sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

OLOTH

0x8de…2938
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$12.1kvol $3.13M
PnL 30d+$729gains $439 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$197win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate97.2%adj 95.4% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$44.8kcash n/a
Positions46 / 1,182open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age3.4ylast trade 9h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$11.3kbelow peak −$24.2kOct 12

SharpScore inputs

45/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 97.2% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed+$836Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Noopen+$706Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election? · Noclosed+$669Will Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election? · Yesclosed+$636Will Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election? · Yesclosed+$397

Worst markets

Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo · Jannik Sinnerclosed−$26.8kSiena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils · Duke Blue Devilsclosed−$2,950Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? · Yesclosed−$1,061Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance · Senegalopen−$535Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? · Noclosed−$532

Open positions · 46

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No14.5k92.3¢97.2¢$14.1k+$706$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes11.6k92.2¢90.5¢$10.5k−$200$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes7,59488.3¢86¢$6,527−$176+$38
Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by October 15?No2,17898.7¢99¢$2,155+$4.47$0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No2,00099.5¢99.4¢$1,987−$3.00$0
Macron out by December 31, 2026?No1,16592.6¢97.1¢$1,131+$53+$4.11
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?No1,00095¢96.2¢$962+$12$0
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No1,00088.2¢93.5¢$935+$53+$18
French election called by December 31, 2026?No97991.1¢95.1¢$931+$40$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No1,00082¢87.5¢$875+$55$0
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?No70498.6¢98.7¢$695+$0.70$0
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No61696.8¢97.8¢$602+$5.85$0
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No50090.8¢97¢$485+$31$0
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No47697.1¢97.7¢$465+$2.86$0
Will Jean Castex announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?No35196.4¢97.7¢$342+$4.38$0
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Goiás?Yes34499¢98.8¢$340−$0.86$0
Will Michel Barnier announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?No28092.3¢94¢$263+$4.74$0
Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes23599.5¢98.7¢$232−$1.85$0
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?No16696.8¢99.2¢$165+$3.90$0
Will the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?Yes15097.7¢97.4¢$146−$0.40$0
Will the Republicans win the Idaho governor race in 2026?Yes12998.9¢97.8¢$126−$1.37$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-05 House seat?Yes13096.9¢96.4¢$125−$0.69$0
Will Valérie Pécresse announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?No12696.7¢96.5¢$121−$0.31$0
Will Elber Requejo Sánchez win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?Yes9599¢99.2¢$94+$0.19$0
Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?Yes9096.9¢96.2¢$87−$0.67$0
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-07 House seat?Yes8098.5¢98¢$78−$0.44$0
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?No6388¢94¢$59+$3.77$0
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?No6092¢96.4¢$58+$2.64$0
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No5097¢97.6¢$49+$0.28$0
Will Gérald Darmanin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?No5093.8¢94.6¢$47+$0.38$0
Will the Republicans win the Maryland governor race in 2026?No3199¢98.3¢$31−$0.22$0
Will Maive Rute be the next President of Estonia?No3099.3¢99.9¢$30+$0.17$0
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Piauí?No2098.8¢98.1¢$20−$0.14$0
Will the Democrats win the Idaho governor race in 2026?No1898.1¢97.8¢$18−$0.06$0
Le Pen endorses non-Bardella PM by December 31, 2026?No1891.1¢91.5¢$16+$0.07−$2.90
Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?No699.8¢99.9¢$6.02$0$0
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,0259.3¢0¢$0−$95−$2.64
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,00016.2¢0¢$0−$162−$4.07
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,00011¢0¢$0−$110−$2.94
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,0009.9¢0¢$0−$99−$2.68
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,0004¢0¢$0−$40−$1.15
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,0002.6¢0¢$0−$26−$0.76
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,0005.3¢0¢$0−$53$0
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,0008.4¢0¢$0−$84−$2.31
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to AdvanceSenegal54598.2¢0¢$0−$535$0
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes30095.6¢0¢$0−$287$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?96.9¢90$8797%45
BUY NoWill Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?99.8¢6$6.0297%45
BUY YesWill Elber Requejo Sánchez win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?99¢95$9497%45
BUY YesWill Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?99.5¢235$23497%45
BUY NoWill Ségolène Royal finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?99.9¢90$9097%45
BUY NoWill Emmanuel Maurel finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?99.9¢43$4397%45
BUY YesWill the French Socialist primary be won outright in the first round?99.9¢70$7097%45
BUY YesWill the French Socialist primary be won outright in the first round?99.7¢760$75897%45
BUY NoWill Olivier Faure win the first round of the French Socialist primary?99.9¢84$8497%45
BUY YesWill Raphaël Glucksmann win the first round of the French Socialist primary?99.9¢153$15397%45
BUY NoWill Ségolène Royal win the first round of the French Socialist primary?99.2¢10$9.6597%45
BUY NoWill Ségolène Royal win the first round of the French Socialist primary?98.8¢669$66197%45
BUY NoWill Ségolène Royal win the first round of the French Socialist primary?98.2¢76$7497%45
BUY NoWill Jérôme Guedj win the first round of the French Socialist primary?99.9¢270$26997%45
BUY NoWill Emmanuel Maurel win the first round of the French Socialist primary?99.9¢6$6.3797%45
BUY NoWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?98.6¢704$69497%45
BUY NoWill Boris Vallaud win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?99.5¢804$80097%45
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party win the MO-05 House seat?96.9¢130$12697%45
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party win the AL-07 House seat?98.5¢40$3997%45
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party win the AL-07 House seat?98.5¢40$3997%45