sharpside
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wasabeej

0x8b0…b95f
SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$6,871vol $938k
PnL 30d+$1,068gains $3,380 · losses $6,095
PnL 7d+$337win rate 7d 56.7%
Win rate52.4%adj 52.3% · 30d 47.4%
Open value$8,540cash n/a
Positions76 / 1,733open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 1h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

Not enough history to draw an equity curve.

SharpScore inputs

68/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale55
Adjusted win rateraw 52.4% · shrunk toward 50%31
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 72

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No70083.1¢83.5¢$585+$2.50$0
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No40086¢95.5¢$382+$38$0
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No40086¢90.5¢$362+$18$0
Cuban regime falls in 2026?No40087¢88.5¢$354+$6.00$0
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No31193.6¢98¢$305+$13+$2.60
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No30090¢96.4¢$289+$19$0
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No30091¢90.5¢$272−$1.50$0
LoL: MVK Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-InKarmine Corp32082¢81.5¢$261−$1.60$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes26091.2¢90.5¢$235−$1.90$0
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?Yes30065.7¢73.5¢$221+$24$0
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No20079¢95.8¢$192+$34$0
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No20078¢94.5¢$189+$33$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo20093¢91.5¢$183−$3.00$0
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No20072¢91¢$182+$38$0
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No20086¢91¢$182+$10$0
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No20081.5¢90.5¢$181+$18$0
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?No20086¢89¢$178+$6.00$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No20081.5¢88.5¢$177+$14$0
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No20083.5¢87.5¢$175+$8.00$0
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Worlds Play-InCloud920082¢81.5¢$163−$1.00$0
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No15993¢94.5¢$151+$2.39$0
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?No20082.5¢74.5¢$149−$16$0
Games Total: O/U 3.5Over20073¢72.5¢$145−$1.00$0
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No16073¢74.5¢$119+$2.40$0
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?No15081¢71¢$107−$15$0
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? No10084¢98.4¢$98+$14$0
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes10096.4¢97.7¢$98+$1.25$0
GTA VI released by November 30?Yes10094.8¢97.4¢$97+$2.60$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No10067¢95.5¢$96+$29$0
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?No10094.7¢94.9¢$95+$0.15$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes15063¢62.5¢$94−$0.75$0
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?No10088.7¢92.8¢$93+$4.05$0
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?No10087¢90.5¢$91+$3.50$0
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?No10092¢89.6¢$90−$2.35$0
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?No10090¢89.5¢$90−$0.50$0
US strike on Cuba by December 31?No10086¢89.5¢$90+$3.50$0
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?Yes20047¢44.5¢$89−$5.00$0
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?No10089¢88.5¢$89−$0.50$0
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Yes10087¢88.5¢$89+$1.50$0
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?No10085¢88¢$88+$3.00$0
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?No9294.8¢95.1¢$87+$0.28$0
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No10092¢87¢$87−$5.00$0
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?No10072¢81¢$81+$9.00$0
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes10095¢78.5¢$79−$17$0
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?No10081¢77¢$77−$4.00$0
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No10070¢75.5¢$76+$5.50$0
Clavicular in jail by December 31?No8076¢90.5¢$72+$12+$2.82
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?No7085¢97.3¢$68+$8.57$0
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes5095¢98.2¢$49+$1.57$0
Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?Yes5087¢94.7¢$47+$3.83$0
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?No5084¢89.5¢$45+$2.75$0
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?Yes5078.8¢86.9¢$43+$4.05$0
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?No5080¢85.5¢$43+$2.75+$1.73
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No6064¢70.5¢$42+$3.90$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No5075.8¢84.6¢$42+$4.38$0
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No5087.4¢83.6¢$42−$1.93$0
Will Dexter McCoy win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election?Yes5084¢82.5¢$41−$0.75$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes7052.7¢55.6¢$39+$1.99$0
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?No5075¢77¢$39+$1.00$0
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes5071¢69.5¢$35−$0.75$0
Halle Berry as Storm?No4079¢83¢$33+$1.60$0
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?No5071.3¢63.7¢$32−$3.83$0
Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026?No5039¢63¢$32+$12$0
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No5059¢62.5¢$31+$1.75$0
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?No4071¢73.5¢$29+$1.00$0
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes4086¢72.5¢$29−$5.40$0
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes10021.3¢28.1¢$28+$6.75$0
Will Discord IPO by December 31, 2026?No2674¢95¢$25+$5.52$0
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes3054¢52.5¢$16−$0.45$0
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 50?No3057¢52¢$16−$1.50$0
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?No1691¢96¢$15+$0.78$0
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?No190¢96.1¢$1.15+$0.07$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY OverGames Total: O/U 3.573¢200$14652%68
BUY Cloud9LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Worlds Play-In82¢200$16452%68
BUY Karmine CorpLoL: MVK Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In82¢320$26252%68
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?63¢100$6352%68
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?91¢200$18252%68
BUY NoWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?91¢300$27352%68
SELL Team WELoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs94¢50$4752%68
BUY Team WELoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs61¢100$6152%68
BUY Team WELoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs60¢100$6052%68
SELL Team WELoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs47¢200$9452%68
BUY Team WELoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs65¢100$6552%68
SELL HANJIN BRIONLoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs53¢100$5352%68
BUY HANJIN BRIONLoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs65¢100$6552%68
BUY HANJIN BRIONLoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION - Game 4 Winner88.5¢200$17752%68
SELL Team WELoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION - Game 4 Winner13¢200$2652%68
SELL HANJIN BRIONLoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 Winner93¢15$1452%68
SELL HANJIN BRIONLoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 Winner76¢25$1952%68
BUY HANJIN BRIONLoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 Winner34¢100$3452%68
SELL Team WELoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 Winner67¢100$6752%68
SELL Team WELoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 Winner52¢100$5252%68