sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,414

Lasting-Dessert

0x8e7…c4f3@dw8998
WhalePnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$16.9kvol $4.55M
PnL 30d+$3,424gains $7,512 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$34.0kwin rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate96.8%adj 95.0% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$291kcash n/a
Positions135 / 830open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age3.6ylast trade 1mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$37.2kbelow peak −$56.8kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

52/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale60
Adjusted win rateraw 96.8% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable97
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No40.2k74.1¢84.5¢$34.0k+$4,189$0
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes33.2k71.5¢95.6¢$31.7k+$7,999$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No12.5k85.2¢94.5¢$11.8k+$1,163$0
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?No14.2k83.6¢77.5¢$11.0k−$862$0
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?No12.5k90.6¢86.5¢$10.8k−$513$0
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?No10.0k95.6¢95.6¢$9,555−$4.99$0
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No10.0k85¢94.5¢$9,450+$950$0
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?No10.0k94¢92.5¢$9,250−$150$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No5,00081.5¢100¢$5,000+$925$0
SBF released from custody in 2026?No5,00095.4¢98.5¢$4,922+$153$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No5,00090¢97.9¢$4,893+$393$0
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No5,00092.8¢97.8¢$4,888+$248$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?No5,00082¢97.2¢$4,857+$757$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No5,00085¢97.2¢$4,857+$607$0
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?No5,00096.4¢97¢$4,847+$27$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No5,00079¢96.8¢$4,838+$888$0
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No5,00092¢96.7¢$4,835+$235$0
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No5,00087¢96.2¢$4,810+$460$0
Trump out as President before 2027?No5,00084¢96¢$4,798+$598$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No5,00093.1¢95.7¢$4,783+$128$0
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?No5,00092¢95.5¢$4,775+$175$0
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?No5,00089¢95.5¢$4,775+$325$0
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No5,00073¢94.5¢$4,725+$1,075$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?No5,00065¢94.5¢$4,725+$1,475$0
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?No5,00062¢93.6¢$4,677+$1,577$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?No5,00089.1¢92.5¢$4,625+$170$0
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?No5,00089¢91.5¢$4,575+$125$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No5,00066¢91.5¢$4,575+$1,275$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No5,00083¢90.5¢$4,525+$375$0
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No5,00086¢88.5¢$4,425+$125$0
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No5,00080¢86¢$4,300+$300$0
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?No5,00078¢82.5¢$4,125+$225$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No5,00072¢73.5¢$3,675+$75$0
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?No5,00059¢61.5¢$3,075+$125$0
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?No2,64895.8¢97.2¢$2,572+$36$0
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No2,50088¢91.5¢$2,288+$88$0
Will Hyperliquid reach $150 by December 31, 2026?No2,50079¢90.5¢$2,263+$288$0
Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026?No2,50093.1¢89.6¢$2,239−$89$0
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?No2,50089¢81¢$2,025−$200$0
No one announced as next James Bond?No2,50074.6¢80.6¢$2,014+$149$0
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No2,00088¢97.9¢$1,957+$197$0
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?No2,50082¢77.5¢$1,938−$113$0
China x Japan military clash before 2027?No2,00086¢95.5¢$1,910+$190$0
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?No1,96694.1¢96.2¢$1,890+$40$0
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?No1,90592.1¢97¢$1,848+$93$0
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?No2,50082.2¢72.1¢$1,801−$254$0
Will Solana reach $140 by December 31, 2026?No2,50081¢70¢$1,750−$275$0
Will Aster reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026?No1,78281¢92.9¢$1,656+$212+$47
Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026?No1,61794¢93.5¢$1,512−$8.08$0
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?No1,48287¢95.5¢$1,415+$126$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes2,50083.7¢48.2¢$1,204−$889$0
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No1,26681¢90.5¢$1,146+$120$0
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?No2,70580.2¢40¢$1,082−$1,087$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes5,00081¢19.5¢$975−$3,075$0
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?No2,50058¢38.5¢$962−$487$0
Will Hyperliquid dip to $30 by December 31, 2026?No80991¢96.4¢$780+$44$0
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?No80691¢96.4¢$776+$43$0
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?No80076¢91.5¢$732+$124$0
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?No83976¢78.5¢$659+$21$0
Ostium FDV above $4B one day after launch?No63394¢99.1¢$627+$32$0
Iran leadership change by December 31?No65984¢88.5¢$583+$30$0
Ostium FDV above $2B one day after launch?No54589¢98.6¢$537+$52$0
Hyperbeat FDV above $200M one day after launch?No51093¢99.1¢$505+$31$0
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No43073¢95.1¢$409+$95$0
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?No40771¢97.1¢$395+$106$0
Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch?No30567¢94.4¢$288+$84$0
Will Chainlink reach $22 by December 31, 2026?No25343¢86¢$217+$109$0
Will Hyperliquid dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?No7251¢90.5¢$65+$28$0
Will Plasma reach $0.24 by December 31, 2026?No8522¢76¢$65+$46$0
Will Hyperliquid reach $120 by December 31, 2026?No5059¢74¢$37+$7.50$0
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?No2094.1¢96.4¢$19+$0.45$0
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0080 by December 31, 2026?No2181¢57.5¢$12−$5.02$0
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes2151¢43.5¢$9.03−$1.56$0
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?No596¢97.8¢$4.89+$0.09$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No15.0k89¢0¢$0−$13.3k$0
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No15.0k79.7¢0¢$0−$11.9k$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No12.5k93.8¢0¢$0−$11.7k$0
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?No10,00047.3¢0¢$0−$4,730$0
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No10,00075¢0¢$0−$7,500$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No10,00066.5¢0¢$0−$6,650$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No10,00082¢0¢$0−$8,200$0
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No10,00066.2¢0¢$0−$6,625$0
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No7,14871.6¢0¢$0−$5,118$0
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No5,13867.9¢0¢$0−$3,489$0
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No5,00056.6¢0¢$0−$2,830$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?No5,00090¢0¢$0−$4,500$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No5,00073¢0¢$0−$3,650$0
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No5,00079¢0¢$0−$3,950$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes5,00072¢0¢$0−$3,600$0
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No5,00091.5¢0¢$0−$4,574$0
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No5,00086¢0¢$0−$4,300$0
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No5,00099.1¢0¢$0−$4,955$0
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?No5,00037.4¢0¢$0−$1,870$0
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?Yes5,00049¢0¢$0−$2,450$0
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No5,00066.4¢0¢$0−$3,322$0
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?No5,00052¢0¢$0−$2,600$0
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in August?No5,00084.4¢0¢$0−$4,220−$5.37
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No4,95052¢0¢$0−$2,574$0
Will Solana dip to $70 in February?No3,31488.1¢0¢$0−$2,919$0
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No2,50048.8¢0¢$0−$1,220+$36

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?96¢5$4.8097%52
BUY NoWill Ethereum reach $2,500 in August?70.1¢366$25797%52
BUY NoSBF released from custody in 2026?95.4¢1,131$1,07997%52
BUY NoWill Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?76¢682$51897%52
SELL NoTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?99.5¢2,500$2,48797%52
SELL NoNetanyahu out by May 31?99.6¢604$60297%52
SELL NoWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?99.7¢5,000$4,98597%52
SELL NoWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?99.7¢25.0k$24.9k97%52Whale
SELL YesIran closes its airspace by May 24?0.5¢30.0k$15297%52
SELL YesIran closes its airspace by May 31?21.1¢9,999$2,10697%52
SELL YesIran closes its airspace by May 27?12.1¢9,999$1,20997%52
SELL NoIran closes its airspace by June 30?1.8¢2,500$4497%52
SELL NoIran closes its airspace by June 15?1.5¢2,500$3697%52
SELL NoIran closes its airspace by May 31?2¢5,000$10197%52
SELL NoIran closes its airspace by May 27?2.4¢5,000$11997%52
SELL NoIran closes its airspace by May 24?2.8¢4,727$13297%52
BUY NoTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?98.4¢14$1497%52
BUY NoWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?96¢5,000$4,80097%52
BUY NoIran leadership change by March 31?79¢157$12497%52
BUY YesWill Iran strike Israel on March 10?96.6¢2,983$2,88297%52