sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,642

semantics

0x8dc…5668
SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$1,069vol $223k
PnL 30d+$4,782gains $1,502 · losses $1,033
PnL 7d+$3,374win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate48.3%adj 48.4% · 30d 44.8%
Open value$21.4kcash n/a
Positions39 / 273open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 6h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$4,067below peak $0Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

33/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 48.3% · shrunk toward 50%21
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable81
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 39

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?No10.0k47.3¢42¢$4,217−$531$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes4,74727.1¢88.4¢$4,198+$2,911+$140
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No2,24273.7¢84.5¢$1,894+$242$0
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No1,54350.6¢85¢$1,312+$531$0
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?No1,60080.7¢81.5¢$1,304+$13$0
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31No1,31766.2¢95.5¢$1,258+$387$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No1,00077.6¢82.5¢$825+$49$0
No one announced as next James Bond?No1,00078¢69.5¢$695−$85$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes90057.1¢75.5¢$680+$166$0
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes60440.6¢83¢$501+$256$0
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes80055¢60.3¢$483+$42$0
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No48441.3¢89¢$431+$230$0
Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes44471¢93.4¢$415+$99+$27
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes55046.6¢71.6¢$393+$137$0
Weed rescheduled by December 31?No40076.3¢95.5¢$382+$77$0
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes50068¢71.5¢$358+$18$0
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No34585.8¢93.5¢$322+$26+$29
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?No35284.2¢85.5¢$301+$4.44+$0.29
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes35064.6¢61.5¢$215−$11$0
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No18581¢95.5¢$177+$27+$0.35
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No17884.1¢97¢$173+$23+$9.14
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Yes17286.8¢93.5¢$161+$12+$1.11
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No21860.9¢68.5¢$150+$17$0
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No10088.3¢97.3¢$97+$8.92+$15
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No10082.9¢92.5¢$92+$9.56+$30
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?No6379.8¢93¢$58+$8.28$0
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No5885.8¢96.9¢$56+$6.47$0
Cuban regime falls in 2026?No6281.1¢90.5¢$56+$5.82$0
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes8007.3¢6.8¢$54−$4.73$0
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?No6073.7¢88.5¢$53+$8.88$0
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes1,0005.2¢4.2¢$42−$11$0
Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond?Yes1,0000.3¢2.7¢$27+$24$0
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes1,2003.3¢1.9¢$22−$17$0
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Yes5039.9¢37.5¢$19−$1.18$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes1046¢81.5¢$8.15+$3.55$0
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?Yes1006.6¢4.7¢$4.65−$1.95$0
Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?Yes3001.4¢0.7¢$1.95−$2.35$0
Jonathan Bailey announced as next James Bond?Yes1,0000.2¢0.1¢$1.00−$1.00$0
Trump renames AI by September 30?No20059.1¢0¢$0−$118−$233

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?7.2¢100$7.2048%33
SELL NoZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?92¢119$11048%33
SELL NoPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?97.4¢83$8148%33
BUY YesWill Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?2¢200$4.0048%33
BUY NoWill Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?82¢100$8248%33
BUY YesWill Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?4.3¢200$8.6048%33
BUY YesWill Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?6.8¢100$6.8048%33
BUY YesWill Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?4.3¢100$4.3048%33
BUY Yes2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House62¢50$3148%33
BUY YesWill Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?6.8¢100$6.8048%33
BUY YesWill Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?4.3¢200$8.6048%33
BUY NoWill Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?81¢100$8148%33
BUY NoWill Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?81¢100$8148%33
BUY YesWill Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?6.8¢100$6.8048%33
BUY YesWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?62.4¢100$6248%33
BUY YesWill Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?1.9¢200$3.8048%33
BUY YesWill Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?1.9¢200$3.8048%33
BUY YesWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?62.8¢100$6348%33
BUY NoWill Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?81¢200$16248%33
SELL YesWill Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?93¢125$11648%33