PnL all-time−$12.5kvol $4.33M
PnL 30d+$1,181gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$145win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate91.0%adj 82.7% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$86.3kcash n/a
Positions7 / 85open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 4mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$2,315below peak −$7,765Oct 8
SharpScore inputs
30/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 91.0% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable64
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? · Yesclosed+$14.4kNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$8,185Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations? · Noclosed+$6,684Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? · Noclosed+$5,595MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$4,821
Worst markets
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading? · Noclosed−$44.2kFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed−$12.2kClavicular charged again by June 30? · Noopen−$7,611Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? · Yesclosed−$5,400Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Noclosed−$1,846
Open positions · 7
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 50.0k | 90¢ | 97.1¢ | $48.5k | +$3,525 | $0 | |
| Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? | No | 15.3k | 81¢ | 95.4¢ | $14.6k | +$2,193 | +$718 | |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | No | 12.4k | 90¢ | 96.3¢ | $12.0k | +$784 | $0 | |
| Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? | No | 10.3k | 65.6¢ | 94.5¢ | $9,778 | +$2,987 | $0 | |
| Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,000 | 69¢ | 97.2¢ | $972 | +$282 | $0 | |
| Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027? | No | 493 | 88¢ | 98.2¢ | $484 | +$50 | $0 | |
| Clavicular charged again by June 30? | No | 10.5k | 72.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7,611 | $0 |
Recent trades
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