sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

pengu1n

0x8dd…9a1c
SportCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$1,151vol $2.65M
PnL 30d−$5,495gains $1,287 · losses $1,640
PnL 7d−$483win rate 7d 18.2%
Win rate18.2%adj 19.4% · 30d 18.2%
Open value$6,486cash n/a
Positions74 / 9,900open / all-time
Max drawdown−79.7%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 14m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$6,571below peak −$16.9kOct 12

SharpScore inputs

44/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale44
Adjusted win rateraw 18.2% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity20

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yesopen+$1,088Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yesopen+$310Will Matt Damon be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · Noopen+$109Will "Wild Horse Nine" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Noopen+$106Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026? · Noopen+$86

Worst markets

Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the #2 song for 2026? · Noopen−$350Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026? · Noopen−$242Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · Yesopen−$219Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · Noopen−$213Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026? · Yesclosed−$118

Open positions · 74

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Pedro Pascal be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No70472¢80.2¢$565+$57−$9.32
Dota 2: Dawn Bulls vs Kalmychata (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group BDawn Bulls74376.6¢74¢$550−$19$0
Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?No2,46739.8¢21.5¢$530−$451+$209
Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No1,25252.4¢32.5¢$407−$249+$36
Will "The Social Reckoning" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No33472.8¢93.5¢$313+$69−$41
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?Yes28779¢86.5¢$248+$21−$120
Will Timothée Chalamet be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No29971.6¢80.5¢$241+$27−$45
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the #2 song for 2026?No27675.9¢81.5¢$225+$15−$365
Will Gerrit Cole win the 2026 AL Comeback Player of the Year award?No21889¢96.7¢$211+$17−$15
Will Lille win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?No20092.1¢97.5¢$195+$11$0
Will "Disclosure Day" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No19990.7¢96.9¢$193+$12$0
Will "The Drama" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No20387.9¢94¢$191+$12$0
Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes20672.8¢86.5¢$178+$28−$112
Will Flamengo win Copa Libertadores?No30962.6¢56.5¢$174−$19−$0.76
Will "The Adventures of Cliff Booth" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No21973¢79.5¢$174+$14$0
Floyd Schofield vs. Lucas BahdiFloyd Schofield28680.6¢57.5¢$165−$66$0
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship?No55428¢26.5¢$147−$8.31$0
Will Merab Dvalishvili be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes36431.4¢35¢$127+$13+$17
Will Lionel Messi be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No12689.5¢97.3¢$122+$9.75−$25
Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes26438.9¢40¢$106+$2.81$0
Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 AL Comeback Player of the Year award?Yes11183.8¢91.5¢$101+$8.51$0
Will Sebastian Stan be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No11657.1¢83.5¢$97+$31+$0.06
M15 Offenbach: Jakub Kusy vs Mika PetkovicMika Petkovic11183.3¢86¢$95+$3.04$0
Will Petr Yan be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No25437.9¢37.5¢$95−$0.91$0
Will "Fatherland" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No10081.1¢91.8¢$92+$11$0
Will John Malkovich be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes9766.3¢92.5¢$90+$25$0
Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026?No31229.2¢24.5¢$77−$15+$101
Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton engaged in 2026?Yes50313.3¢14.5¢$73+$5.95$0
Will Russell Westbrook play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?No7293.1¢97.3¢$70+$3.01$0
Will Movsar Evloev be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes12734¢48.5¢$61+$18$0
Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No28112.8¢16.5¢$46+$11+$4.43
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes26738.2¢16¢$43−$59−$160
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?No20742¢20.5¢$42−$45+$16
Jose Luis Navarro Jr. vs. Damian BiachoJose Luis Navarro Jr.5754.7¢70¢$40+$8.74−$0.42
Will Javier Bardem be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No4089.5¢94.7¢$37+$2.04$0
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes26213¢10.5¢$28−$6.55$0
Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes14311.8¢16¢$23+$5.96+$29
Will "Fjord" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes4429¢47.5¢$21+$8.23+$1.76
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes12712¢16.5¢$21+$5.71+$1,082
Will Monaco win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?Yes4167.6¢4.3¢$18−$14+$4.64
Will Matt Damon be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No2225.8¢7.8¢$17+$4.43+$105
Will Adam Driver be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No1882¢95.5¢$17+$2.42$0
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No1891¢94.1¢$17+$0.55$0
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?Yes20013¢8.4¢$17−$9.30$0
Will Russell Westbrook play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?No1792¢97.9¢$17+$0.99−$0.86
Will Russell Westbrook play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27?No1687¢100¢$16+$2.13−$13
Will "Michael" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes958¢15.5¢$15+$7.10$0
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Ivan Ivanov vs Gabriele CrivellaroGabriele Crivellaro5023¢25¢$13+$1.00$0
Will "All of a Sudden" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes4029.7¢30.5¢$12+$0.32+$3.64
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes2629.1¢4.5¢$12−$12+$322
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs CyberHero (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group ATeam Lynx2841¢41.5¢$12+$0.14$0
Will Taylor Swift be the second most streamed artist for 2026?Yes6517.1¢17.5¢$11+$0.27+$57
Will Palmeiras win Copa Libertadores?No1475¢73¢$10−$0.28−$0.56
Will "Wild Horse Nine" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No11226.5¢8¢$8.96−$21+$127
M15 Szabolcsveresmart: Dean Thurner vs Filip MartinovicFilip Martinovic1439¢47.5¢$6.87+$1.23$0
Will John Turturro be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes1610¢40.5¢$6.54+$4.93+$30
Will Sean O'Malley be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes2862.2¢1.9¢$5.43−$0.83+$63
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Yes3530.2¢15.4¢$5.37−$5.20+$8.69
Will Jaafar Jackson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes4114.4¢11.5¢$4.71−$1.20$0
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?No3511¢12.5¢$4.38+$0.53$0
Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No2519¢17.5¢$4.34−$0.37+$3.39
M25 Qian Daohu: Kristjan Tamm vs Yue XiaKristjan Tamm674¢72¢$4.32−$0.12$0
Will Robert Aramayo be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No585.3¢91.5¢$4.22+$0.29$0
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?No24511.9¢1.3¢$3.06−$26$0
Will Carlos Prates be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes348.1¢7.7¢$2.63−$0.14$0
Will Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj be the #2 song for 2026?Yes4208.5¢0.6¢$2.52−$33$0
Will Bad Bunny be the second most streamed artist for 2026?Yes1095¢1.6¢$1.69−$3.76$0
Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No195.9¢7.9¢$1.49+$0.37$0
Will Deportivo Pereira win on 2026-08-10?Yes1512.3¢7.5¢$1.10−$0.71$0
Will Taylor Swift be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes352.3¢1.6¢$0.54−$0.27$0
M25 Solapur: Arjun Rathi vs Sandesh Dattatray KuraleSandesh Dattatray Kurale910¢3.5¢$0.30−$0.56$0
Will Dylan Cease win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?Yes2236¢0.7¢$0.15−$7.62$0
Will Billie Jean – Michael Jackson be the #2 song for 2026?Yes350.7¢0.4¢$0.12−$0.11$0
Will Jeremy Strong be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes211¢3.9¢$0.08−$0.14$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY Sandesh Dattatray KuraleM25 Solapur: Arjun Rathi vs Sandesh Dattatray Kurale10¢9$0.8718%44
BUY Dawn BullsDota 2: Dawn Bulls vs Kalmychata (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B77¢29$2318%44
BUY Dawn BullsDota 2: Dawn Bulls vs Kalmychata (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B77.9¢50$3918%44
BUY Dawn BullsDota 2: Dawn Bulls vs Kalmychata (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B78¢50$3918%44
BUY Dawn BullsDota 2: Dawn Bulls vs Kalmychata (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B78¢50$3918%44
BUY Dawn BullsDota 2: Dawn Bulls vs Kalmychata (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B76¢50$3818%44
BUY Dawn BullsDota 2: Dawn Bulls vs Kalmychata (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B77¢50$3918%44
BUY Dawn BullsDota 2: Dawn Bulls vs Kalmychata (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B75¢7$5.2518%44
BUY Dawn BullsDota 2: Dawn Bulls vs Kalmychata (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B75¢36$2718%44
BUY Dawn BullsDota 2: Dawn Bulls vs Kalmychata (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B75¢50$3818%44
BUY Dawn BullsDota 2: Dawn Bulls vs Kalmychata (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B75¢50$3818%44
BUY YesWill Taylor Swift be the second most streamed artist for 2026?18¢48$8.6418%44
BUY AkronEastern Michigan vs. Akron69¢11$7.5918%44
BUY UnderHouston vs. Kansas State: O/U 49.53¢50$1.5018%44
BUY UnderTulsa vs. Navy: O/U 57.53¢50$1.5018%44
BUY UnderTulsa vs. Navy: O/U 57.51¢35$0.3518%44
BUY UnderTulsa vs. Navy: O/U 55.53¢35$1.0518%44
BUY TulsaSpread: Navy (-3.5)75.7¢61$4618%44
BUY East CarolinaSpread: East Carolina (-17.5)1¢25$0.2518%44
BUY UnderRice vs. East Carolina: O/U 51.587¢6$5.2218%44