| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,955 | 78.7¢ | 87.5¢ | $2,586 | +$259 | +$16 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | 2,500 | 86.5¢ | 96.7¢ | $2,416 | +$254 | +$270 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 2,810 | 66.8¢ | 69.5¢ | $1,953 | +$76 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Dobropillia by October 31, 2026? | No | 950 | 90.5¢ | 96.5¢ | $916 | +$57 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 1,400 | 65.1¢ | 64.5¢ | $903 | −$8.75 | −$9.49 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 900 | 52.2¢ | 84.5¢ | $761 | +$291 | +$587 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 800 | 58.7¢ | 87.4¢ | $699 | +$229 | +$434 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? | No | 1,796 | 41.3¢ | 37.5¢ | $673 | −$67 | −$40 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | No | 700 | 63.4¢ | 62.5¢ | $437 | −$6.50 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 650 | 64.8¢ | 64.5¢ | $419 | −$2.25 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 640 | 63.1¢ | 62.5¢ | $400 | −$3.70 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | No | 1,250 | 28.3¢ | 29.5¢ | $369 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,020 | 74.7¢ | 34.5¢ | $352 | −$410 | $0 | |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 950 | 45.1¢ | 36¢ | $342 | −$86 | +$4.68 | |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31? | No | 497 | 55.7¢ | 68¢ | $338 | +$61 | +$138 | |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 400 | 67.6¢ | 79.5¢ | $318 | +$48 | +$40 | |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | Yes | 430 | 64.6¢ | 70¢ | $301 | +$23 | $0 | |
| Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by October 31? | Yes | 610 | 37.3¢ | 36.5¢ | $222 | −$4.84 | +$7.15 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 720 | 30.3¢ | 29.5¢ | $212 | −$6.00 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | Yes | 350 | 55.1¢ | 54.5¢ | $191 | −$2.00 | $0 | |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? | Yes | 650 | 32.4¢ | 29¢ | $189 | −$22 | +$0.08 | |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 405 | 42.3¢ | 45.8¢ | $185 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 800 | 21.6¢ | 21.5¢ | $172 | −$1.00 | $0 | |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,809 | 17.4¢ | 8¢ | $145 | −$170 | +$151 | |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | No | 200 | 71.5¢ | 71.5¢ | $143 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | No | 150 | 84.3¢ | 94¢ | $141 | +$15 | +$17 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | No | 250 | 54.4¢ | 54¢ | $135 | −$1.00 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,297 | 24.7¢ | 10¢ | $130 | −$191 | +$21 | |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,625 | 16¢ | 7.5¢ | $122 | −$138 | −$18 | |
| Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31? | No | 125 | 88¢ | 94.2¢ | $118 | +$7.69 | $0 | |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 200 | 49¢ | 50.5¢ | $101 | +$3.00 | $0 | |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 800 | 12.4¢ | 12.5¢ | $100 | +$1.00 | $0 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1,000 | 13.4¢ | 9.2¢ | $92 | −$43 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? | Yes | 300 | 61.4¢ | 30.5¢ | $92 | −$93 | +$40 | |
| Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,740 | 6.6¢ | 4.7¢ | $82 | −$33 | +$18 | |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 100 | 80¢ | 81.5¢ | $82 | +$1.50 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 100 | 70.5¢ | 72.5¢ | $73 | +$2.00 | $0 | |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 150 | 43.7¢ | 46.5¢ | $70 | +$4.25 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 753 | 32¢ | 9¢ | $68 | −$173 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 150 | 39¢ | 38.5¢ | $58 | −$0.75 | $0 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 200 | 27.5¢ | 28.5¢ | $57 | +$2.00 | $0 | |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? | Yes | 307 | 29.8¢ | 17.5¢ | $54 | −$38 | +$24 | |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 356 | 20.8¢ | 15¢ | $53 | −$21 | +$195 | |
| Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 166 | 40.2¢ | 31.5¢ | $52 | −$14 | +$15 | |
| Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026? | No | 50 | 72.1¢ | 94¢ | $47 | +$11 | +$138 | |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1,700 | 2.3¢ | 2.8¢ | $47 | +$6.85 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? | Yes | 300 | 38.8¢ | 15.5¢ | $47 | −$70 | +$108 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 300 | 28¢ | 14.5¢ | $44 | −$41 | $0 | |
| Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 474 | 22.6¢ | 9¢ | $43 | −$65 | +$46 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | No | 100 | 36¢ | 38.5¢ | $39 | +$2.50 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31? | Yes | 330 | 47¢ | 11.4¢ | $38 | −$117 | +$34 | |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by October 31, 2026? | No | 37 | 80¢ | 96.3¢ | $35 | +$5.96 | +$14 | |
| Will Russia enter Khatnie by December 31, 2026? | No | 50 | 61.7¢ | 68¢ | $34 | +$3.13 | +$26 | |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | No | 42 | 54¢ | 80¢ | $34 | +$11 | +$55 | |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | 19¢ | 32¢ | $32 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | 59¢ | 29¢ | $29 | −$30 | $0 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 900 | 8.4¢ | 3.2¢ | $28 | −$48 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? | Yes | 100 | 25¢ | 25.5¢ | $26 | +$0.50 | +$34 | |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | Yes | 75 | 26.3¢ | 32.5¢ | $24 | +$4.63 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Serhiivka by December 31? | Yes | 205 | 25.2¢ | 11.5¢ | $24 | −$28 | +$3.26 | |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31? | No | 25 | 79¢ | 93.5¢ | $23 | +$3.63 | +$134 | |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 200 | 15¢ | 11¢ | $22 | −$8.00 | +$42 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? | No | 30 | 47.8¢ | 74.5¢ | $22 | +$7.87 | +$187 | |
| Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31? | No | 23 | 53¢ | 91.5¢ | $21 | +$8.68 | +$87 | |
| Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | Yes | 200 | 30¢ | 9.5¢ | $19 | −$41 | $0 | |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad? | No | 25 | 65¢ | 68.5¢ | $17 | +$0.88 | $0 | |
| U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? | Yes | 300 | 14.7¢ | 5.1¢ | $15 | −$29 | $0 | |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 300 | 7.6¢ | 4.6¢ | $14 | −$8.88 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 50 | 25.9¢ | 23.5¢ | $12 | −$1.21 | +$90 | |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 1,000 | 1¢ | 0.9¢ | $8.50 | −$1.41 | $0 | |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | No | 12 | 21¢ | 68.5¢ | $8.22 | +$5.70 | +$6.84 | |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | Yes | 50 | 30.5¢ | 14¢ | $7.00 | −$8.25 | $0 | |
| Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 1,000 | 0.8¢ | 0.6¢ | $6.00 | −$2.00 | $0 | |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? | Yes | 350 | 4.4¢ | 1.6¢ | $5.42 | −$10 | $0 | |
| Russia coup attempt in 2026? | Yes | 150 | 9¢ | 3.5¢ | $5.17 | −$8.32 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Myropillia by December 31? | Yes | 17 | 15¢ | 16¢ | $2.73 | +$0.17 | +$12 | |
| Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 600 | 1¢ | 0.4¢ | $2.10 | −$3.70 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 65 | 22.6¢ | 2.6¢ | $1.69 | −$13 | +$66 | |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus? | Yes | 200 | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.20 | −$2.00 | $0 | |
