sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #8,946

080526

0x9ad…4084
<30d oldPoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$93vol $28.4k
PnL 30d+$932gains $55 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$844win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate100.0%adj 58.3% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$22.9kcash n/a
Positions33 / 37open / all-time
Max drawdown−26.9%of equity peak
Account age18dlast trade 50m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$968below peak $0Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

28/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale28
Adjusted win rateraw 100.0% · shrunk toward 50%46
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable52
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity73

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yesopen+$374Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? · Noopen+$193US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? · Noopen+$128Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · Noopen+$102Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? · Yesopen+$82

Worst markets

Iran full airspace closure by December 31? · Noopen−$75Trump renames AI by September 30? · Noopen−$28Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yesopen−$20Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? · Yesopen−$12US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? · Noopen−$11

Open positions · 33

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes3,73671.5¢81.5¢$3,045+$375−$0.20
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Yes3,18088.6¢88.6¢$2,816−$1.88$0
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No4,22755.1¢57.5¢$2,430+$102$0
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Yes2,87576.6¢79.5¢$2,286+$82$0
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No2,54682.4¢85.5¢$2,177+$79−$0.76
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?No2,97174.9¢72.5¢$2,154−$72−$2.72
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?No2,39677.6¢84.5¢$2,025+$164+$29
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No1,13186.5¢97.7¢$1,104+$126+$1.24
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No85687.8¢86.6¢$741−$11$0
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes1,04065.4¢63.5¢$660−$20$0
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?No1,02457.5¢58.5¢$599+$11$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes68979.6¢85.5¢$589+$41$0
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes76668¢66.5¢$510−$12$0
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes59373.2¢73.5¢$436+$1.50$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No52063¢69.5¢$361+$34−$0.17
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Yes14287.9¢97.5¢$139+$14+$21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?Yes32938.1¢42¢$138+$13$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No15376.3¢86.5¢$132+$16+$20
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?No13172¢71.5¢$94−$0.66$0
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes17146.2¢46.3¢$79+$0.09$0
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Yes9276.2¢85.5¢$78+$8.50$0
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes11658¢55¢$64−$3.47$0
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No6974¢73.5¢$51−$0.34$0
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No5286.7¢92.5¢$48+$2.98$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No5166¢64.5¢$33−$0.77$0
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes4273¢72.5¢$31−$0.21$0
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?No3966.3¢65.9¢$26−$0.17$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Yes4142.9¢46.5¢$19+$1.47−$0.17
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No1888.7¢90.5¢$17+$0.34$0
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes1766.2¢70.6¢$12+$0.73$0
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No392.6¢98.9¢$2.70+$0.17+$1.92
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?No546.8¢0¢$0−$3.68$0
Trump renames AI by September 30?No3973.6¢0¢$0−$29+$0.03

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?86¢110$94100%28
BUY YesWill Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?86¢110$94100%28
BUY YesWill Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?86¢110$94100%28
BUY YesUS x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?86¢150$129100%28
BUY YesUS x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?86¢150$129100%28
BUY YesUS x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?86¢150$129100%28
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?82¢153$126100%28
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?82¢153$126100%28
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?82¢153$126100%28
BUY YesWill there be no Hormuz agreement?88.7¢137$122100%28
BUY YesWill there be no Hormuz agreement?88.6¢160$142100%28
BUY NoNext US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?58¢162$94100%28
BUY NoNext US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?58¢162$94100%28
BUY NoNext US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?58¢162$94100%28
BUY NoMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?82¢5$4.17100%28
BUY NoAny of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?72¢67$48100%28
BUY NoAny of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?72¢67$48100%28
BUY NoAny of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?72¢67$48100%28
BUY NoUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?86.9¢119$104100%28
BUY YesWill Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?86¢146$126100%28