sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,733

End123

0x8df…36c4
WhaleWR 70+WR 60+1y+SportPoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$57.9kvol $3.96M
PnL 30d−$7,255gains $18.1k · losses $6,474
PnL 7d−$2,682win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate75.2%adj 74.2% · 30d 92.4%
Open value$308kcash n/a
Positions217 / 718open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.0ylast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$44.0kbelow peak −$57.6kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

41/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 75.2% · shrunk toward 50%86
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable95
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d96
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No135k93.6¢99.5¢$134k+$7,935$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes33.7k90.2¢90.5¢$30.5k+$92$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No33.3k83¢84.5¢$28.2k+$500+$5,261
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No23.0k81.9¢97.9¢$22.5k+$3,672$0
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No22.3k96¢97.8¢$21.8k+$383$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No8,28382¢97.2¢$8,047+$1,255+$33
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes6,22177.7¢95.6¢$5,945+$1,108$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No5,97379.1¢94.5¢$5,644+$917$0
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?No4,98680.3¢99.6¢$4,966+$963$0
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No5,00091¢97.5¢$4,875+$325$0
Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award?Yes4,01381.1¢95¢$3,813+$558+$0.04
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes5,42570.6¢42.5¢$2,306−$1,524$0
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?No2,29086¢94.9¢$2,172+$203+$0.12
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $75B by December 31?No1,30688¢99¢$1,293+$144$0
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No1,39388¢90.5¢$1,261+$35$0
Will Quentin Johnston have 249.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes1,33781.1¢93¢$1,243+$160+$14
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?No1,24291¢97.8¢$1,214+$84$0
Will Jaylen Warren have 399.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes1,22176.1¢97.3¢$1,187+$258+$67
Will Zay Flowers have 774.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes1,38572.6¢84¢$1,164+$158+$76
Will Courtland Sutton have 374.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes1,35580.5¢85¢$1,152+$61+$21
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by December 31?No1,11789¢97.1¢$1,084+$90$0
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Anthropic1,15981.9¢91.5¢$1,060+$111+$0.13
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $300B by December 31?No1,06485.1¢98.7¢$1,049+$144$0
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31?No1,11494¢92¢$1,025−$23$0
Will Jordan Addison have 474.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes1,13975.9¢80.5¢$917+$52+$26
Will Omarion Hampton have 7.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes1,40052.5¢63¢$882+$147$0
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31?No90695.4¢96.3¢$873+$7.95$0
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $32.5B by December 31?No97480.8¢86.2¢$839+$52−$0.11
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $400B by December 31?No82892¢98.6¢$816+$55$0
MLB: Perfect Game thrown in 2026 season?No78481.1¢99.8¢$782+$146−$8.78
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?No1,08744¢62¢$674+$196+$2.94
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?No65679.6¢99.8¢$654+$132$0
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $40B by December 31?No61289.3¢94¢$576+$29$0
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $400B by December 31?No57775.2¢96.4¢$556+$122$0
Will Chuba Hubbard have 624.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes59059.4¢88¢$519+$169+$107
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31?Yes62147.3¢80¢$497+$203$0
Will Christian Watson have 599.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes56171.2¢86¢$482+$83+$35
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?No64679.7¢73.5¢$474−$40+$1.00
Will Jaylen Waddle have 674.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes73664.5¢63.5¢$467−$7.41+$110
Will Pittsburgh Steelers advance to the AFC Championship Game in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?No44978¢97.7¢$439+$89$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No1,01782.8¢42¢$427−$415$0
Justin & Hailey Bieber split in 2026?No41186.5¢90.8¢$373+$17$0
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31?No48282¢77¢$371−$24−$8.03
Will Jacory Croskey-Merritt have 574.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes47949.9¢72.5¢$348+$108+$44
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?No64677.3¢53.5¢$346−$154$0
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?No55562¢62¢$344$0$0
Will Travis Kelce have 474.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes39971.9¢84.8¢$339+$51+$18
Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?No35183.1¢96¢$337+$45$0
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?No33177.6¢96.1¢$318+$61+$2.05
Will Kenneth Walker III have 524.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes29278.6¢99.6¢$290+$61+$8.92
Will Makai Lemon have 449.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes52467.1¢54¢$283−$68+$1.14
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31?No29377.1¢93.1¢$273+$47$0
Duke vs. Georgia Tech: O/U 45.5Under46354¢57.5¢$266+$16$0
UAB vs. Memphis: O/U 55.5Under43957¢60¢$263+$13$0
UAB vs. Memphis: 1H O/U 27.5Under47652.5¢54¢$257+$7.26$0
Will Tre Tucker have 574.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes58052.2¢43¢$249−$53+$79
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $30B by December 31?No30085.8¢82¢$246−$11$0
Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?No23887¢93¢$221+$14$0
Will Los Angeles Chargers advance to the AFC Championship Game in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?No22488.5¢98.5¢$221+$22$0
Will Chuba Hubbard have 424.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes21584¢90.5¢$195+$14$0
Will Jacory Croskey-Merritt have 374.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes22574.7¢85.5¢$193+$24+$65
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31?No51168¢36.5¢$187−$161−$0.67
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by December 31?No19685.7¢94.5¢$186+$17$0
Will Chase Brown have 5.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes30353¢59¢$179+$18$0
Will Mike Evans have 424.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes19080.3¢88¢$167+$15+$26
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2,0705.6¢7.4¢$152+$36+$21
Will Colston Loveland have 399.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes15981.6¢94¢$149+$20+$122
Will Rico Dowdle have 549.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes26971.3¢52.5¢$141−$50+$79
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?No56379.7¢24¢$135−$314$0
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $12.5B by December 31?No13376¢97.7¢$130+$29$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?No12688¢97.6¢$123+$12$0
Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31?No11680¢97.3¢$113+$20−$7.67
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $700B by December 31?Yes55530¢20¢$111−$56$0
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?Yes11156.9¢98.9¢$110+$47$0
Will Romeo Doubs have 449.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes15369.1¢68¢$104−$1.73$0
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by December 31?No10682¢98.5¢$104+$17$0
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes7,26085.7¢1.4¢$102−$6,120+$5.88
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31?No19377.1¢50¢$97−$52+$0.41
Will Romeo Doubs have 249.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes10483.2¢89.4¢$93+$6.45+$16
OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?Meta9379¢92.5¢$86+$13+$0.87
Will Bhayshul Tuten have 499.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes9871.5¢86.5¢$85+$15+$43
Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $7B by December 31?Yes63966.9¢13¢$83−$344$0
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $13.5B by December 31?Yes20576¢32.6¢$67−$89$0
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by December 31?No7566¢83.5¢$63+$13$0
Will George Kittle have 524.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes7362.1¢83¢$61+$15+$5.42
Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?No6285.9¢97.7¢$61+$7.33$0
Will David Montgomery have 824.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes12349.1¢49¢$60−$0.16+$3.75
Will Chase Brown have 424.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes6963.6¢86¢$59+$15$0
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31?No5779.7¢93¢$53+$7.61$0
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by December 31?Yes7350.3¢69.5¢$51+$14$0
Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?No5385.2¢93.4¢$49+$4.31$0
Will Bobby Witt Jr. win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award?Yes13746¢35.5¢$49−$14$0
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31?No5281.1¢93.9¢$49+$6.62$0
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?Yes4480¢98.4¢$43+$8.10+$2.74
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by December 31?No5088¢83¢$42−$2.50$0
Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?No4191¢98.1¢$40+$2.88$0
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?No4080¢97.6¢$39+$7.02$0
Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by December 31?No3484.8¢95.7¢$33+$3.71$0
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by December 31?Yes17151¢18.5¢$32−$56−$82
Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $5B by December 31?No3084¢98¢$29+$4.19$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY UnderUAB vs. Memphis: 1H O/U 27.553¢226$12075%41
BUY UnderUAB vs. Memphis: 1H O/U 27.552¢250$13075%41
BUY UnderUAB vs. Memphis: O/U 55.557¢439$25075%41
BUY UnderDuke vs. Georgia Tech: O/U 45.554¢463$25075%41
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?93¢15.0k$13.9k75%41Whale
BUY YesWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?5.7¢401$2375%41
BUY YesWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?5.6¢1,669$9375%41
SELL YesWill Makai Lemon have 449.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?68¢20$1475%41
SELL VikingsDolphins vs. Vikings91¢5,900$5,36975%41
BUY VikingsDolphins vs. Vikings83¢5,900$4,89775%41
BUY RavensTitans vs. Ravens86¢7,140$6,14075%41
BUY OverJaguars vs. Bengals: O/U 50.556¢1,786$1,00075%41
BUY OverJets vs. Bears: O/U 42.554¢1,852$1,00075%41
BUY RamsRams vs. Eagles: 1H Moneyline61¢1,640$1,00075%41
BUY OverCincinnati vs. Arizona: O/U 55.551¢490$25075%41
SELL LYONLoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner59.2¢1,023$60675%41
BUY LYONLoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner45¢197$8975%41
BUY Cloud9LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner91¢953$86775%41
BUY Cloud9LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner91¢263$24075%41
BUY Cloud9LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner87¢804$69975%41