| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 900 | 76.8¢ | 84.5¢ | $761 | +$70 | +$44 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 507 | 54¢ | 88.5¢ | $448 | +$175 | −$1.99 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? | Yes | 400 | 95.9¢ | 96.1¢ | $384 | +$0.60 | $0 | |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | No | 400 | 91¢ | 94¢ | $376 | +$12 | $0 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 600 | 47¢ | 62.5¢ | $375 | +$93 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 400 | 85¢ | 91.5¢ | $366 | +$26 | $0 | |
| Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? | No | 413 | 83.9¢ | 81.5¢ | $336 | −$9.81 | +$19 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 3,700 | 13.2¢ | 9¢ | $335 | −$153 | $0 | |
| SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? | No | 342 | 71¢ | 94¢ | $321 | +$78 | +$57 | |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? | No | 400 | 74.5¢ | 76.5¢ | $306 | +$8.00 | $0 | |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 300 | 94.5¢ | 97.7¢ | $293 | +$9.45 | $0 | |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 300 | 92¢ | 97.1¢ | $291 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 300 | 96.2¢ | 95.8¢ | $287 | −$1.35 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? | Yes | 350 | 80¢ | 82¢ | $287 | +$7.00 | $0 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 300 | 95¢ | 95.5¢ | $287 | +$1.50 | $0 | |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | No | 300 | 90.2¢ | 95.2¢ | $285 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 300 | 93¢ | 94.5¢ | $284 | +$4.50 | $0 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 300 | 92¢ | 91.5¢ | $275 | −$1.50 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 300 | 90¢ | 88.5¢ | $265 | −$4.50 | $0 | |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? | No | 300 | 81¢ | 81.5¢ | $245 | +$1.50 | $0 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 250 | 93¢ | 97¢ | $242 | +$9.88 | $0 | |
| Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 300 | 86¢ | 79¢ | $237 | −$21 | $0 | |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | Yes | 300 | 75¢ | 75.5¢ | $227 | +$1.50 | $0 | |
| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? | No | 300 | 74¢ | 74.5¢ | $224 | +$1.50 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | No | 263 | 84¢ | 84.5¢ | $222 | +$1.32 | $0 | |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 300 | 79¢ | 73.5¢ | $221 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 246 | 85.4¢ | 88¢ | $217 | +$6.46 | $0 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 300 | 70.3¢ | 69.5¢ | $209 | −$2.50 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 317 | 56.3¢ | 62.5¢ | $198 | +$20 | +$65 | |
| France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? | No | 208 | 87¢ | 94.5¢ | $196 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | No | 200 | 93.6¢ | 94.5¢ | $189 | +$1.86 | +$79 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | No | 218 | 91¢ | 86.5¢ | $188 | −$9.80 | $0 | |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | Yes | 300 | 63¢ | 61¢ | $183 | −$6.00 | $0 | |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | No | 200 | 81.5¢ | 87.8¢ | $176 | +$13 | +$17 | |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | Yes | 250 | 67.1¢ | 69.8¢ | $174 | +$6.62 | $0 | |
| Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | No | 200 | 82¢ | 83.5¢ | $167 | +$3.00 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 200 | 84¢ | 82.5¢ | $165 | −$3.00 | $0 | |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 200 | 75¢ | 75.5¢ | $151 | +$1.00 | $0 | |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 200 | 66¢ | 73¢ | $146 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31? | No | 200 | 75¢ | 72.5¢ | $145 | −$5.00 | $0 | |
| Plague case in US by December 31? | No | 150 | 86¢ | 92.5¢ | $139 | +$9.75 | $0 | |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | Yes | 200 | 76¢ | 64.5¢ | $129 | −$23 | $0 | |
| Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election? | No | 200 | 55¢ | 60¢ | $120 | +$10 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 300 | 28¢ | 37.5¢ | $113 | +$29 | $0 | |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 150 | 65.9¢ | 74.7¢ | $112 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 300 | 50.3¢ | 34¢ | $102 | −$49 | −$1.00 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | No | 100 | 95.9¢ | 98.5¢ | $98 | +$2.55 | $0 | |
| Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31? | No | 100 | 76¢ | 97.9¢ | $98 | +$22 | $0 | |
| Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31? | No | 100 | 90¢ | 95.5¢ | $96 | +$5.50 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 300 | 29¢ | 30.5¢ | $91 | +$4.50 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | Yes | 100 | 86¢ | 87.5¢ | $88 | +$1.50 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | No | 100 | 86¢ | 87.5¢ | $88 | +$1.50 | $0 | |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | 66¢ | 77¢ | $77 | +$11 | $0 | |
| GTA VI released by November 30? | Yes | 65 | 96.2¢ | 97.5¢ | $63 | +$0.84 | $0 | |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? | No | 400 | 60.7¢ | 15.5¢ | $62 | −$181 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | Yes | 300 | 26¢ | 19.5¢ | $59 | −$20 | $0 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 300 | 30¢ | 19.5¢ | $59 | −$32 | $0 | |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? | Yes | 200 | 29¢ | 25¢ | $50 | −$8.00 | $0 | |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 58 | 87¢ | 71.5¢ | $42 | −$9.06 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 200 | 17¢ | 18¢ | $36 | +$2.00 | $0 | |
| Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 100 | 46¢ | 29¢ | $29 | −$17 | $0 | |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Yes | 100 | 27¢ | 24.5¢ | $25 | −$2.50 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 100 | 88¢ | 23.5¢ | $24 | −$65 | $0 | |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 3,783 | 1.4¢ | 0.5¢ | $21 | −$31 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat? | Yes | 21 | 86¢ | 93¢ | $19 | +$1.45 | $0 | |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | 63¢ | 15¢ | $15 | −$48 | $0 | |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 2,000 | 22¢ | 0.5¢ | $11 | −$429 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CO-08 House seat? | Yes | 13 | 85¢ | 84.5¢ | $11 | −$0.06 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? | No | 31 | 24¢ | 24.5¢ | $7.63 | +$0.16 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026? | Yes | 94 | 24¢ | 7.7¢ | $7.25 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? | Yes | 150 | 27¢ | 3.9¢ | $5.78 | −$35 | $0 | |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 7 | 85¢ | 85.5¢ | $5.76 | +$0.03 | $0 | |
| Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 200 | 19¢ | 1.6¢ | $3.20 | −$35 | $0 | |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 100 | 5.8¢ | 2.1¢ | $2.05 | −$3.75 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 42 | 13¢ | 2.6¢ | $1.09 | −$4.35 | +$5.47 | |