sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,921

Tysha

0x9be…c030
PnL 10k+1y+PoliticsSportCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$25.4kvol $5.94M
PnL 30d−$927gains $8,726 · losses $4,152
PnL 7d+$1,036win rate 7d 54.2%
Win rate50.2%adj 50.2% · 30d 50.2%
Open value$6,646cash n/a
Positions702 / 18,092open / all-time
Max drawdown−33.1%of equity peak
Account age1.3ylast trade 3h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$145kbelow peak $0Oct 14

SharpScore inputs

61/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale63
Adjusted win rateraw 50.2% · shrunk toward 50%26
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity67

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes5673.1¢85.2¢$483+$465+$88
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?No41090.7¢90.6¢$372−$0.38$0
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 208+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?No40672.7¢90.4¢$367+$72$0
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms?No40989¢89.5¢$366+$1.84$0
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?No41875.5¢77.3¢$323+$7.53$0
Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?No41078¢77.6¢$318−$1.64$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?No16097.9¢96.9¢$155−$1.76$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?No16086.7¢90.1¢$144+$5.36$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?No16091¢87.5¢$140−$5.61$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?No16064.5¢64.5¢$103$0$0
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 14?No10192.7¢100¢$101+$7.34$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?No16059¢60.5¢$97+$2.40$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?No8099.8¢99.8¢$80−$0.04$0
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?Yes7787.4¢100¢$77+$9.67$0
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 223 million views on week 1?No7681.4¢100¢$76+$14−$0.49
Will MrBeast's next video get between 207 and 215 million views on week 1?No7570.7¢100¢$75+$22$0
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?No7892.9¢92.6¢$72−$0.25$0
Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?No7593¢92.1¢$69−$0.71$0
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on October 14?No10054.5¢65.5¢$66+$11$0
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in September?No6098.8¢100¢$60+$0.72−$0.04
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in September?No6099.6¢100¢$60+$0.24−$0.01
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in September?No6092.9¢100¢$60+$4.26−$0.20
Will "Doing Life" be the top US Netflix movie this week?No6095¢100¢$60+$3.00−$0.14
Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September?No6059¢100¢$60+$25$0
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in September?No6092.5¢100¢$60+$4.50$0
Will Sabrina Carpenter be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?No6099.9¢99.9¢$60−$0.03$0
Will Sydney Sweeney be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?No6099.9¢99.8¢$60−$0.05$0
Will Joe Burrow be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?No6099.8¢99.8¢$60$0$0
Will Shohei Ohtani be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?No6099.8¢99.8¢$60−$0.03$0
Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?No6099.8¢99.8¢$60−$0.03$0
Will Patrick Mahomes be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?No6099.8¢99.8¢$60−$0.03$0
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?No6099.8¢99.7¢$60−$0.06$0
Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?No6099.8¢99.7¢$60−$0.09$0
Will Jalen Brunson be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?No6099.7¢99.4¢$60−$0.18$0
Will Vladimir Putin be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?No6099.4¢99.4¢$60−$0.03$0
Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?No6099.5¢99.4¢$60−$0.09$0
Tom Francis announced as next James Bond?No6098.9¢99.1¢$59+$0.08$0
Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?No6099.6¢98.8¢$59−$0.48$0
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?No6198.9¢97.7¢$59−$0.74$0
Will Lamine Yamal be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?No6099.6¢98.6¢$59−$0.60$0
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?No6191.4¢96.2¢$59+$2.90$0
Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond?No6099¢97.4¢$58−$0.96$0
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?No6099.6¢97.3¢$58−$1.39−$32
Jack O'Connell announced as next James Bond?No6091.7¢96.5¢$58+$2.85$0
Will Taylor Swift be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?No6099.4¢95.1¢$57−$2.61+$11
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?No6094.4¢93.7¢$56−$0.40$0
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?No6073.8¢91.5¢$55+$11$0
Will Nancy Guthrie be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?No6088.6¢89.1¢$53+$0.32$0
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?No6083¢86.2¢$52+$1.92$0
Will Lionel Messi be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?No5198.9¢98.6¢$50−$0.13$0
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?Yes5084¢96.6¢$48+$6.28$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?No6078.9¢79.5¢$48+$0.36−$34
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes6532.9¢7¢$46+$27$0
No one announced as next James Bond?No6073.9¢75.7¢$45+$1.08$0
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 9?No4479¢100¢$44+$9.21$0
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 9?No4481¢100¢$44+$8.33$0
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes4440¢9.8¢$43+$43$0
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Yes2991.5¢13.8¢$41+$37$0
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?No6062.8¢67.4¢$40+$2.76+$77
Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?No3829¢100¢$38+$27$0
Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?No6066¢63.5¢$38−$1.50$0
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 14?No10249.4¢35¢$36−$15$0
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?No2587¢100¢$25+$3.28−$0.14
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?No2591¢100¢$25+$2.27−$0.10
Will MrBeast's next video get between 199 and 207 million views on week 1?No2597¢100¢$25+$0.76−$0.04
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?No2588¢100¢$25+$3.00−$0.13
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?No2589.9¢100¢$25+$2.53−$0.01
Will Savo Manojlović win the next Serbia presidential election?No2599¢99.7¢$25+$0.17−$0.14
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1,1130¢2.2¢$24+$24$0
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?No2984.4¢75.9¢$22−$2.50$0
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes6532.9¢3.4¢$22+$2.90$0
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes6532.9¢3.4¢$22+$2.90$0
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes6532.9¢3.1¢$20+$1.27$0
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes6532.9¢3.1¢$20+$0.94$0
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes6532.9¢2.7¢$18−$1.34$0
Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 33m?No1875.1¢100¢$18+$4.37−$17
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1180.8¢14.7¢$17+$16$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No2081.9¢85.5¢$17+$0.73+$1.47
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on October 12?Yes1742¢100¢$17+$9.68$0
Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?No1768.5¢96.6¢$17+$4.81$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes302.9¢54.1¢$16+$15$0
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 62-66%?No2550¢64.5¢$16+$3.63$0
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?No2568.6¢64.5¢$16−$1.04$0
Will another contestant win The Bachelorette Season 22?Yes152.1¢92¢$14+$13$0
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?No1886¢76¢$13−$1.75$0
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes6532.9¢1.9¢$12−$6.89$0
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?Yes2991.5¢3.9¢$12+$7.00$0
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on October 14?No2556¢44¢$11−$3.00$0
Jack O'Connell announced as next James Bond?Yes2991.5¢3.6¢$11+$6.10$0
Will Nancy Guthrie be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?Yes970.8¢10.9¢$11+$9.86$0
Will "Below: Limited Series" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?No1041.9¢100¢$10+$5.93−$0.02
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes6532.9¢1.6¢$10−$8.85$0
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 62-66%?Yes2550¢35.5¢$8.88−$3.63$0
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?Yes970.8¢8.5¢$8.28+$7.52$0
Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond?Yes2991.5¢2.6¢$7.78+$3.26$0
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Yes2915.5¢24.1¢$7.09+$2.53$0
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?Yes2991.5¢2.3¢$6.88+$2.36$0
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1,5200.8¢0.5¢$6.84−$4.95$0
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1,9400.8¢0.4¢$6.79−$8.25$0
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?No1743.8¢37¢$6.33−$1.16$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill "End of Beginning – Djo" be the #2 song for 2026?82¢11$8.9350%61
BUY NoWill Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?73.7¢101$7450%61
BUY NoWill Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?96.7¢100$9750%61
BUY NoWill Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?97.8¢101$9850%61
BUY NoWill Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?75¢100$7550%61
BUY NoWill Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?92.8¢101$9350%61
BUY NoWill Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?97.9¢100$9850%61
BUY NoWill Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?83¢100$8350%61
BUY NoWill Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?96¢100$9650%61
BUY NoWill Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?98¢101$9950%61
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 14?94¢6$5.6450%61
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 14?92.3¢19$1750%61
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 14?49¢51$2550%61
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 14?49.8¢51$2550%61
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 14?92¢51$4750%61
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?5¢80$4.0150%61
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?61.5¢62$3850%61
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?94.3¢60$5750%61
BUY NoWill voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 76-78%?82¢48$3950%61
BUY NoWill voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 80-82%?81¢48$3950%61