| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | No | 630 | 61¢ | 60.5¢ | $381 | −$3.15 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? | No | 513 | 53.3¢ | 51¢ | $262 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? | No | 420 | 55.5¢ | 52.5¢ | $221 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 220 | 91.5¢ | 92.5¢ | $204 | +$2.20 | −$91 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-03 House seat? | No | 210 | 95¢ | 96¢ | $202 | +$2.10 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 220 | 91¢ | 90.5¢ | $199 | −$1.10 | $0 | |
| Will the Labour Party win fewer than 30 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | No | 220 | 88¢ | 88.6¢ | $195 | +$1.21 | $0 | |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 220 | 89¢ | 88.5¢ | $195 | −$1.10 | $0 | |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 284 | 68.7¢ | 68.5¢ | $194 | −$0.68 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 301 | 64¢ | 64.5¢ | $194 | +$1.51 | $0 | |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 410 | 48.3¢ | 47.3¢ | $194 | −$4.15 | $0 | |
| Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 200 | 96¢ | 96.4¢ | $193 | +$0.80 | $0 | |
| Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? | No | 220 | 92¢ | 87.3¢ | $192 | −$10 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | No | 420 | 46¢ | 44.5¢ | $187 | −$6.30 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? | No | 220 | 83¢ | 79.5¢ | $175 | −$7.70 | $0 | |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | No | 220 | 84¢ | 78.5¢ | $173 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | No | 210 | 80¢ | 80.5¢ | $169 | +$1.05 | $0 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? | No | 210 | 78¢ | 78.5¢ | $165 | +$1.05 | $0 | |
| Will David Makhura be the next mayor of Johannesburg? | No | 220 | 89¢ | 74.9¢ | $165 | −$31 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 220 | 73¢ | 72.5¢ | $160 | −$1.10 | −$48 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | No | 210 | 74¢ | 71.5¢ | $150 | −$5.25 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? | No | 210 | 74¢ | 71.5¢ | $150 | −$5.25 | $0 | |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.6% before 2027? | No | 210 | 76¢ | 70.5¢ | $148 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | No | 210 | 69¢ | 69¢ | $145 | $0 | −$30 | |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 185 | 72.8¢ | 77.1¢ | $143 | +$8.06 | −$5.19 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | No | 210 | 68¢ | 67.5¢ | $142 | −$1.05 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? | No | 210 | 67¢ | 66.5¢ | $140 | −$1.05 | $0 | |
| Will Phil Murphy announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 220 | 36¢ | 61.4¢ | $135 | +$56 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | No | 420 | 34¢ | 32¢ | $134 | −$8.40 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 210 | 62¢ | 63.5¢ | $133 | +$3.15 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | Yes | 214 | 53¢ | 55.5¢ | $119 | +$5.35 | −$4.61 | |
| Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | No | 220 | 53¢ | 52.5¢ | $116 | −$1.10 | −$6.60 | |
| Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027? | No | 127 | 87¢ | 88.9¢ | $113 | +$2.47 | $0 | |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 210 | 53.7¢ | 53.6¢ | $112 | −$0.32 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | No | 220 | 40¢ | 44.5¢ | $98 | +$9.90 | $0 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | 210 | 45¢ | 46.5¢ | $98 | +$3.15 | $0 | |
| Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader? | No | 210 | 53¢ | 45.5¢ | $96 | −$16 | $0 | |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | Yes | 114 | 77¢ | 82¢ | $93 | +$5.68 | $0 | |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? | No | 251 | 36.2¢ | 35.9¢ | $90 | −$0.55 | $0 | |
| Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | No | 210 | 41¢ | 41.9¢ | $88 | +$1.78 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 420 | 19.5¢ | 19.5¢ | $82 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 210 | 38¢ | 37.5¢ | $79 | −$1.05 | $0 | |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 220 | 35¢ | 35.6¢ | $78 | +$1.32 | $0 | |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027? | Yes | 137 | 55¢ | 56¢ | $77 | +$1.37 | $0 | |
| Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4%? | No | 78 | 96¢ | 93.3¢ | $73 | −$2.15 | $0 | |
| Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31? | Yes | 220 | 33¢ | 30.5¢ | $67 | −$5.50 | $0 | |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027? | No | 90 | 79¢ | 74.5¢ | $67 | −$4.04 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? | No | 400 | 16.5¢ | 16¢ | $64 | −$1.90 | $0 | |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | Yes | 200 | 27¢ | 29.5¢ | $59 | +$5.00 | $0 | |
| Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | Yes | 210 | 27¢ | 26.9¢ | $56 | −$0.21 | $0 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October? | Yes | 210 | 27¢ | 26.5¢ | $56 | −$1.05 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | Yes | 64 | 83¢ | 83¢ | $53 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | No | 210 | 27¢ | 25¢ | $53 | −$4.20 | $0 | |
| Will STRC hit $100 by November 30? | No | 128 | 23¢ | 38.3¢ | $49 | +$20 | $0 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 210 | 22¢ | 21.5¢ | $45 | −$1.05 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 198 | 23.1¢ | 21.5¢ | $43 | −$3.11 | +$135 | |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? | No | 150 | 28¢ | 28¢ | $42 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | No | 42 | 95¢ | 94.5¢ | $40 | −$0.23 | $0 | |
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | No | 45 | 89¢ | 88.5¢ | $39 | −$0.22 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? | Yes | 210 | 19¢ | 18.5¢ | $39 | −$1.05 | $0 | |
| Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | No | 640 | 14.8¢ | 5.6¢ | $36 | −$59 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 220 | 15¢ | 16.1¢ | $35 | +$2.42 | $0 | |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027? | Yes | 210 | 20¢ | 15.5¢ | $33 | −$9.45 | $0 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | No | 210 | 15¢ | 15¢ | $32 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI raise between $90B and $100B in its IPO? | Yes | 72 | 26¢ | 40.8¢ | $29 | +$11 | +$36 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | Yes | 233 | 11¢ | 12.5¢ | $29 | +$3.50 | $0 | |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 220 | 13¢ | 13.2¢ | $29 | +$0.33 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | No | 330 | 10¢ | 8.5¢ | $28 | −$4.95 | $0 | |
| Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government? | No | 30 | 92¢ | 93.5¢ | $28 | +$0.45 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI raise between $40B and $50B in its IPO? | Yes | 220 | 31¢ | 12.7¢ | $28 | −$40 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 72 | 39¢ | 38.5¢ | $28 | −$0.36 | $0 | |
| Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027? | No | 29 | 94¢ | 95.5¢ | $27 | +$0.41 | $0 | |
| Will "Elsinore" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 92 | 37¢ | 29¢ | $27 | −$7.35 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? | No | 210 | 11¢ | 12.5¢ | $26 | +$3.15 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 210 | 11¢ | 12.5¢ | $26 | +$3.15 | $0 | |
| Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? | Yes | 220 | 31¢ | 11.8¢ | $26 | −$42 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | No | 210 | 10¢ | 11.5¢ | $24 | +$3.15 | $0 | |
| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 210 | 12¢ | 11.5¢ | $24 | −$1.05 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NV-03 House seat? | No | 414 | 6.5¢ | 5.5¢ | $23 | −$4.11 | $0 | |
| Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | No | 77 | 28¢ | 29.5¢ | $23 | +$1.16 | $0 | |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | Yes | 34 | 63¢ | 64.6¢ | $22 | +$0.57 | $0 | |
| Will the Labour Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | No | 40 | 56¢ | 55.5¢ | $22 | −$0.20 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 231 | 10¢ | 9.5¢ | $22 | −$1.15 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-24 House seat? | Yes | 255 | 9¢ | 8.5¢ | $22 | −$1.27 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $2.0T and $2.25T? | Yes | 220 | 9¢ | 9.9¢ | $22 | +$1.87 | $0 | |
| Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? | Yes | 30 | 66¢ | 65.5¢ | $20 | −$0.15 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR) be included in the next Romanian government? | Yes | 260 | 8.8¢ | 7.5¢ | $20 | −$3.30 | $0 | |
| Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny before 2027? | No | 21 | 92¢ | 87.6¢ | $18 | −$0.92 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? | Yes | 210 | 10¢ | 8.5¢ | $18 | −$3.15 | $0 | |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 23 | 68¢ | 70.5¢ | $17 | +$0.59 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 52 | 30¢ | 31¢ | $16 | +$0.52 | +$32 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? | No | 210 | 11¢ | 7.5¢ | $16 | −$7.35 | $0 | |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 24 | 58.7¢ | 63¢ | $15 | +$1.05 | −$3.51 | |
| Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%? | Yes | 140 | 7¢ | 10.3¢ | $14 | +$4.62 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-12 House seat? | Yes | 220 | 6¢ | 6.5¢ | $14 | +$1.10 | $0 | |
| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 124 | 13¢ | 11¢ | $14 | −$2.49 | $0 | |
| Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 31 | 40¢ | 43.5¢ | $14 | +$1.10 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 101 | 14¢ | 13.5¢ | $14 | −$0.50 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | Yes | 50 | 24¢ | 26.7¢ | $13 | +$1.33 | $0 | |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? | No | 51 | 17¢ | 22.6¢ | $12 | +$2.86 | $0 | |