sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,523

0x955…990f

0x955…990f
WhaleWR 70+WR 60+1y+CulturePolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$118kvol $11.0M
PnL 30d−$3,557gains $25.9k · losses $30.9k
PnL 7d+$3,686win rate 7d 81.8%
Win rate76.0%adj 75.0% · 30d 66.7%
Open value$25.7kcash n/a
Positions21 / 524open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.2ylast trade 4d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$106kbelow peak −$160kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

40/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 76.0% · shrunk toward 50%88
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable91
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d85
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 21

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes33.1k48.4¢71.3¢$23.6k+$7,548+$379
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes3,38262¢38.5¢$1,302−$795−$261
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes5,47840.3¢14.5¢$794−$1,413$0
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes73730¢1.5¢$11−$210+$159
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No1096.2¢97.7¢$9.77+$0.14$0
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?Yes2015¢8¢$1.60−$1.40$0
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes2,55020.3¢0.1¢$1.27−$515$0
Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?Yes266k0.1¢0¢$0−$215−$785
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Yes34.8k30¢0¢$0−$10.4k$0
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? Yes6,75025.3¢0¢$0−$1,704−$1,326
Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?Yes6,24195.5¢0¢$0−$5,960−$10
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August?Yes6,09111.3¢0¢$0−$688−$43
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No4,36370.6¢0¢$0−$3,078$0
Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 36m?Yes2,91119.4¢0¢$0−$564−$31
Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?Yes2,80415¢0¢$0−$421$0
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?Yes1,09144.8¢0¢$0−$489−$54.0k
Will "Avengers: Endgame Encore" be #1 Box Office this weekend?No53326¢0¢$0−$139−$5.13
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?No31964.2¢0¢$0−$205+$241
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes20013¢0¢$0−$26$0
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?No18524¢0¢$0−$44−$1.69
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá?No121¢0¢$0−$0.21+$79

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá?21¢300$6376%40
BUY YesWill "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 32m and 34m?54.5¢146$8076%40
BUY NoWill "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 32m?54.7¢1,425$77976%40
BUY YesWill "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 32m and 34m?53.7¢600$32276%40
BUY YesWill "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 36m?9.9¢296$2976%40
BUY NoWill "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 32m?68¢277$18976%40
BUY YesWill "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 36m?17.9¢405$7376%40
BUY YesWill "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 36m?30¢206$6276%40
BUY YesWill "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 36m?19¢37$7.0476%40
BUY YesWill "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 36m?16¢6$0.9576%40
BUY YesWill "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 28m?90.1¢6,867$6,18776%40
BUY YesWill "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 36m?20¢2,005$40176%40
BUY NoWill "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 32m?71.8¢954$68576%40
BUY NoWill "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?90¢100$9076%40
BUY YesWill "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?75.4¢893$67376%40
BUY YesWill "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?75.8¢803$60876%40
BUY YesWill "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?75.8¢400$30376%40
BUY YesWill "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?75.8¢482$36576%40
BUY YesWill OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?22.2¢2,074$46176%40
BUY YesWill Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?67¢7$4.9476%40