0
Will Carlos Portinho win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?Yes5734.8¢0¢$0−$20−$0.52
Will Marco Antônio Superman win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?Yes1117.7¢0¢$0−$1.93−$0.06

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?82¢138$11381%83Sharp
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?95¢1,007$95781%83Sharp
SELL NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?84¢140$11881%83Sharp
SELL NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?84¢1,000$84081%83Sharp
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?85.7¢742$63681%83Sharp
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?19.5¢1,129$22081%83Sharp
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?95¢1,357$1,28981%83Sharp
BUY NoWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?69.1¢2,772$1,91581%83Sharp
SELL NoBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?84¢2,000$1,68081%83Sharp
SELL NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?84¢2,873$2,41381%83Sharp
BUY NoWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?69¢727$50181%83Sharp
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?19.5¢513$10081%83Sharp
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?18.2¢1,249$22881%83Sharp
SELL NoBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?84¢1,000$84081%83Sharp
BUY NoWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?69¢4,778$3,29781%83Sharp
SELL NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?83.5¢4,000$3,34081%83Sharp
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?85.7¢10.4k$8,87381%83Sharp
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?83¢1,743$1,44781%83Sharp
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?95¢7,597$7,21781%83Sharp
SELL NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?84¢20.9k$17.6k81%83WhaleSharp