| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 123k | 82.2¢ | 84.5¢ | $104k | +$2,848 | −$131k | |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 119k | 72.7¢ | 86¢ | $102k | +$15.8k | +$1,189 | |
| No one announced as next James Bond? | No | 79.8k | 75.9¢ | 80.6¢ | $64.3k | +$3,708 | −$17.1k | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 51.6k | 61.8¢ | 83.5¢ | $43.1k | +$11.2k | −$1,031 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 27.2k | 94¢ | 93.3¢ | $25.4k | −$200 | $0 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 32.4k | 5.2¢ | 71.3¢ | $23.1k | +$21.4k | +$58.4k | |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 25.0k | 90.1¢ | 89.8¢ | $22.4k | −$75 | $0 | |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 297k | 3.9¢ | 5.9¢ | $17.7k | +$6,003 | +$817 | |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 310k | 12.8¢ | 4.9¢ | $15.2k | −$24.4k | +$36.7k | |
| Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 68.5k | 22.1¢ | 18.5¢ | $12.7k | −$2,442 | −$56 | |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 16.4k | 51.7¢ | 63.5¢ | $10.4k | +$1,927 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 23.6k | 31.1¢ | 42.5¢ | $10.0k | +$2,693 | +$261 | |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 36.9k | 32¢ | 25.5¢ | $9,399 | −$2,381 | +$311 | |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 299k | 1.7¢ | 3¢ | $8,983 | +$3,911 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 9,196 | 71.1¢ | 96.2¢ | $8,842 | +$2,307 | −$2,913 | |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 43.2k | 20.1¢ | 19.9¢ | $8,579 | −$108 | +$9,144 | |
| Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 9,789 | 83¢ | 83.5¢ | $8,173 | +$50 | $0 | |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 110k | 10¢ | 7.4¢ | $8,084 | −$2,868 | +$12.2k | |
| New pandemic in 2026? | No | 8,384 | 89.3¢ | 95.5¢ | $8,007 | +$524 | −$1,414 | |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 7,665 | 85.7¢ | 96.5¢ | $7,393 | +$827 | +$51 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | No | 7,782 | 90¢ | 91.5¢ | $7,121 | +$121 | −$107 | |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 14.0k | 46.8¢ | 49.5¢ | $6,911 | +$380 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | No | 35.0k | 19.1¢ | 18.5¢ | $6,483 | −$195 | +$63 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 117k | 17.1¢ | 5.5¢ | $6,456 | −$13.6k | −$18.5k | |
| Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? | No | 6,380 | 91.6¢ | 95.4¢ | $6,086 | +$239 | −$92 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 56.6k | 17.4¢ | 9.5¢ | $5,380 | −$4,460 | $0 | |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 6,229 | 89.4¢ | 85¢ | $5,292 | −$278 | −$6,655 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 150k | 6.3¢ | 3.3¢ | $4,950 | −$4,533 | +$95 | |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? | No | 4,787 | 39.3¢ | 97.4¢ | $4,661 | +$2,781 | +$1,051 | |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 515k | 0.7¢ | 0.9¢ | $4,637 | +$1,141 | +$390 | |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 5,572 | 82.4¢ | 82.5¢ | $4,597 | +$2.83 | −$707 | |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | No | 6,936 | 65.6¢ | 63.5¢ | $4,405 | −$144 | +$164 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | No | 6,110 | 64.5¢ | 71¢ | $4,338 | +$394 | $0 | |
| Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 5,280 | 68.7¢ | 81¢ | $4,277 | +$648 | −$530 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | Yes | 5,655 | 86.2¢ | 73.5¢ | $4,154 | −$718 | −$0.44 | |
| Stripe IPO before 2027? | No | 4,153 | 83.4¢ | 97.7¢ | $4,055 | +$593 | +$41 | |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | Yes | 7,596 | 46.4¢ | 51.5¢ | $3,912 | +$385 | +$34 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 25.0k | 33.8¢ | 15.5¢ | $3,875 | −$4,576 | $0 | |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 21.3k | 17.5¢ | 18¢ | $3,832 | +$88 | +$17.4k | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 6,509 | 64¢ | 58.5¢ | $3,808 | −$358 | −$110 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-03 House seat? | Yes | 3,813 | 94¢ | 95.5¢ | $3,642 | +$57 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-06 House seat? | Yes | 3,831 | 94.2¢ | 93.9¢ | $3,596 | −$14 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 3,670 | 90¢ | 90.5¢ | $3,321 | +$18 | −$570 | |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 63.8k | 1.2¢ | 5.1¢ | $3,222 | +$2,468 | +$819 | |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | No | 6,370 | 46.3¢ | 50.5¢ | $3,217 | +$269 | +$103 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 17.9k | 11.9¢ | 17.8¢ | $3,203 | +$1,076 | +$8,302 | |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 7,966 | 39.2¢ | 39.5¢ | $3,147 | +$20 | +$601 | |
| Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 3,713 | 77¢ | 84.5¢ | $3,138 | +$279 | −$497 | |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 101k | 2.7¢ | 3.1¢ | $3,093 | +$397 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 3,140 | 94.6¢ | 96.8¢ | $3,038 | +$68 | −$394 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Nebraska governor race in 2026? | No | 3,319 | 90.3¢ | 91¢ | $3,020 | +$22 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026? | Yes | 3,014 | 94.2¢ | 97.3¢ | $2,931 | +$93 | −$93 | |
| Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? | No | 2,964 | 85.8¢ | 95.4¢ | $2,828 | +$286 | −$261 | |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 3,177 | 76.5¢ | 87.5¢ | $2,779 | +$349 | +$168 | |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 7,371 | 23.2¢ | 37¢ | $2,723 | +$1,017 | +$3,674 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska governor race in 2026? | Yes | 3,055 | 91.8¢ | 88.5¢ | $2,704 | −$101 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026? | No | 2,694 | 92.3¢ | 95¢ | $2,559 | +$72 | −$534 | |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 57.5k | 11¢ | 4.5¢ | $2,558 | −$3,766 | +$7,391 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | Yes | 5,521 | 58.5¢ | 45.5¢ | $2,512 | −$716 | −$5.02 | |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 2,555 | 74.1¢ | 97.2¢ | $2,483 | +$590 | −$135 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the MS-01 House seat? | Yes | 2,564 | 94¢ | 96¢ | $2,462 | +$51 | $0 | |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,555 | 83¢ | 95.5¢ | $2,440 | +$319 | +$255 | |
| Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? | Yes | 2,482 | 87.6¢ | 95.6¢ | $2,373 | +$199 | +$15 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 6,662 | 30¢ | 35.5¢ | $2,365 | +$366 | +$168 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 5,510 | 30.1¢ | 42.5¢ | $2,342 | +$683 | $0 | |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | Yes | 7,500 | 43¢ | 29¢ | $2,175 | −$1,050 | $0 | |
| Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 5,033 | 61.8¢ | 43¢ | $2,164 | −$944 | −$46 | |
| James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? | No | 2,033 | 89.8¢ | 98.9¢ | $2,010 | +$183 | −$1,547 | |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 70.1k | 0.7¢ | 2.9¢ | $1,997 | +$1,473 | +$2,368 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026? | Yes | 2,028 | 91.2¢ | 96.8¢ | $1,962 | +$112 | −$35 | |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026? | Yes | 1,968 | 65¢ | 98.5¢ | $1,938 | +$659 | +$34 | |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? | No | 1,930 | 82.5¢ | 96.4¢ | $1,861 | +$267 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Maryland governor race in 2026? | Yes | 1,794 | 93.6¢ | 98¢ | $1,757 | +$78 | −$132 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1,817 | 92.6¢ | 94¢ | $1,708 | +$25 | −$314 | |
| Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? | No | 1,755 | 86.1¢ | 97¢ | $1,701 | +$190 | −$177 | |
| Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 2,371 | 29.2¢ | 71.5¢ | $1,695 | +$1,003 | $0 | |
| Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 1,812 | 88¢ | 92.5¢ | $1,676 | +$82 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026? | Yes | 1,849 | 91.3¢ | 90.5¢ | $1,673 | −$14 | +$4.09 | |
| Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond? | No | 1,667 | 89.9¢ | 99.9¢ | $1,665 | +$166 | $0 | |
| Tim Walz in jail by December 31? | No | 1,698 | 92¢ | 97.3¢ | $1,652 | +$89 | −$372 | |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 2,462 | 65¢ | 62¢ | $1,527 | −$74 | −$381 | |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027? | No | 1,555 | 83¢ | 98¢ | $1,524 | +$233 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | No | 1,555 | 91¢ | 97.5¢ | $1,516 | +$101 | −$638 | |
| OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? | No | 1,560 | 76¢ | 96.7¢ | $1,508 | +$322 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? | No | 1,665 | 70.7¢ | 90.5¢ | $1,507 | +$330 | $0 | |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | Yes | 10.3k | 10¢ | 14.5¢ | $1,498 | +$465 | $0 | |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026? | No | 1,500 | 88¢ | 99.6¢ | $1,494 | +$174 | $0 | |
| Freddie Mac IPO before 2027? | No | 1,555 | 82.9¢ | 95.7¢ | $1,488 | +$199 | $0 | |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 197k | 4.3¢ | 0.8¢ | $1,480 | −$6,948 | +$1,053 | |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | No | 1,724 | 83.8¢ | 84.5¢ | $1,457 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond? | No | 1,428 | 87.1¢ | 99.6¢ | $1,421 | +$178 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | No | 1,555 | 89¢ | 84.5¢ | $1,314 | −$70 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026? | Yes | 1,656 | 91.1¢ | 78.5¢ | $1,300 | −$208 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | No | 1,666 | 90.2¢ | 74¢ | $1,233 | −$270 | $0 | |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? | Yes | 1,555 | 79¢ | 78.8¢ | $1,225 | −$3.88 | +$315 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the LA-03 House seat? | Yes | 1,246 | 94¢ | 95.5¢ | $1,189 | +$19 | −$216 | |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 1,211 | 90.7¢ | 95.5¢ | $1,156 | +$58 | +$247 | |
| Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? | Yes | 24.8k | 3¢ | 4.6¢ | $1,139 | +$396 | +$117 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? | No | 4,296 | 10¢ | 26.5¢ | $1,138 | +$709 | +$1,281 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? | Yes | 25.0k | 3¢ | 4.6¢ | $1,137 | +$387 | +$4.36 | |
