PnL all-time−$4,478vol $614k
PnL 30d−$5,634gains $2,735 · losses $7,213
PnL 7d−$3,183win rate 7d 16.7%
Win rate36.1%adj 41.1% · 30d 36.1%
Open value$91.8kcash n/a
Positions2 / 40open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age26dlast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$5,634below peak −$6,243Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
19/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 36.1% · shrunk toward 50%3
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable53
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d96
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Noclosed+$1,867Will Fulham FC win on 2026-09-20? · Noclosed+$580Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$111Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$57Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$44
Worst markets
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Noclosed−$4,283Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? · Noopen−$2,500No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27? · Hike 25 bpsclosed−$732Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? · Yesclosed−$552No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27? · No changeclosed−$502
Open positions · 2
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | No | 100k | 93¢ | 90.5¢ | $90.5k | −$2,500 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? | Yes | 1,435 | 93.1¢ | 93.9¢ | $1,347 | +$11 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s