sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #766

DumplingBMF

0x8f6…7df1
PnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 60+1y+SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$264kvol $24.1M
PnL 30d−$24.5kgains $172k · losses $56.2k
PnL 7d+$4,309win rate 7d 90.5%
Win rate68.0%adj 67.3% · 30d 72.7%
Open value$59.3kcash n/a
Positions152 / 3,573open / all-time
Max drawdown−46.3%of equity peak
Account age2.5ylast trade 8h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$247kbelow peak −$196kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

70/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale77
Adjusted win rateraw 68.0% · shrunk toward 50%68
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity54

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?Yes32.4k51.5¢37¢$12.0k−$4,709+$0.87
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No10.0k71.6¢83.5¢$8,353+$1,187+$9,314
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?No9,45961.8¢65.5¢$6,195+$348+$526
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Yes21.1k34.9¢23.5¢$4,947−$2,412$0
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?Yes6,16649.2¢71¢$4,378+$1,346+$193
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No2,25746.6¢95.7¢$2,160+$1,108$0
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?Yes10.1k54.5¢20.5¢$2,063−$3,425$0
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Yes2,18358.4¢94¢$2,052+$778$0
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?No1,99692.7¢96.2¢$1,920+$69+$63
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?Yes7,35844.7¢23.5¢$1,729−$1,560$0
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes24.8k60.3¢5.5¢$1,367−$13.6k$0
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?Yes5,05251.6¢26.5¢$1,339−$1,266+$22
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?Yes7,23316.7¢18.5¢$1,338+$130$0
Will Russia capture Mykolaivka by October 31, 2026?No1,32991.4¢98.4¢$1,307+$93+$9.98
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?No1,02563.3¢90.5¢$928+$279$0
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?Yes2,78163.3¢32.5¢$904−$858$0
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No65193.3¢84.5¢$550−$57+$28
Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by December 31, 2026?No66972.9¢80¢$535+$48$0
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by December 31?No54892¢94.7¢$519+$15$0
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?No50064.2¢97.1¢$485+$164$0
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?No40085¢95.9¢$384+$44$0
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?No41170.6¢87.5¢$359+$69−$81
Will Russia capture Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026?No38076.5¢92¢$349+$59$0
Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?Yes2,99031.7¢11.5¢$342−$607$0
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?No32474¢95¢$308+$68$0
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No30078.7¢96.9¢$291+$55$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No30087¢88.5¢$266+$4.50$0
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?No20085.7¢98.3¢$197+$25$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No20082¢97.2¢$194+$30$0
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?No20051¢95¢$190+$88$0
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No20086¢94¢$188+$16$0
Will Tom Aspinall be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No16255¢99.6¢$161+$72+$3.80
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31?Yes16488¢85.5¢$140−$4.09$0
Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes20059¢68¢$136+$18$0
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?Yes16469¢81¢$133+$20+$62
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No12889.7¢99.4¢$127+$12+$9.81
Will Diego Lopes become UFC champion in 2026?Yes1,11111¢7.8¢$87−$36$0
Will Marcin Tybura be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No6781¢100¢$67+$13$0
Will Russia capture Serhiivka by December 31?Yes48211.8¢10¢$48−$8.53+$30
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Yes50050¢9.5¢$48−$203$0
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?No6051¢73¢$44+$13$0
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?Yes1,31214.8¢3.1¢$41−$154$0
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?No4055¢69¢$28+$5.60$0
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?No2575¢97.1¢$24+$5.53+$23
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?No3039¢76¢$23+$11$0
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?No2182¢97.8¢$21+$3.32$0
Will Ian Machado Garry be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No1087¢100¢$9.99+$1.29$0
Will Curtis Blaydes be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No871.9¢100¢$7.70+$2.16$0
Will Serghei Spivac be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No475¢100¢$3.70+$0.92$0
Will Deiveson Figueiredo be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No274.8¢100¢$1.92+$0.48$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No66.0k84.9¢0¢$0−$56.1k+$3,807
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No63.2k61.7¢0¢$0−$39.0k+$2,196
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 PlayoffsNemiga20.0k50.7¢0¢$0−$10.2k+$0.77
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 2 WinnerFaZe20.0k37.8¢0¢$0−$7,573−$13
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA - Map 1 WinnerG220.0k50.1¢0¢$0−$10.0k$0
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries PlayoffsVitality20.0k76¢0¢$0−$15.2k$0
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs 3DMAX (BO5) - Logitech G Play Connect PlayoffsLuminosity20.0k57¢0¢$0−$11.4k$0
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsVitality18.0k56.7¢0¢$0−$10.2k+$6.99
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No15.3k83.4¢0¢$0−$12.8k+$96
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsB812.0k18.8¢0¢$0−$2,260$0
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Atlanta PlayoffsBetBoom Team11.0k46.9¢0¢$0−$5,160$0
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Alliance (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND PlayoffsAlliance10.0k43.9¢0¢$0−$4,411$0
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs3DMAX10.0k48.7¢0¢$0−$4,870−$33
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Alliance (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group BAlliance10.0k29¢0¢$0−$2,900$0
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons10,00044.7¢0¢$0−$4,470$0
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z - Map 2 Winner9z10,00038¢0¢$0−$3,800$0
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group BNatus Vincere10,00062¢0¢$0−$6,200$0
Will B8 Win the CS2 EWC 2026?Yes10,0001.4¢0¢$0−$140$0
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner3DMAX9,31660¢0¢$0−$5,589$0
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group BPARIVISION9,13833.5¢0¢$0−$3,064−$0.06
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 1 WinnerPARIVISION9,05747¢0¢$0−$4,257−$3.81
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs K27 (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 PlayoffsK277,11144.6¢0¢$0−$3,171$0
Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30?Yes7,10825.9¢0¢$0−$1,844−$25
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs 3DMAX - Map 3 Winner3DMAX6,22449.8¢0¢$0−$3,098$0
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group CPhantom5,03855¢0¢$0−$2,768$0
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs M80 (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup PlayoffsLuminosity5,00050¢0¢$0−$2,500$0
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ5,00061¢0¢$0−$3,050$0
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageG25,00056¢0¢$0−$2,800$0
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs GamerLegion (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group BGamerLegion5,00045.4¢0¢$0−$2,270$0
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerSinners5,00031.4¢0¢$0−$1,570$0
Will FaZe Clan Win the CS2 EWC 2026?Yes4,5523.2¢0¢$0−$146−$2.47
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Alliance - Map 1 WinnerAlliance4,00049.2¢0¢$0−$1,970−$2.15
Counter-Strike: NIP vs M80 (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group ANIP3,07454.6¢0¢$0−$1,678$0
Counter-Strike: M80 vs BESTIA (BO3) - iBUYPOWER Masters fl0m's Mythical LAN Group BBESTIA3,06730¢0¢$0−$920$0
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming3,06344.3¢0¢$0−$1,357−$25
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerLuminosity3,03137.6¢0¢$0−$1,141−$12
Counter-Strike: M80 vs GamerLegion (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group AGamerLegion3,00045.7¢0¢$0−$1,370$0
Counter-Strike: NIP vs GamerLegion - Map 2 WinnerNIP3,00049.7¢0¢$0−$1,490$0
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs magic (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffsmagic3,00044¢0¢$0−$1,320$0
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageLegacy3,00055¢0¢$0−$1,650$0
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION - Map 2 WinnerLegacy3,00054.3¢0¢$0−$1,630−$21
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Luminosity (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group ALuminosity2,85154.4¢0¢$0−$1,551−$9.54
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs QUAZAR (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series PlayoffsQUAZAR2,84141.1¢0¢$0−$1,168−$18
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Sinners - Map 1 WinnerSinners2,47343.7¢0¢$0−$1,081−$25
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Iberian Soul (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5: Closed Qualifier PlayoffsPhantom2,40048¢0¢$0−$1,152−$25
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA - Map 2 WinnerFURIA2,40040.7¢0¢$0−$976$0
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs magic - Map 2 Winnermagic2,08656.3¢0¢$0−$1,175$0
Counter-Strike: B8 vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier PlayoffsHOTU2,00044.6¢0¢$0−$892−$174
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto PlayoffsTeam Falcons2,00038¢0¢$0−$760$0
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - ROG Journey PlayoffsJiJieHao2,00045¢0¢$0−$900$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?65¢314$20468%70
BUY NoWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?84.5¢220$18668%70
BUY NoWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?83.2¢2,707$2,25168%70
BUY NoWill Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?95.5¢251$24068%70
BUY GothicCounter-Strike: mellren vs Gothic (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B57¢249$14268%70
BUY 9zCounter-Strike: 9z vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner42¢1,000$42068%70
BUY YesWill Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?42.8¢465$19968%70
BUY YesWill Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31?88¢164$14468%70
BUY VitalityCounter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage56.7¢3,042$1,72568%70
BUY VitalityCounter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage53.8¢2,013$1,08268%70
BUY Team FalconsCounter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner37¢33$1268%70
BUY VitalityCounter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner56¢2,000$1,12068%70
BUY MOUZCounter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage68¢2,000$1,36068%70
BUY NoWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?86¢2,020$1,73768%70
BUY NoWill Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?65.6¢996$65468%70
BUY AstralisCounter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis - Map 4 Winner56¢2,905$1,62768%70
BUY AstralisCounter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis - Map 4 Winner55¢48$2668%70
BUY AstralisCounter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis - Map 3 Winner49¢326$16068%70
BUY AstralisCounter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis - Map 3 Winner50¢35$1868%70
BUY AstralisCounter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis - Map 3 Winner47¢364$17168%70