Traders/Unranked

Ordon

0x8eb…83ce

SharpWhalePnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsSportCrypto

Polymarket

PnL all-time+$74.8kvol $36.5M

PnL 30d+$434gains $356 · losses $589

PnL 7d+$127win rate 7d 73.2%

Win rate75.1%adj 74.1% · 30d 77.9%

Open value$138kcash n/a

Positions25 / 6,295open / all-time

Max drawdown−27.2%of equity peak

Account age2.0ylast trade 3h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$75.9kbelow peak $0Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

77/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale70

Adjusted win rateraw 75.1% · shrunk toward 50%85

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity73

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Noopen+$37.6k Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? · Yesclosed+$2,641 Exact Score: Elche CF 3 - 0 Toulouse FC? · Yesclosed+$1,250 Exact Score: Any Other Score? · Noclosed+$1,250 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$492

Worst markets

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yesopen−$37.6k Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? · Noclosed−$2,496 Exact Score: Any Other Score? · Yesclosed−$1,251 Exact Score: Elche CF 3 - 0 Toulouse FC? · Noclosed−$1,250 Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5 · Overclosed−$327

Open positions · 25

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	135k	50¢	77.9¢	$105k	+$37.6k	$0	25mo
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	135k	50¢	22.2¢	$29.9k	−$37.6k	$0	25mo
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?	No	1,586	73.7¢	77.5¢	$1,229	+$60	+$17	3mo
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	1,000	91.4¢	97.1¢	$970	+$56	$0	3mo
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 6-12?	Yes	464	45.3¢	100¢	$464	+$253	+$187	ended
Will Sneako be deported in 2026?	No	208	95.4¢	96.2¢	$200	+$1.69	$0	3mo
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?	No	206	81.8¢	81.5¢	$168	−$0.67	$0	3mo
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	94	63.1¢	57.5¢	$54	−$5.24	+$22	3mo
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	300	9¢	14.5¢	$44	+$17	$0	3mo
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?	No	60	55¢	72.2¢	$43	+$10	$0	3mo
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	10	35.6¢	89¢	$9.19	+$5.51	−$3.13	3mo
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	100	10¢	6.5¢	$6.50	−$3.50	$0	18d 16h
Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	5	96.9¢	99.6¢	$4.98	+$0.13	+$0.58	48d 16h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	5	82.6¢	97.8¢	$4.93	+$0.76	+$135	3mo
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No	5	90¢	96.8¢	$4.84	+$0.34	$0	3mo
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	5	94¢	94.5¢	$4.72	+$0.02	$0	3mo
Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	9,420	0.1¢	0.1¢	$4.71	−$4.90	+$4.92	3mo
US plague travel ban on Russia in 2026?	No	5	93¢	93.5¢	$4.67	+$0.02	+$0.11	3mo
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	86	16.2¢	4.5¢	$3.89	−$10	$0	3mo
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	5	38¢	38.5¢	$1.93	+$0.03	$0	21d 16h
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	21	6.5¢	6.3¢	$1.29	−$0.04	+$2.76	3mo
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	1	64¢	89¢	$0.89	+$0.25	+$9.31	3mo
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	Yes	5	38¢	15.5¢	$0.78	−$1.13	$0	3mo
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	No	10	19¢	7.5¢	$0.75	−$1.15	$0	3mo
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	1	67¢	12.5¢	$0.13	−$0.55	−$2.33	ended

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp	Flags
3h ago	BUY No	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	99.9¢	50	$50	75%	77	Sharp
10h ago	BUY Kia Tigers	KBO: LG Twins vs. Kia Tigers	99.9¢	210	$210	75%	77	Sharp
22h ago	BUY No	Will Trump say "Pig" or "Piggy" this week?	99.9¢	556	$555	75%	77	Sharp
22h ago	BUY Yes	Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 52-53°F on October 11?	99.9¢	57	$57	75%	77	Sharp
1d ago	BUY Yes	Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?	99.9¢	123	$123	75%	77	Sharp
1d ago	BUY DENDELE CS	Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs DENDELE CS - Map 2 Winner	99.8¢	556	$554	75%	77	Sharp
1d ago	SELL Yes	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 6-12?	82.8¢	52	$43	75%	77	Sharp
1d ago	BUY No	Eli Raridon: Anytime Touchdown	99.9¢	50	$50	75%	77	Sharp
1d ago	BUY Over	BLAST Slam VIII Grand Final Game 1: Roshan Kills O/U 2.5	99.9¢	71	$71	75%	77	Sharp
1d ago	BUY Yes	Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?	99.9¢	556	$555	75%	77	Sharp
1d ago	BUY Yes	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 6-12?	43¢	37	$16	75%	77	Sharp
1d ago	BUY Yes	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 6-12?	43.3¢	57	$25	75%	77	Sharp
1d ago	BUY Yes	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 6-12?	79¢	110	$87	75%	77	Sharp
2d ago	BUY Over	Kansas vs. Utah: O/U 61.5	99.9¢	556	$555	75%	77	Sharp
2d ago	BUY Ka4kanarskie cyxariki	Dota 2: Ka4kanarskie cyxariki vs Shadow Dance (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Open Qualifier 1 Playoffs	49¢	11	$5.47	75%	77	Sharp
2d ago	BUY Misa Esports	Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Misa Esports (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season	49¢	50	$25	75%	77	Sharp
2d ago	BUY ReThink	Counter-Strike: Drama eSports vs ReThink (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season	49¢	97	$47	75%	77	Sharp
2d ago	BUY Team Nemesis	Dota 2: Team Kinetix vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage	98.1¢	556	$545	75%	77	Sharp
3d ago	SELL Yes	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	10¢	4	$0.40	75%	77	Sharp
3d ago	BUY No	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	38¢	5	$1.90	75%	77	Sharp