sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,520

hideo

0x95b…e00b
SharpWhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$128kvol $6.53M
PnL 30d+$25.1kgains $40.8k · losses $8,689
PnL 7d−$6,068win rate 7d 66.7%
Win rate75.1%adj 73.9% · 30d 61.9%
Open value$238kcash n/a
Positions71 / 453open / all-time
Max drawdown−41.4%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 3d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$138kbelow peak −$8,605Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

73/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale73
Adjusted win rateraw 75.1% · shrunk toward 50%85
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable89
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d87
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity59

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 71

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No97.2k86.1¢90.5¢$87.9k+$4,289$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes58.1k81.1¢90.5¢$52.6k+$5,458$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No36.0k50¢80.2¢$28.9k+$10.9k$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo15.3k85.2¢91.5¢$14.0k+$964$0
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No10.2k98.1¢99.7¢$10.2k+$158$0
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No10.3k97¢98¢$10.1k+$93$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No14.2k70.5¢64.5¢$9,149−$851$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes11.9k42¢63.5¢$7,560+$2,560$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes36.0k50¢19.9¢$7,146−$10.9k$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes12.5k40¢27.5¢$3,438−$1,563$0
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?No5,79959.6¢37¢$2,146−$1,313−$1,031
Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31?No1,50093.2¢93¢$1,394−$3.75$0
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No2,67639.7¢49¢$1,311+$250$0
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes1,63092¢73.5¢$1,198−$302$0
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLDE?No50097.4¢95.6¢$478−$9.25$0
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLAU?No34597.6¢99.7¢$343+$7.06$0
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes2,50017.6¢3.9¢$96−$344$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.4¢18¢$0.18+$0.18$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes150¢17.8¢$0.18−$0.32$0
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.4¢15.1¢$0.15+$0.15$0
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.4¢7.4¢$0.07+$0.07$0
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.4¢5.9¢$0.06+$0.06$0
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.4¢5.1¢$0.05+$0.05$0
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.4¢3¢$0.03+$0.03$0
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.4¢2.9¢$0.03+$0.02$0
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.4¢2.6¢$0.03+$0.02$0
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.4¢2.4¢$0.02+$0.02$0
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.4¢2.1¢$0.02+$0.02$0
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.4¢1.8¢$0.02+$0.01$0
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.4¢1.4¢$0.01+$0.01$0
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.4¢1.3¢$0.01+$0.01$0
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.4¢1.3¢$0.01+$0.01$0
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.4¢1.1¢$0.01+$0.01$0
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.4¢1.1¢$0.01+$0.01$0
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.4¢0.7¢$0.01$0$0
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.4¢0.7¢$0.01$0$0
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.4¢0.7¢$0.01$0$0
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.4¢0.5¢$0$0$0
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.4¢0.4¢$0$0$0
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.4¢0.4¢$0$0$0
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.4¢0.3¢$0$0$0
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.4¢0.3¢$0$0$0
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.4¢0.2¢$0$0$0
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.4¢0.2¢$0$0$0
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.4¢0.2¢$0$0$0
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.4¢0.2¢$0$0$0
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.4¢0.2¢$0$0$0
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.4¢0.2¢$0$0$0
Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.4¢0.2¢$0$0$0
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.4¢0.2¢$0$0$0
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.4¢0.2¢$0$0$0
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.4¢0.2¢$0$0$0
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.4¢0.2¢$0$0$0
Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.4¢0.2¢$0$0$0
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.4¢0.2¢$0$0$0
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.4¢0.2¢$0$0$0
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.4¢0.2¢$0$0$0
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.4¢0.1¢$0$0$0
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.4¢0.1¢$0$0$0
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.4¢0.1¢$0$0$0
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.4¢0.1¢$0$0$0
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.4¢0.1¢$0$0$0
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.4¢0.1¢$0$0$0
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.4¢0.1¢$0$0$0
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.4¢0.1¢$0$0$0
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.4¢0.1¢$0$0$0
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.4¢0.1¢$0$0$0
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.4¢0.1¢$0$0$0
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.4¢0.1¢$0$0$0
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.4¢0.1¢$0$0$0
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?No87190¢0¢$0−$783$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?14.4¢18.2k$2,61875%73Sharp
SELL YesAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?76.4¢5,556$4,24375%73Sharp
SELL YesWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?84.9¢12.6k$10.7k75%73WhaleSharp
SELL NoWill an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?62.3¢750$46875%73Sharp
SELL NoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?50¢15.4k$7,72975%73Sharp
SELL YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?53¢14.1k$7,47175%73Sharp
SELL YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?57¢1,898$1,08275%73Sharp
SELL NoWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?21.5¢2,622$56575%73Sharp
SELL NoWill STRC hit $100 by September 30?62.1¢2,524$1,56975%73Sharp
SELL NoUS national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?87.3¢304$26575%73Sharp
SELL YesWill Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?81¢4,920$3,98675%73Sharp
SELL YesWill Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?82¢3,669$3,00975%73Sharp
SELL YesMax Miller out as US Rep by December 31, 2026?15.3¢334$5175%73Sharp
SELL YesMax Miller out as US Rep by December 31, 2026?28.1¢166$4775%73Sharp
SELL NoWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?83.2¢1,654$1,37675%73Sharp
BUY NoWill annual inflation be 3.5% in July?86¢2,922$2,51375%73Sharp
SELL YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?46¢5,503$2,53175%73Sharp
SELL YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?56.9¢2,500$1,42275%73Sharp
SELL YesIran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?35¢2,000$70075%73Sharp
SELL YesFed rate hike in 2026?65¢15.1k$9,81275%73Sharp