sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,602

0x91c…409f

0x91c…409f
WhalePnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsCryptoOtherSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$11.7kvol $0
PnL 30d−$21.9kgains $12.2k · losses $131
PnL 7d+$7,301win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate70.6%adj 66.7% · 30d 86.1%
Open value$73.6kcash n/a
Positions92 / 268open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age3mo

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

Not enough history to draw an equity curve.

SharpScore inputs

61/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale58
Adjusted win rateraw 70.6% · shrunk toward 50%67
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable81
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 92

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes32.3k90.1¢81.5¢$26.3k−$2,760$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes8,64686.1¢90.5¢$7,825+$382$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo19.2k38.4¢36.5¢$6,993−$359$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No12.4k40.2¢42¢$5,223+$223$0
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No4,06273¢73.5¢$2,986+$19$0
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes3,51982¢81.5¢$2,868−$18$0
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?No2,00486.4¢92.5¢$1,853+$121$0
Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?Yes8,88814.2¢19.5¢$1,733+$467$0
Will Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?Yes6,72717.4¢18¢$1,211+$41$0
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?Yes2,10344.3¢55.5¢$1,167+$235$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes1,87443.6¢58¢$1,086+$269$0
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?No1,16280.4¢80¢$930−$4.29$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo90586.3¢91.5¢$828+$47$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%?No87188.2¢91.5¢$797+$28$0
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?No78395.2¢96.9¢$759+$13$0
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No78595.4¢96.7¢$759+$10$0
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No1,21459¢61.5¢$747+$30$0
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?No81380.6¢90.5¢$736+$81$0
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Yes1,53163.9¢48¢$735−$243$0
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes72585¢95.5¢$692+$76$0
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?No56588¢91.5¢$517+$20$0
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes2,01326¢22.5¢$453−$70$0
Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026?No48882¢89.5¢$437+$37$0
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No44091¢95.5¢$420+$20$0
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No45986.6¢89.5¢$411+$13$0
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes42670.5¢95.6¢$407+$107$0
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Yes41493¢86.5¢$358−$27$0
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes40750.4¢82¢$334+$129$0
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?No38374.4¢84.5¢$324+$39$0
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?No37653.2¢65.5¢$246+$46$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No25294¢94.5¢$238+$1.26$0
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?No25578.3¢88.5¢$226+$26$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No22788¢90.5¢$206+$5.68$0
Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No21893.6¢93¢$202−$1.26$0
Will the International Space Station win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No20697¢97.7¢$201+$1.34$0
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No21052.2¢94.3¢$198+$88$0
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No20696.9¢95.7¢$197−$2.42$0
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?No20651¢88.5¢$182+$77$0
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes13274.6¢96.2¢$127+$29$0
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?No12297.6¢99¢$121+$1.66$0
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?No20050¢57.5¢$115+$15$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No13385¢84.5¢$112−$0.67$0
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?Yes19252¢55.5¢$107+$6.73$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No12271¢87¢$106+$20$0
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?No12579.9¢78¢$98−$2.40$0
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No11289¢86.5¢$97−$2.81$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No10050¢97.2¢$97+$47$0
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No10050¢90.7¢$91+$41$0
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes20050¢42.6¢$85−$15$0
Will Bruno Retailleau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No8594.2¢93.5¢$79−$0.58$0
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?No7095.8¢97.4¢$68+$1.09$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No7665.9¢79.5¢$60+$10$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes31962¢15.5¢$50−$149$0
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes2,6411.8¢1.9¢$49+$1.32$0
Will Carole Delga advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No5095.8¢97.2¢$49+$0.68$0
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Yes13137¢37¢$48−$0.07$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes4570.3¢83.5¢$37+$5.92$0
Will Élisabeth Borne announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?No3094.3¢94.1¢$28−$0.07$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes12320.8¢19.9¢$24−$1.13$0
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?Yes3132¢43.5¢$13+$3.52$0
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2,8001.2¢0.5¢$13−$22$0
Trump out as President before 2027?No1194.2¢96¢$10+$0.19$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No1359.6¢80.2¢$10+$2.59$0
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No983.9¢95.1¢$8.30+$0.98$0
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?No852.7¢87.5¢$7.19+$2.86$0
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes2563.9¢2.3¢$5.77−$4.23$0
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes686.2¢95.9¢$5.51+$0.56$0
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?No774¢80.5¢$5.38+$0.43$0
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?No1069¢51¢$5.10−$1.80$0
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No596.3¢97.8¢$5.08+$0.08$0
Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?No684¢79¢$4.66−$0.29$0
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?No582¢79.5¢$3.84−$0.12$0
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?No1053.3¢34.5¢$3.45−$1.88$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes560.2¢63.5¢$3.23+$0.17$0
Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?Yes678¢45.5¢$2.88−$2.06$0
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Yes3556¢8¢$2.82−$17$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes483.9¢71.4¢$2.53−$0.44$0
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No6614.7¢3.8¢$2.52−$7.21$0
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes553.3¢53¢$2.48−$0.01$0
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No295.6¢97.1¢$2.02+$0.03$0
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No291¢90.5¢$1.99−$0.01$0
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No298.2¢98¢$1.98−$0.01$0
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No295.8¢95.4¢$1.98−$0.01$0
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?No1035¢19.5¢$1.95−$1.55$0
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?No292.7¢87.3¢$1.87−$0.12$0
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes1127¢12.5¢$1.35−$1.56$0
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes2219.4¢4.9¢$1.08−$3.18$0
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes1751.1¢0.6¢$1.05−$0.87$0
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?No182¢77.5¢$1.00−$0.06$0
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No250¢18.5¢$0.37−$0.63$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes125.1¢2.9¢$0.34−$0.27$0
Will XRP dip to $0.20 by December 31, 2026?Yes950¢1.5¢$0.13−$4.34$0

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