PnL all-time+$10.6kvol $4.83M
PnL 30d+$311gains $686 · losses $19
PnL 7d+$83win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate86.7%adj 85.2% · 30d 96.8%
Open value$6,219cash n/a
Positions11 / 511open / all-time
Max drawdown−13.5%of equity peak
Account age1.1ylast trade 34m ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$10.6kbelow peak $0Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
82/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale57
Adjusted win rateraw 86.7% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable90
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity87
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more? · Noclosed+$4,599S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 29? · Downclosed+$4,009Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$3,428Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix? · Yesclosed+$2,936Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party? · Noclosed+$1,464
Worst markets
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more? · Yesclosed−$4,580Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting? · Noclosed−$3,352Government shutdown on Saturday? · Yesclosed−$1,493S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 29? · Upclosed−$1,352Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix? · Noclosed−$840
Open positions · 11
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 1,900 | 97¢ | 97.3¢ | $1,848 | +$4.46 | +$534 | |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 1,686 | 96.1¢ | 96.2¢ | $1,621 | +$0.84 | +$119 | |
| Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026? | No | 717 | 94.9¢ | 95.8¢ | $687 | +$6.34 | +$7.05 | |
| JD Vance out as VP by December 31? | No | 544 | 96¢ | 96.4¢ | $524 | +$1.73 | +$0.09 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 418 | 97.8¢ | 97.8¢ | $409 | −$0.09 | +$775 | |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | No | 344 | 97.6¢ | 97.5¢ | $335 | −$0.27 | +$79 | |
| Will CXMT be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | No | 386 | 86¢ | 84.5¢ | $326 | −$5.78 | $0 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027? | No | 320 | 84.9¢ | 84.5¢ | $270 | −$1.40 | +$3.60 | |
| Will AI solve P versus NP in 2026? | No | 171 | 96.9¢ | 95.6¢ | $163 | −$2.23 | +$1.17 | |
| Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by December 31? | Yes | 36 | 86.7¢ | 88.5¢ | $32 | +$0.66 | +$0.56 | |
| Will Unitree be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | No | 5 | 86¢ | 83¢ | $4.15 | −$0.15 | +$5.25 |
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