sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,532

JosephTrump

0x97a…9bc6
PnL 10k+WR 60+1y+PoliticsSportCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$19.5kvol $4.64M
PnL 30d+$10.7kgains $10.5k · losses $4,812
PnL 7d+$8,167win rate 7d 71.4%
Win rate62.8%adj 62.3% · 30d 44.4%
Open value$35.2kcash n/a
Positions41 / 509open / all-time
Max drawdown−46.2%of equity peak
Account age2.4ylast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$24.2kbelow peak $0Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

64/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale61
Adjusted win rateraw 62.8% · shrunk toward 50%56
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable90
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d95
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity54

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 41

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes9,00081.1¢90.5¢$8,145+$845$0
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No5,00088¢94.5¢$4,725+$325$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes4,68343.2¢88.9¢$4,165+$2,142+$2,649
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No4,08584.6¢97¢$3,960+$504+$444
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No7,06931.4¢31.5¢$2,227+$8.77+$7.81
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes5,23130.1¢32.5¢$1,700+$124+$34
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Yes1,40074¢73.5¢$1,029−$7.00$0
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No80096.7¢98.8¢$790+$16$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes88660¢83.5¢$740+$208$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No1,00069¢64.5¢$645−$45$0
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No98362.7¢61.5¢$605−$11$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No70044.6¢82.5¢$577+$265+$1,506
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes75076.7¢71.5¢$536−$39$0
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes55285.8¢95.6¢$527+$54−$0.09
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes80068.6¢58.5¢$468−$81−$43
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Yes50089¢87.5¢$437−$7.50$0
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?No44379.5¢81¢$359+$6.86$0
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes1,75019¢18.5¢$324−$8.75−$14
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes40075¢80.5¢$322+$22$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes3,00014¢10.5¢$315−$105−$260
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No55845.5¢48.5¢$271+$17$0
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes27092¢95.5¢$258+$9.45+$2.60
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?No39748¢56¢$222+$32−$0.25
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes24880.7¢83.5¢$207+$6.90$0
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes27285.6¢75.4¢$205−$28$0
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes26869¢71.5¢$192+$6.70$0
Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?No20095¢95¢$190$0$0
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No34665¢53.5¢$185−$40$0
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?No1,00021¢18.5¢$185−$25−$4.80
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?No15062¢73¢$109+$16$0
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?No30046¢31.5¢$95−$44$0
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Yes17948¢48.5¢$87+$0.90$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?No10085¢74.5¢$75−$11$0
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes12566¢56.5¢$71−$12−$0.15
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" make it into the IMDb Top 250?No9060.2¢60.5¢$54+$0.25$0
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes40413¢12.5¢$51−$2.02$0
Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes20036.8¢20¢$40−$34+$2.00
Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?No9059¢43.5¢$39−$14$0
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes4,0003.5¢0.8¢$32−$110−$19
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes6508.4¢1.8¢$12−$43$0
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Yes25050¢0¢$0−$125$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?83.9¢400$33663%64
SELL YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?84.8¢300$25463%64
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?74¢1,400$1,03663%64
SELL NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?86¢740$63663%64
SELL NoWill Renan Santos finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?57.2¢200$11463%64
BUY NoWill Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?88¢300$26463%64
BUY NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?72¢805$57963%64
BUY NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?71¢25$1863%64
BUY NoWill Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?81¢68$5563%64
SELL YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?25.3¢350$8963%64
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?60.4¢300$18163%64
BUY YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?26.1¢537$14063%64
BUY YesTrump renames AI by October 31?93¢30$2863%64
SELL NoTrump renames AI by September 30?20¢133$2763%64
BUY NoWill Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?24¢108$2663%64
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?56.1¢1,094$61463%64
BUY YesTrump renames AI by September 30?50¢205$10363%64
SELL YesWill Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?73¢1,500$1,09563%64
BUY OverGiants vs. Rams: O/U 47.549¢102$5063%64
BUY YesWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?96.3¢50$4863%64