PnL all-time−$4,422vol $5.98M
PnL 30d+$1,233gains $0 · losses $12
PnL 7d−$296win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate93.3%adj 89.5% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$93.0kcash n/a
Positions4 / 217open / all-time
Max drawdown−88.4%of equity peak
Account age12molast trade 13d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$10.6kbelow peak −$41.1kOct 11
SharpScore inputs
44/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 93.3% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable78
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d56
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity12
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yesopen−$22.5kWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yesclosed−$16.1kXi Jinping out before 2027? · Yesclosed−$5,654Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yesclosed−$598US x Iran ceasefire by March 2? · Noclosed−$550
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 69.0k | 82.3¢ | 97.2¢ | $67.0k | +$10.2k | −$1,292 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 19.0k | 69.5¢ | 97.9¢ | $18.6k | +$5,389 | +$22.5k | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 8,000 | 92.1¢ | 91.5¢ | $7,320 | −$50 | $0 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 1,000 | 4.2¢ | 2.2¢ | $22 | −$21 | −$22.4k |
Recent trades
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