PnL all-time−$1,360vol $319k
PnL 30d−$428gains $137 · losses $1,568
PnL 7d−$270win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate59.0%adj 55.9% · 30d 36.8%
Open value$6,843cash n/a
Positions4 / 51open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 2h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$1,693below peak −$1,772Oct 8
SharpScore inputs
27/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 59.0% · shrunk toward 50%40
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable57
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Noclosed+$118Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 6? · Noclosed+$35Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 3? · Noclosed+$24Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award? · Noclosed+$15Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 4? · Noclosed+$11
Worst markets
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Noclosed−$1,409Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? · Noopen−$277Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? · Yesclosed−$147US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$72Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? · Noopen−$48
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 8,000 | 89¢ | 85.5¢ | $6,840 | −$280 | +$3.12 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MN-05 House seat? | No | 250 | 3.2¢ | 1.3¢ | $3.25 | −$4.75 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | No | 48 | 99.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$48 | $0 | |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January? | No | 40 | 93¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$37 | $0 |
Recent trades
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