sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,331

mountaindewd

0x944…8c94
SharpWhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$148kvol $4.28M
PnL 30d+$60.3kgains $58.7k · losses $3,855
PnL 7d+$29.8kwin rate 7d 73.3%
Win rate70.8%adj 70.0% · 30d 78.3%
Open value$107kcash n/a
Positions184 / 745open / all-time
Max drawdown−19.6%of equity peak
Account age3.0ylast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$162kbelow peak $0Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

78/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale74
Adjusted win rateraw 70.8% · shrunk toward 50%75
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable96
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d96
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity80

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes29.7k54.8¢85.9¢$25.5k+$9,239+$5,946
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes16.8k56.4¢64.5¢$10.8k+$1,359$0
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes9,74381.9¢79.5¢$7,746−$236+$265
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No5,44459.2¢93.5¢$5,090+$1,868$0
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes7,50051.6¢67¢$5,025+$1,153$0
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No16.0k29.4¢28.5¢$4,560−$145$0
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes10,00043¢42.5¢$4,250−$50$0
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes14.0k29.1¢29¢$4,060−$9.95$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes30.0k15.3¢13.5¢$4,050−$550−$847
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No4,20370.3¢64.5¢$2,711−$246−$217
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?No2,84470.7¢95¢$2,702+$690$0
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No3,65445.1¢64.5¢$2,357+$708$0
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No4,22758.3¢55.5¢$2,346−$119−$294
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No5,00042.8¢42.1¢$2,103−$38$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes6,82229.5¢27.5¢$1,876−$134$0
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Yes3,00070¢62.5¢$1,875−$225$0
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?No3,00070¢61.5¢$1,845−$255$0
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No2,50070¢71.5¢$1,787+$37$0
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes2,00066¢71.5¢$1,430+$110$0
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?No2,00067¢71.5¢$1,430+$90$0
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes1,83751.8¢73.5¢$1,350+$398$0
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?No2,50054¢49.5¢$1,237−$112$0
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Yes2,50054¢47.5¢$1,187−$162$0
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No2,57842¢38.5¢$992−$90+$34
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes2,41641¢38.5¢$930−$60+$53
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No2,50037¢36.5¢$912−$12$0
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?No1,00053¢89.5¢$895+$365$0
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-48 House seat?Yes80081¢89.5¢$716+$68$0
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes2,00037¢35.5¢$710−$30$0
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes2,22264¢25.5¢$567−$855$0
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes1,50034¢37¢$555+$45$0
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?No1,00051¢54.5¢$545+$35$0
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No50089¢96.6¢$483+$38$0
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes1,16052.5¢37.5¢$435−$174−$418
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Yes70050¢55.5¢$389+$39$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes1,34911.8¢26¢$351+$192+$35
Will the Republican Party win the CA-48 House seat?No20081¢91.5¢$183+$21$0
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No35045.5¢44.5¢$156−$3.48+$206
Will Grüne be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?Yes15527¢95.5¢$148+$106$0
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes10.7k2.6¢1.2¢$123−$155$0
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?Yes31033¢37.5¢$116+$14$0
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1,0003.2¢4.6¢$46+$14$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes50017¢8.1¢$40−$45$0
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 10 Gwei before 2027?No1772¢52¢$8.72−$3.35$0
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Yes3823.9¢19¢$7.13−$1.87$0
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes13483¢1.9¢$2.55−$109$0
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2,22321.6¢0.1¢$2.22−$478−$2,187
Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by October 15?Yes2533¢1.5¢$0.37−$7.97$0
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes20.0k8.4¢0¢$0−$1,670$0
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Yes9,77739.7¢0¢$0−$3,882$0
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes9,5302.6¢0¢$0−$248$0
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?No6,55352.1¢0¢$0−$3,416−$2.34
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No6,23632.7¢0¢$0−$2,040−$30
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No6,03935.3¢0¢$0−$2,135+$4.86
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes5,88452.4¢0¢$0−$3,083−$459
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?Yes5,42849.4¢0¢$0−$2,683−$732
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina5,35441.5¢0¢$0−$2,222−$65
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by less than 3%?Yes4,9394¢0¢$0−$198$0
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?Yes4,8889¢0¢$0−$438$0
Will AfD win between 42% and 45% of all valid second votes?No4,56857.3¢0¢$0−$2,615−$16
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?Yes4,44447.5¢0¢$0−$2,111$0
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5Under4,44453.5¢0¢$0−$2,378$0
Giants vs. Rams: O/U 47.5Over4,44449¢0¢$0−$2,178$0
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5Over4,44464¢0¢$0−$2,844−$31
Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)Ecuador4,44444¢0¢$0−$1,955−$33
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5Over4,44445¢0¢$0−$2,000$0
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?No4,44441¢0¢$0−$1,822$0
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No4,22270.5¢0¢$0−$2,978$0
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes4,00019.4¢0¢$0−$776+$26
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5Under3,88848¢0¢$0−$1,866$0
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)Uzbekistan3,88855¢0¢$0−$2,138$0
Spread: Spain (-2.5)Saudi Arabia3,88846¢0¢$0−$1,788$0
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5Under3,88857¢0¢$0−$2,216$0
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5Under3,88833¢0¢$0−$1,283$0
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?Yes3,5888.2¢0¢$0−$294$0
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)Khamzat Chimaev3,33780¢0¢$0−$2,670−$16
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?No3,33351¢0¢$0−$1,700$0
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Yes3,33339¢0¢$0−$1,300$0
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5Under3,33335¢0¢$0−$1,167$0
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5Under3,33355¢0¢$0−$1,833−$25
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5Over3,33354¢0¢$0−$1,800$0
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?Yes3,33320¢0¢$0−$667$0
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-08-30?No3,33329¢0¢$0−$967$0
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?Yes3,33353¢0¢$0−$1,766$0
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5Under3,33358¢0¢$0−$1,933$0
Spread: Senegal (-2.5)Iraq3,33364¢0¢$0−$2,133$0
Spread: France (-1.5)Norway3,33364¢0¢$0−$2,133$0
Spread: Senegal (-1.5)Iraq3,33340¢0¢$0−$1,333$0
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to ScoreNo3,33336.7¢0¢$0−$1,222$0
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes3,1380.8¢0¢$0−$25$0
Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes3,00022¢0¢$0−$660$0
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?No3,00028.9¢0¢$0−$867$0
Lula or Bolsonaro favored on October 5?Lula3,00012¢0¢$0−$360$0
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes3,00037.8¢0¢$0−$1,134$0
Will AfD win at least 45% of all valid second votes?Yes3,00017¢0¢$0−$510$0
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SPD or Grüne?Grüne2,96938.4¢0¢$0−$1,140$0
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes2,93817.7¢0¢$0−$520−$38
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?No2,88840¢0¢$0−$1,155$0
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?Yes2,8884.4¢0¢$0−$128$0
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes2,50019.6¢0¢$0−$490−$75

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?28¢5,000$1,40071%78Sharp
BUY NoWill the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?28¢5,000$1,40071%78Sharp
SELL YesNetanyahu out by end of 2026?36¢2,500$90071%78Sharp
BUY YesCallum Turner announced as next James Bond?23.9¢38$9.0071%78Sharp
SELL YesWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?65¢156$10171%78Sharp
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?82.9¢24$2071%78Sharp
BUY YesWill Ronaldo Caiado finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?59¢200$11871%78Sharp
BUY NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?82¢270$22271%78Sharp
BUY NoWill Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?81.8¢1,206$98771%78Sharp
BUY YesWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?81.4¢3,156$2,57071%78Sharp
BUY NoWill Renan Santos finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?66¢267$17671%78Sharp
BUY NoWill Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?33¢28$9.0971%78Sharp
BUY YesWill Renan Santos finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?28¢27$7.4771%78Sharp
SELL NoWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?66¢5,000$3,30071%78Sharp
BUY NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?56¢17$9.3771%78Sharp
BUY NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?55¢6,352$3,49371%78Sharp
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?54.7¢2,000$1,09471%78Sharp
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?53.9¢100$5471%78Sharp
SELL NoWill Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?26¢2,500$65071%78Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?62¢5,000$3,10071%78Sharp