Traders/Rank #396

Siziriv

0x8e9…38e4

SharpPnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsSport

Polymarket

PnL all-time+$508kvol $113M

PnL 30d+$146gains $29.8k · losses $10.0k

PnL 7d+$49win rate 7d 100.0%

Win rate83.5%adj 82.1% · 30d 66.7%

Open value$10.2kcash n/a

Positions2,000 / 6,361open / all-time

Max drawdown−31.9%of equity peak

Account age1.8ylast trade 3d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$391kbelow peak −$171kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

80/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale82

Adjusted win rateraw 83.5% · shrunk toward 50%100

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d89

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity68

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$199k Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election? · Yesopen+$188k Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? · Yesopen+$168k Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? · Yesopen+$74.1k Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? · Yesopen+$41.7k

Worst markets

Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election? · Yesopen−$245k Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yesopen−$236k Will Kim Kyoung-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? · Yesopen−$232k Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting? · Yesopen−$210k Will SPD win the most seats in the next German election? · Yesopen−$205k

Open positions · 100

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	7,450	0.4¢	0.5¢	$34	+$4.19	$0	25mo
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	19.8k	0.4¢	0.2¢	$30	−$48	$0	25mo
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	19.8k	0.4¢	0.2¢	$30	−$48	$0	25mo
Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	19.8k	0.4¢	0.2¢	$30	−$48	$0	25mo
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	19.8k	0.4¢	0.2¢	$30	−$48	$0	25mo
Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	19.8k	0.4¢	0.2¢	$30	−$48	$0	25mo
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	19.8k	0.4¢	0.2¢	$30	−$48	$0	25mo
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	7,450	0.4¢	0.3¢	$19	−$11	$0	25mo
Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	7,450	0.4¢	0.2¢	$11	−$18	$0	25mo
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	7,450	0.4¢	0.2¢	$11	−$18	$0	25mo
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	19.8k	0.4¢	0.1¢	$9.92	−$68	$0	25mo
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	19.8k	0.4¢	0.1¢	$9.92	−$68	$0	25mo
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	19.8k	0.4¢	0.1¢	$9.92	−$68	$0	25mo
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	7,450	0.4¢	0.1¢	$3.72	−$26	$0	25mo
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	7,450	0.4¢	0.1¢	$3.72	−$26	$0	25mo
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	7,450	0.4¢	0.1¢	$3.72	−$26	$0	25mo
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	7,450	0.4¢	0.1¢	$3.72	−$26	$0	25mo
Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?	Yes	1.62M	0.8¢	0¢	$0	−$12.7k	−$343	3mo
Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?	Yes	1.62M	0.8¢	0¢	$0	−$12.7k	−$346	3mo
Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair?	Yes	1.60M	0.8¢	0¢	$0	−$12.5k	−$611	3mo
Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair?	Yes	1.59M	0.8¢	0¢	$0	−$12.3k	−$774	3mo
Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?	Yes	1.58M	0.8¢	0¢	$0	−$12.2k	−$856	3mo
Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?	Yes	1.54M	0.8¢	0¢	$0	−$11.6k	−$1,447	3mo
Will Trump nominate Larry Lindsey as the next Fed chair?	Yes	1.54M	0.8¢	0¢	$0	−$11.6k	−$1,434	3mo
Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair?	Yes	1.54M	0.8¢	0¢	$0	−$11.5k	−$1,453	3mo
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	1.48M	0.7¢	0¢	$0	−$10.8k	−$2,186	3mo
Will Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair?	Yes	1.45M	0.7¢	0¢	$0	−$10.4k	−$2,505	3mo
Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?	Yes	1.45M	0.7¢	0¢	$0	−$10.3k	−$2,573	3mo
Will Trump nominate Marc Sumerlin as the next Fed chair?	Yes	1.44M	0.7¢	0¢	$0	−$10.2k	−$2,693	3mo
Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair?	Yes	1.42M	0.7¢	0¢	$0	−$10.0k	−$2,886	3mo
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	Yes	1.42M	0.7¢	0¢	$0	−$10.0k	−$2,712	3mo
Will Trump nominate David Zervos as the next Fed chair?	Yes	1.26M	0.6¢	0¢	$0	−$7,725	−$4,998	3mo
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	Yes	833k	0.2¢	0¢	$0	−$1,636	−$5,209	3mo
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?	Yes	830k	0.2¢	0¢	$0	−$1,588	−$10.7k	3mo
Will Kwon Yeong-guk be elected the next president of South Korea?	Yes	540k	1.4¢	0¢	$0	−$7,397	+$80	ended
Will Hwang Kyo-ahn be elected the next president of South Korea?	Yes	540k	1.4¢	0¢	$0	−$7,397	+$80	ended
Will Cho Kuk be elected the next president of South Korea?	Yes	538k	1.4¢	0¢	$0	−$7,368	+$52	ended
Will Oh Se-hoon be elected the next president of South Korea?	Yes	531k	1.4¢	0¢	$0	−$7,217	−$78	ended
Will Kim Boo-kyum be elected the next president of South Korea?	Yes	531k	1.4¢	0¢	$0	−$7,266	−$51	ended
Will Na Kyung-won be elected the next president of South Korea?	Yes	531k	1.4¢	0¢	$0	−$7,217	−$96	ended
Will Won Hee-ryong be elected the next president of South Korea?	Yes	531k	1.4¢	0¢	$0	−$7,236	−$79	ended
Will Hong Joon-pyo be elected the next president of South Korea?	Yes	531k	1.4¢	0¢	$0	−$7,217	+$9.41	ended
Will Kim Kyoung-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?	Yes	526k	44.2¢	0¢	$0	−$233k	+$409	ended
Will Yoo Seong-min be elected the next president of South Korea?	Yes	526k	1.4¢	0¢	$0	−$7,192	−$117	ended
Will Lee Nak-yon be elected the next president of South Korea?	Yes	526k	1.4¢	0¢	$0	−$7,192	−$114	ended
Will Ahn Cheol-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?	Yes	526k	1.4¢	0¢	$0	−$7,192	−$30	ended
Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?	Yes	526k	1.4¢	0¢	$0	−$7,192	+$494	ended
Will Kim Dong-yeon be elected the next president of South Korea?	Yes	513k	1.3¢	0¢	$0	−$6,883	−$413	ended
Will Nicolae Ciucă win the Romanian presidential election?	Yes	495k	2.1¢	0¢	$0	−$10.4k	−$285	ended
Will Mircea Geoană win the Romanian presidential election?	Yes	489k	2.1¢	0¢	$0	−$10.3k	−$409	ended
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	Yes	488k	0¢	0¢	$0	−$220	−$9,921	3mo
Will Teodor Nițulescu win the Romanian presidential election?	Yes	488k	2.1¢	0¢	$0	−$10.2k	−$433	ended
Will Hunor Kelemen win the Romanian presidential election?	Yes	487k	2.1¢	0¢	$0	−$10.2k	−$454	ended
Will Ana Birchall win the Romanian presidential election?	Yes	486k	2.1¢	0¢	$0	−$10.2k	−$456	ended
Will John-Ion Banu-Muscel win the Romanian presidential election?	Yes	485k	2.1¢	0¢	$0	−$10.2k	−$479	ended
Will Cristian Sima win the Romanian presidential election?	Yes	485k	2.1¢	0¢	$0	−$10.2k	−$478	ended
Will Anamaria Gavrilă win the Romanian presidential election?	Yes	484k	2.1¢	0¢	$0	−$10.2k	−$509	ended
Will Marcel Ciolacu win the Romanian presidential election?	Yes	481k	2.1¢	0¢	$0	−$10.1k	−$558	ended
Will Daniel Funeriu win the Romanian presidential election?	Yes	479k	2.1¢	0¢	$0	−$10.1k	−$586	ended
Will Diana Șoșoacă win the Romanian presidential election?	Yes	474k	2.1¢	0¢	$0	−$9,963	−$707	ended
Will Ilie Bolojan win the Romanian presidential election?	Yes	458k	2.1¢	0¢	$0	−$9,633	−$1,019	ended
Will Anton Pisaroglu win the Romanian presidential election?	Yes	458k	2.1¢	0¢	$0	−$9,596	−$1,056	ended
Will Cristian-Vasile Terheș win the Romanian presidential election?	Yes	456k	2.1¢	0¢	$0	−$9,602	−$1,050	ended
Will Han Dong-hoon be elected the next president of South Korea?	Yes	441k	1.3¢	0¢	$0	−$5,810	−$1,285	ended
Will Marcela-Lavinia Șandru win the Romanian presidential election?	Yes	433k	2.1¢	0¢	$0	−$9,127	−$1,500	ended
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be elected the next president of South Korea?	Yes	421k	1.3¢	0¢	$0	−$5,520	−$1,671	ended
Will Silviu Predoiu win the Romanian presidential election?	Yes	413k	2.1¢	0¢	$0	−$8,706	−$1,897	ended
Will Krzysztof Stanowski be the next President of Poland?	Yes	410k	2.8¢	0¢	$0	−$11.4k	+$128	ended
Will Waldemar Witkowski be the next President of Poland?	Yes	410k	2.8¢	0¢	$0	−$11.4k	+$128	ended
Will Romuald Starosielec be the next President of Poland?	Yes	410k	2.8¢	0¢	$0	−$11.4k	+$128	ended
Will Szymon Hołownia be the next President of Poland?	Yes	410k	5¢	0¢	$0	−$20.6k	+$230	ended
Will Agnieszka Dziemianowicz-Bąk be the next President of Poland?	Yes	410k	2.8¢	0¢	$0	−$11.4k	+$128	ended
Will Magdalena Biejat be the next President of Poland?	Yes	410k	2.8¢	0¢	$0	−$11.4k	+$128	ended
Will Maciej Maciak be the next President of Poland?	Yes	409k	2.8¢	0¢	$0	−$11.4k	+$90	ended
Will Marek Woch be the next President of Poland?	Yes	409k	2.8¢	0¢	$0	−$11.4k	+$90	ended
Will Joanna Senyszyn be the next President of Poland?	Yes	409k	47.1¢	0¢	$0	−$193k	+$2,402	ended
Will Marek Jakubiak be the next President of Poland?	Yes	405k	2.8¢	0¢	$0	−$11.2k	−$17	ended
Will Artur Bartoszewicz be the next President of Poland?	Yes	401k	2.8¢	0¢	$0	−$11.1k	−$109	ended
Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?	Yes	353k	2.1¢	0¢	$0	−$7,361	−$2,331	ended
Will Adrian Zandberg be the next President of Poland?	Yes	350k	2.8¢	0¢	$0	−$9,709	−$1,495	ended
Will Grzegorz Braun be the next President of Poland?	Yes	350k	2.8¢	0¢	$0	−$9,708	−$1,457	ended
Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?	Yes	348k	2.8¢	0¢	$0	−$9,658	−$1,216	ended
Will Justin Trudeau be the next Canadian Prime Minister?	Yes	314k	3¢	0¢	$0	−$9,525	+$11	ended
Will Jagmeet Singh be the next Canadian Prime Minister?	Yes	314k	3¢	0¢	$0	−$9,525	+$11	ended
Will Chrystia Freeland be the next Canadian Prime Minister?	Yes	314k	47.7¢	0¢	$0	−$150k	+$537	ended
Will Sebastian-Constantin Popescu win the Romanian presidential election?	Yes	298k	2.1¢	0¢	$0	−$6,213	−$4,281	ended
Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election?	Yes	294k	50¢	0¢	$0	−$147k	−$98.1k	ended
Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?	Yes	294k	2.1¢	0¢	$0	−$6,123	+$7,482	ended
Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?	Yes	286k	2.1¢	0¢	$0	−$5,964	+$42.8k	ended
Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	286k	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	$0	ended
Will Adrienne Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	260k	49.3¢	0¢	$0	−$128k	−$55.8k	ended
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	223k	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	+$717	ended
Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?	Yes	213k	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	$0	ended
Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?	Yes	213k	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	−$3.72	ended
Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?	Yes	213k	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	$0	ended
Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026?	Yes	213k	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	−$1,636	ended
Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?	Yes	213k	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	−$138	ended
Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?	Yes	213k	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	$0	ended
Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?	Yes	213k	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	−$3.72	ended
Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?	Yes	213k	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	−$3.72	ended

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp	Flags
3d ago	BUY No	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	16.9¢	6,160	$1,041	84%	80	Sharp
3d ago	BUY No	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	81¢	6,160	$4,990	84%	80	Sharp
19d ago	BUY No	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	18¢	3,440	$619	84%	80	Sharp
19d ago	BUY No	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	99.7¢	3,440	$3,430	84%	80	Sharp
19d ago	BUY No	Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	99.9¢	3,440	$3,437	84%	80	Sharp
19d ago	BUY No	Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	99.9¢	3,440	$3,437	84%	80	Sharp
19d ago	BUY No	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	83.3¢	3,440	$2,866	84%	80	Sharp
19d ago	BUY No	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	99.1¢	3,440	$3,409	84%	80	Sharp
22d ago	BUY No	Will FK Kharkiv vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi end in a draw?	84¢	1	$1.01	84%	80	Sharp
22d ago	BUY No	Will FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi win on 2026-09-19?	84¢	1	$1.01	84%	80	Sharp
28d ago	SELL Yes	Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	0.1¢	3	$0	84%	80	Sharp
28d ago	SELL Yes	Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	0.1¢	3	$0	84%	80	Sharp
28d ago	SELL Yes	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	1¢	0	$0	84%	80	Sharp
28d ago	SELL Yes	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	3¢	0	$0.01	84%	80	Sharp
28d ago	BUY No	Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	99.9¢	3,300	$3,297	84%	80	Sharp
28d ago	BUY No	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	97¢	3,303	$3,204	84%	80	Sharp
28d ago	BUY No	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	80¢	3,303	$2,643	84%	80	Sharp
28d ago	BUY No	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	24¢	3,303	$793	84%	80	Sharp
28d ago	BUY No	Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	99.9¢	3,300	$3,297	84%	80	Sharp
28d ago	BUY No	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	99¢	3,303	$3,270	84%	80	Sharp