PnL all-time−$84vol $21.9k
PnL 30d+$0.36gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$0.44win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate35.3%adj 43.2% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$513cash n/a
Positions5 / 24open / all-time
Max drawdown−13.7%of equity peak
Account age2.4ylast trade 2mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$81below peak −$134Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
17/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 35.3% · shrunk toward 50%8
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable46
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity86
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yesclosed−$410Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Noclosed−$45Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup? · Yesclosed−$15Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025? · Yesclosed−$12Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yesopen−$11
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 403 | 99.3¢ | 99.9¢ | $402 | +$2.22 | $0 | |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 56 | 0¢ | 98.7¢ | $55 | +$55 | $0 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 52 | 0¢ | 97.8¢ | $51 | +$51 | $0 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 27 | 27.4¢ | 15.5¢ | $4.23 | −$3.27 | $0 | |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 28 | 40¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$11 | $0 |
Recent trades
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