PnL all-time+$131vol $46.6k
PnL 30d+$0.34gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate65.0%adj 57.5% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$2,080cash n/a
Positions5 / 25open / all-time
Max drawdown−3.9%of equity peak
Account age2.1ylast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$140below peak −$3.19Oct 10
SharpScore inputs
39/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale30
Adjusted win rateraw 65.0% · shrunk toward 50%44
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable47
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d96
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity96
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 2,121 | 96.9¢ | 96.9¢ | $2,055 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 16 | 93.3¢ | 97.8¢ | $16 | +$0.72 | $0 | |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | No | 8 | 59¢ | 100¢ | $8.47 | +$3.47 | −$0.06 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 8 | 38¢ | 15.5¢ | $1.22 | −$1.78 | $0 | |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | 24 | 17¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.00 | $0 |
Recent trades
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