sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #2,262

OkieDokiePeon

0x9dd…2c83
PnL 10k+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$23.7kvol $10.1M
PnL 30d+$1,127gains $23.3k · losses $18.2k
PnL 7d−$673win rate 7d 53.1%
Win rate52.6%adj 52.5% · 30d 53.8%
Open value$17.2kcash n/a
Positions150 / 1,802open / all-time
Max drawdown−30.4%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 7h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$26.3kbelow peak −$1,105Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

62/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale62
Adjusted win rateraw 52.6% · shrunk toward 50%31
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity70

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes6,78785.4¢85.8¢$5,820+$27+$2,430
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes3,44560.7¢71.3¢$2,456+$367−$66
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No3,02080.8¢79.5¢$2,401−$39−$790
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes2,25349¢48.7¢$1,097−$6.58−$1,841
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes4,16636.6¢25.5¢$1,062−$463−$102
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?Yes1,38063.8¢69¢$953+$72+$4.72
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes5,73313.9¢13.5¢$774−$22−$978
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No4,72914.8¢14.2¢$674−$28−$1,122
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No58864¢63.5¢$373−$2.94$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes1,02519.2¢20.5¢$210+$13+$2,186
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?No20083¢86.5¢$173+$7.00$0
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?No16681.2¢93.5¢$155+$20+$371
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Yes1,42110.1¢9.5¢$135−$8.27−$28
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes19259.8¢57.9¢$111−$3.67+$582
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?No10089¢94¢$94+$5.00$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?Yes90010.9¢10¢$90−$8.00+$1,900
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Yes12736¢69¢$87+$42$0
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes1,0208¢8¢$82−$0.40−$34
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No4785.4¢96.8¢$45+$5.32−$3,133
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?No10047¢43.5¢$44−$3.50$0
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Yes40012¢9.5¢$38−$10$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?Yes5273.5¢67.5¢$35−$3.10$0
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Yes32012.9¢10.5¢$34−$7.60$0
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes15419.6¢21.5¢$33+$2.94+$122
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Yes4008¢8¢$32$0$0
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?No10236.7¢19.5¢$20−$18$0
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31?No10022¢18.5¢$19−$3.50$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?No22112.7¢7.5¢$17−$11$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Yes1,0003.8¢1.7¢$17−$22−$29
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No2421¢58.5¢$14+$9.04+$44
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes2439.6¢5.5¢$13−$10$0
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes10519¢12.5¢$13−$6.83−$9.72
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes10113¢12.5¢$13−$0.51$0
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes5001.8¢2.4¢$12+$2.55$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Yes2007¢5.5¢$11−$3.00$0
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes91226¢1.2¢$10−$227−$99
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026?Yes4515.3¢17.7¢$8.00+$1.07$0
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes1127¢6.5¢$7.29−$0.56$0
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes8852.3¢0.7¢$5.75−$15−$2.48
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Pakistan by December 31, 2026?Yes914.2¢5.2¢$4.71+$0.90$0
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the United States by December 31, 2026?Yes457¢2.7¢$1.19−$1.95$0
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Switzerland by December 31, 2026?Yes270.5¢4.4¢$1.17+$1.04$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?No263¢64¢$1.00+$0.02+$3.94
Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31?Yes3018¢3.2¢$0.98−$4.51$0
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?Yes3006¢0.1¢$0.15−$18−$69
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes13.5k0.2¢0¢$0−$27+$535
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes5,49432.1¢0¢$0−$1,762−$2,940
Will Pablo Marçal finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes5,2821.1¢0¢$0−$61+$76
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes5,0500.5¢0¢$0−$25+$219
Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes3,5650.7¢0¢$0−$26−$0.60
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes2,98513.8¢0¢$0−$412−$292
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes2,87620.8¢0¢$0−$598+$185
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes2,5000.8¢0¢$0−$20−$129
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Yes2,00094¢0¢$0−$1,880+$31
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Yes1,5000.4¢0¢$0−$6.50+$4,549
Will Augusto Cury finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes1,4210.6¢0¢$0−$8.52$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?Yes1,3005¢0¢$0−$65+$19
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?Yes1,2260.6¢0¢$0−$7.49$0
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes1,0002¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Yes80026.6¢0¢$0−$213+$1.11
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes7614.8¢0¢$0−$36+$1,348
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No6106.8¢0¢$0−$41$0
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No57813.7¢0¢$0−$79−$0.42
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 23, 2026?Yes5190.2¢0¢$0−$1.04$0
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 22, 2026?Yes5170.2¢0¢$0−$1.03$0
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?No5000.2¢0¢$0−$1.00+$5.79
Iran closes its airspace by May 6?Yes5000.2¢0¢$0−$1.00−$27
Will Augusto Cury win between 1% and 2% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes5000.6¢0¢$0−$3.00$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?Yes5004¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 19, 2026?Yes5000.2¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Thunder vs. SpursThunder50041¢0¢$0−$205−$3.63
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?Yes5003.7¢0¢$0−$18−$0.53
Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 39m?No50026.4¢0¢$0−$132$0
Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?No4792.3¢0¢$0−$11+$13
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Yes4570.3¢0¢$0−$1.37−$33
UFC 329: Cody Garbrandt vs. Adrian Yanez (Bantamweight, Prelims)Cody Garbrandt43523¢0¢$0−$100−$3.85
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?No40052.2¢0¢$0−$209$0
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No4003¢0¢$0−$12−$279
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 17, 2026?Yes3807.3¢0¢$0−$28+$7.66
Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?Yes3785.3¢0¢$0−$20+$0.13
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Conor McGregor35728¢0¢$0−$100−$3.60
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes3506.7¢0¢$0−$24−$41
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 20, 2026?Yes3500.3¢0¢$0−$1.05$0
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes3053.4¢0¢$0−$10+$41
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Yes30524.5¢0¢$0−$75+$0.76
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes3014.9¢0¢$0−$15+$290
Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Yes3001.1¢0¢$0−$3.30$0
Howard vs. RutgersHoward3001.6¢0¢$0−$4.80$0
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?Yes3004.4¢0¢$0−$13+$17
UFC Fight Night: Priscila Cachoeira vs. Chelsea Chandler (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)Priscila Cachoeira30045¢0¢$0−$135−$2.23
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)Belal Muhammad30050¢0¢$0−$150−$2.25
Cavaliers vs. PistonsCavaliers30042.7¢0¢$0−$128−$2.20
Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?Yes3001.6¢0¢$0−$4.80$0
Cavaliers vs. KnicksCavaliers30034.3¢0¢$0−$103−$2.03
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?Yes30010¢0¢$0−$30+$8.54
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No2838.1¢0¢$0−$23−$553
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Yes2783¢0¢$0−$8.34+$1,939
Will Escritor Augusto Cury win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraíba?Yes2780.9¢0¢$0−$2.43−$0.09
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Yes26021.1¢0¢$0−$55−$70
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Yes2508.1¢0¢$0−$20$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?69.2¢126$8753%62
BUY YesWill Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?72¢30$2253%62
BUY YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?12¢300$3653%62
BUY NoWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?14.3¢1,165$16753%62
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?8¢100$8.0053%62
SELL YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?11¢149$1653%62
BUY NoWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?15.3¢1,614$24653%62
BUY YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?14¢600$8453%62
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?85.7¢5,000$4,28553%62
SELL YesNATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?9¢473$4353%62
SELL YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?21¢809$17053%62
SELL NoIran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?68¢71$4853%62
BUY YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?12¢114$1453%62
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?20¢18$3.5953%62
BUY YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?22¢185$4153%62
BUY YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?21¢289$6153%62
BUY YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?13¢35$4.6153%62
SELL NoWill Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31?23¢100$2353%62
SELL YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?18¢639$11553%62
BUY YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?12¢1,748$21053%62