sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,606

Rex416

0x9a3…914a
1y+SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$3,747vol $25.0M
PnL 30d+$15.9kgains $96.3k · losses $67.5k
PnL 7d+$16.9kwin rate 7d 59.0%
Win rate51.7%adj 51.7% · 30d 51.2%
Open value$37.9kcash n/a
Positions98 / 6,337open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age2.7ylast trade 20m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$8,713below peak −$113kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

34/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 51.7% · shrunk toward 50%29
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 98

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Map Handicap: LDP (-1.5) vs METANOIA WOLVES (+1.5)largadosypelados7,29155.9¢99.5¢$7,255+$3,180+$21
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?No4,86053.2¢87¢$4,226+$1,642−$474
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 9?Yes2,96267.1¢100¢$2,960+$974$0
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 10?Yes2,90261.7¢100¢$2,900+$1,111$0
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 12?Yes2,67583.1¢100¢$2,674+$450$0
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Yes3,75068.4¢47¢$1,763−$803$0
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 11?Yes1,65973.3¢100¢$1,658+$442$0
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under1,60061.6¢99.5¢$1,592+$607$0
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 15?Yes1,58093.1¢100¢$1,580+$108$0
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes7,50038.9¢19.5¢$1,463−$1,458$0
Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31?Yes2,45286.1¢50¢$1,225−$886$0
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes1,00073¢73.5¢$735+$5.00$0
Will Ľubica Horváthová win the 2026 Trnava mayoral election?No70988.1¢99.3¢$704+$79$0
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 14?Yes67992.8¢100¢$679+$49$0
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Yes1,44066.7¢42.5¢$612−$349$0
Will Trump and Putin not meet?No50078.5¢82¢$410+$17$0
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 13?Yes38087.4¢100¢$380+$48$0
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes44088¢84¢$370−$18$0
Will the fight be won by submission?Yes98530¢31¢$305+$9.85+$0.30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?Yes75028¢35.5¢$266+$56$0
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?No25083¢94¢$235+$27$0
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen by October 31?Yes25085¢90.5¢$226+$14$0
O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder93946¢24¢$225−$207+$2.68
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Yes25076¢81.5¢$204+$14$0
Republican House odds dip to 5% by October 31?Yes1,56521.6¢12.5¢$196−$143+$49
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Yes1,00032.4¢19.5¢$195−$129$0
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes25069¢78¢$195+$23$0
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Zohran Mamdani by October 31, 2026?Yes33867¢52.5¢$177−$49$0
Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 30?No1,05020¢16.5¢$173−$37$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No20057¢86.5¢$173+$59$0
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes2,00021.8¢8¢$160−$275$0
Will there be 4+ NFL Scorigamis in the 2026-27 regular season?Yes16194.6¢96¢$155+$2.22$0
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ilhan Omar by October 31, 2026?Yes24059.5¢61.5¢$148+$4.80$0
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes2,4097¢5.2¢$125−$42−$66
Will Simeon Barclay win the Turner Prize 2026?Yes30030¢33¢$99+$9.00$0
Will Andrea Horwath win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?Yes37232.6¢26¢$97−$25$0
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes1,74024.7¢5.5¢$96−$335$0
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Yes79227.3¢11.5¢$91−$125−$44
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Yes6265.6¢14.5¢$91+$56$0
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No10090.2¢89.9¢$90−$0.35$0
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?Yes39960.9¢19.5¢$78−$165$0
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be less than 150m by October 31?Yes25038¢26.5¢$66−$29$0
Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte by October 31?Yes12060¢49¢$59−$13$0
LAPTOP listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE?No5896.9¢99¢$57+$1.22$0
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No55910.8¢9¢$50−$10$0
Will Steven Cheung be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes5222.9¢9.5¢$50+$34$0
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Yes25021¢19.5¢$49−$3.75$0
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?Yes44029¢10.5¢$46−$81$0
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes22048¢19.5¢$43−$63$0
Will Elizabeth Pipko be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes5222.9¢8¢$42+$26$0
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?Yes5069¢81.5¢$41+$6.25$0
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes50039¢8¢$40−$155$0
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?No1,0005¢4¢$40−$11$0
Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31?Yes62227.2¢5.5¢$34−$135$0
Will Harrison Fields be the next White House Press Secretary?No3386.6¢99.6¢$33+$4.31+$85
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by August 31, 2026?Yes2925¢9.5¢$28+$13$0
Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?Yes9595.5¢2.8¢$27−$26$0
Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes12371.8¢19.5¢$24−$64$0
Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes3232.9¢6.7¢$22+$12+$94
Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes5222.9¢3.2¢$16+$1.09$0
Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Yes1981.6¢7.2¢$14+$11$0
Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes5222.9¢2.5¢$13−$2.56$0
Will John Kelly win the next Hobart mayoral election?Yes2930¢43.5¢$13+$3.93$0
Will James Comey be arrested before 2027?Yes10123.9¢9.8¢$9.90−$14$0
Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes5222.9¢1.6¢$8.09−$7.26$0
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes26810¢2.4¢$6.42−$20$0
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes4,22921.2¢0.2¢$6.34−$891−$342
Will Taylor Rogers be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes5222.9¢1¢$5.22−$10$0
Will Tricia McLaughlin be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes5222.9¢0.9¢$4.70−$11$0
Will Liz Huston be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes5222.9¢0.8¢$3.92−$11$0
Will Lauren Bis be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes5222.9¢0.6¢$3.13−$12$0
Will Kari Lake be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes5222.9¢0.6¢$3.13−$12$0
Will Brandon Moreno be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes4670.1¢0.6¢$2.80+$2.33$0
Will Katie Miller be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes5222.9¢0.5¢$2.61−$13$0
Will Pat Adams be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes5222.9¢0.5¢$2.35−$13$0
Will Beni Rae Harmony be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes5222.9¢0.5¢$2.35−$13$0
Will Lara Trump be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes5222.9¢0.4¢$2.09−$13$0
Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards?Yes250.1¢7.6¢$1.92+$1.89$0
Will Matthew Boyle be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes5222.9¢0.4¢$1.83−$14$0
Will Oliver Marmol win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?Yes3,6030.1¢0.1¢$1.80−$1.80−$0.04
Will Kaelan Dorr be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes5222.9¢0.3¢$1.30−$14$0
Will Katie Pavlich be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes5222.9¢0.3¢$1.30−$14$0
Will Kush Desai be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes5222.9¢0.2¢$1.04−$14$0
Will Ari Fleischer be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes5222.9¢0.2¢$0.78−$15$0
Will Monica Crowley be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes5222.9¢0.2¢$0.78−$15$0
Will Spencer Pratt be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes5222.9¢0.2¢$0.78−$15$0
Will Katie Zacharia be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes5222.9¢0.2¢$0.78−$15$0
Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?No25135¢0.3¢$0.75−$87$0
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Yes68¢9.5¢$0.56+$0.09−$424
Will Kayleigh McEnany be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes5222.9¢0.1¢$0.52−$15$0
Will Hogan Gidley be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes5222.9¢0.1¢$0.52−$15$0
Will Rachel Campos-Duffy be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes5222.9¢0.1¢$0.26−$15$0
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?Yes3270.1¢0.1¢$0.16−$0.16$0
Will Tatsuro Taira be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes13413.4¢0.1¢$0.07−$18$0
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?Yes8,5006.7¢0¢$0−$567$0
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?No1,0611.3¢0¢$0−$14$0
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?Yes1,0000.5¢0¢$0−$5.41$0
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?Yes2200.2¢0¢$0−$0.42$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Caedrel beat Max Verstappen in Max vs 100?99.9¢776$77552%34
BUY YesWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?20.3¢1,000$20352%34
SELL NoWill Trump say "Dictionary" this week?0.4¢498$2.0152%34
BUY YesWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?35.7¢2,500$89352%34
SELL YesWill Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?5.3¢593$3152%34
SELL YesWill Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?8.5¢1,277$10952%34
BUY YesWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?26.9¢2,500$67252%34
BUY YesWill Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 10?99¢110$10952%34
BUY YesWill Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 9?99¢421$41752%34
BUY YesWill Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 15?98.9¢475$47052%34
BUY YesWill Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 13?99¢125$12452%34
BUY YesWill Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 14?98.9¢177$17552%34
BUY YesWill Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 12?99¢540$53552%34
BUY YesWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?55¢525$28952%34
BUY YesWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?59.9¢200$12052%34
BUY YesWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?63.3¢20$1352%34
BUY YesWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?64.3¢750$48252%34
BUY YesWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?44.9¢1,000$44952%34
BUY largadosypeladosMap Handicap: LDP (-1.5) vs METANOIA WOLVES (+1.5)80¢5$4.0052%34
BUY largadosypeladosMap Handicap: LDP (-1.5) vs METANOIA WOLVES (+1.5)80¢1$0.4252%34