sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

johnjdj

0x8bc…47e5
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$272vol $40.2k
PnL 30d+$622gains $701 · losses $1.00
PnL 7d+$399win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate92.9%adj 87.6% · 30d 94.4%
Open value$956cash n/a
Positions152 / 293open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.4ylast trade 2d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$573below peak −$1,050Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

46/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 92.9% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable82
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d93
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No26189¢99.9¢$261+$28$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes15076.8¢87¢$130+$15$0
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?No12595.4¢97.5¢$122+$2.60$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes28717.4¢17.5¢$50+$0.28$0
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No4588.5¢97.6¢$44+$4.11$0
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes3,3356.9¢1.3¢$42−$189$0
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Yes10045¢40.5¢$41−$4.50$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes52539.2¢5.5¢$29−$177$0
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?No3093.5¢93.3¢$28−$0.07$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes9038¢30.5¢$27−$6.70$0
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No3085¢90¢$27+$1.50$0
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes2607¢9.5¢$25+$6.50$0
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?No2091.5¢96.2¢$19+$0.93$0
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes8524.2¢21.5¢$18−$2.27$0
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes166.4¢98.3¢$15+$14$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No1879.4¢77.3¢$14−$0.39$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1659.1¢7.9¢$13−$2.02$0
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No1759¢59.5¢$10+$0.08$0
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?No1086¢88.5¢$8.85+$0.25$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5214.7¢14.8¢$7.63+$0.03$0
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?No683¢94.5¢$5.69+$0.69$0
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No598.9¢98.4¢$4.97−$0.03$0
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes21314.1¢2.3¢$4.80−$25$0
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?No492¢98.2¢$4.27+$0.27$0
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No1035¢36.5¢$3.65+$0.15$0
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes323.1¢3.2¢$1.02+$0.02$0
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes5,0779.5¢0¢$0−$482$0
Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?Yes1,1210.4¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.15
Will Arvid Lindblad win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?Yes1,0200.1¢0¢$0−$1.02−$0.05
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Yes1,0053.5¢0¢$0−$35−$1.68
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?Yes7502.7¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?Yes6892¢0¢$0−$14−$0.37
Paraguay vs. France: Team to AdvanceParaguay6214.5¢0¢$0−$28−$0.79
France vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceMorocco6035.8¢0¢$0−$35−$0.84
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes59619¢0¢$0−$113−$2.59
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix?Yes52016.3¢0¢$0−$85+$9.04
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?Yes5002¢0¢$0−$10−$0.29
Will Isack Hadjar win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?Yes5001¢0¢$0−$5.00$0
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?Yes4331.4¢0¢$0−$6.00−$0.17
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes43342.6¢0¢$0−$185$0
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes4249.5¢0¢$0−$40$0
Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?Yes3730.5¢0¢$0−$2.00−$0.06
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?Yes3244.6¢0¢$0−$15$0
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?Yes3197.8¢0¢$0−$25−$0.68
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No31612.3¢0¢$0−$39$0
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?Yes30328.7¢0¢$0−$87$0
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix?Yes3001¢0¢$0−$3.00$0
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?Yes29014.8¢0¢$0−$43−$0.31
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?Yes28724.4¢0¢$0−$70$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes2867¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes2831.1¢0¢$0−$3.00$0
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?Yes2679¢0¢$0−$24−$0.64
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?Yes2551.6¢0¢$0−$4.00$0
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?Yes2505.1¢0¢$0−$13$0
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?Yes2506.8¢0¢$0−$17$0
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No21321.2¢0¢$0−$45−$0.92
Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?Yes2000.5¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?Yes1948.8¢0¢$0−$17$0
Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Yes1880.9¢0¢$0−$1.69−$0.08
Will Carlos Sainz win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?Yes1700.6¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will Max Verstappen win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?Yes1609.4¢0¢$0−$15$0
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?No15564.3¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?Yes1506¢0¢$0−$9.04$0
Will Pierre Gasly finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?Yes1430.7¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.01
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?Yes13912.8¢0¢$0−$18$0
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes13315.1¢0¢$0−$20$0
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?Yes1302.3¢0¢$0−$3.00$0
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Yes1266.4¢0¢$0−$8.00−$0.37
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsYes1254.6¢0¢$0−$5.80$0
Will Isack Hadjar get pole position at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?Yes1242.4¢0¢$0−$3.00$0
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?Yes12012.5¢0¢$0−$15$0
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Yes11217.9¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?Yes1119¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.27
Lionel Messi: 3+ goalsYes1001.7¢0¢$0−$1.70−$0.08
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No9641.6¢0¢$0−$40−$1.17
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes947.4¢0¢$0−$7.00$0
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Yes8617.3¢0¢$0−$15−$0.62
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?Yes846¢0¢$0−$5.01$0
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?Yes836¢0¢$0−$5.00$0
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes813.5¢0¢$0−$2.82$0
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsYes7425.8¢0¢$0−$19−$0.33
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?No7061.3¢0¢$0−$43−$0.27
Will Max Verstappen win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?Yes6713.4¢0¢$0−$9.00$0
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?No6782.2¢0¢$0−$55$0
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?Yes676¢0¢$0−$4.00−$0.11
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Yes6515.4¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.42
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Yes6531¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Yes5787¢0¢$0−$50−$0.20
Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?Yes571.7¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?Yes5726.5¢0¢$0−$15$0
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes5672¢0¢$0−$40−$0.34
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes5518.2¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes5437.3¢0¢$0−$20$0
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsNo5347¢0¢$0−$25−$0.66
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?Yes5328¢0¢$0−$15−$0.32
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes5137¢0¢$0−$19$0
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?Yes5134¢0¢$0−$17$0
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsNo4950.7¢0¢$0−$25−$0.37
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Yes4821¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix pole?Yes4522¢0¢$0−$10.00$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?37¢5$1.8593%46
BUY NoWill Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?78¢10$7.8093%46
BUY NoWill Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?76.4¢30$2393%46
BUY YesWill Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?89.3¢50$4593%46
BUY YesWill Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?63.9¢100$6493%46
BUY YesWill Pierre Gasly finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?0.7¢33$0.2393%46
BUY YesWill Arvid Lindblad win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?0.1¢1,020$1.0293%46
BUY YesWill Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?14.4¢50$7.2293%46
BUY NoWill Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?83.9¢100$8493%46
BUY NoWill Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?85.9¢100$8693%46
BUY NoWill Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?90.7¢22$2093%46
BUY NoWill Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?86¢58$5093%46
BUY YesWill Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?2.9¢862$2593%46
BUY NoWill it rain during the Hungarian Grand Prix?78¢19$1593%46
BUY YesWill Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?0.9¢188$1.6993%46
BUY NoWill Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?70¢14$1093%46
BUY YesWill Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?5.5¢55$3.0093%46
BUY NoWill Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?70¢14$1093%46
BUY NoWill Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?87.1¢23$2093%46
BUY YesWill Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?7¢71$5.0093%46