sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,988

Favorable-Pepper-Brushing

0x9e3…f882
WhaleSportPoliticsCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$3.31Mvol $111M
PnL 30d−$873kgains $32.7k · losses $30.5k
PnL 7d−$37.7kwin rate 7d 41.0%
Win rate41.0%adj 41.3% · 30d 41.0%
Open value$261kcash n/a
Positions1,003 / 128,929open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age3molast trade 2m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$2.62Mbelow peak −$2.63MOct 8

SharpScore inputs

24/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 41.0% · shrunk toward 50%3
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No52.4k89¢88.5¢$46.4k−$266$0
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No37.5k86.6¢90.5¢$33.9k+$1,476−$0.09
Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-09-05?No18.5k81¢71¢$13.2k−$1,855−$371
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?Yes19.8k53.7¢64.5¢$12.8k+$2,140$0
France vs. England: O/U 4.5Over10.7k54.7¢100¢$10.7k+$4,847+$142
France vs. England: O/U 6.5Over10.6k49.5¢100¢$10.6k+$5,357+$6,501
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes9,87866.9¢66.5¢$6,569−$37$0
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes56.2k11.2¢11.1¢$6,216−$95−$5.74
Spread: SK Brann (-1.5)Molde FK6,08687.3¢100¢$6,086+$775−$34
Will KT Rolster win the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026?Yes12.7k55.5¢46¢$5,831−$1,209$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes6,82858.2¢83.5¢$5,702+$1,730−$377
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-09?Yes6,61574¢74.5¢$4,928+$33$0
FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC: Both Teams to ScoreYes6,76667.9¢65¢$4,398−$194$0
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes7,25154.8¢55.3¢$4,010+$37+$28
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsPARIVISION6,73072.4¢58.6¢$3,941−$930$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?No3,27567.8¢93¢$3,045+$825$0
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?Yes3,63864.3¢83.5¢$3,038+$700+$100
Atletico FC Cali vs. Real Cartagena FC: O/U 2.5Over5,51951.8¢50.5¢$2,787−$70$0
AL Wakrah SC vs. Al Gharafa SC: O/U 2.5Over2,59966¢100¢$2,598+$882$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?Yes2,47793.2¢99.8¢$2,472+$163$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes11.6k16.7¢17.8¢$2,077+$132−$3.79
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?Yes2,45677.3¢81.5¢$2,002+$103$0
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes3,68955.4¢53.6¢$1,975−$67−$70
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Yes2,29283.4¢85.5¢$1,959+$49$0
Shamrock Rovers vs. Drogheda United FC: O/U 1.5Over1,88480.7¢100¢$1,883+$363+$71
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No1,86998.7¢100¢$1,869+$24−$12
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No2,34973.1¢79.5¢$1,868+$150+$6.62
Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?Yes2,00370.3¢91¢$1,823+$415$0
Valorant: NRG vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions PlayoffsLOUD3,97943.4¢42.5¢$1,691−$37$0
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerGen.G1,66463.6¢100¢$1,664+$606−$178
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Yes1,87783.4¢88¢$1,652+$86+$17
CA Paranaense vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 4.5Under1,58789¢89.5¢$1,420+$7.93$0
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes2,02573.9¢69.5¢$1,408−$89−$0.73
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-10-08?Yes2,14762¢62.5¢$1,342+$12−$0.68
Atletico FC Cali vs. Real Cartagena FC: O/U 4.5Under1,48088¢87.5¢$1,295−$7.40$0
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No1,30476.6¢95¢$1,239+$239$0
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes1,91565.5¢63.5¢$1,216−$38−$6.88
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16?Yes2,50144.6¢43¢$1,075−$40−$137
FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 4.5Under1,89572.4¢56.5¢$1,071−$301$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?No1,26365.1¢84.5¢$1,067+$245+$13
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-10-08?No1,16576¢74.5¢$868−$17$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes2,37935.3¢35.5¢$845+$3.98−$17
Will Cusco FC win on 2026-07-18?Yes80864.2¢100¢$808+$289−$0.10
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes3,52624.7¢22.5¢$793−$76+$144
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?Yes81690.7¢95.6¢$779+$40$0
Independiente Valle Del Cauca vs. Tigres FC: O/U 2.5Under1,13463¢62.5¢$709−$5.67$0
Independiente Valle Del Cauca vs. Tigres FC: O/U 3.5Under84683.2¢83¢$702−$1.48$0
Santos FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 4.5Under84882.9¢81.5¢$691−$12$0
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-07-18?Yes68360.1¢100¢$683+$273+$145
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over67443¢100¢$674+$384−$8.14
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes1,49726.5¢39.9¢$597+$200+$4.81
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes11.2k8.7¢4.9¢$547−$420−$1,524
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes3,50719.8¢15.5¢$544−$151−$827
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Sangal (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup PlayoffsFaZe52671.6¢100¢$525+$149−$3.67
Fluminense FC vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 2.5Over93453¢55.5¢$519+$23$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 5-11?No58095.8¢88.4¢$513−$43$0
Santos FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5Over87456¢58.5¢$511+$21$0
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsMOUZ83059.2¢58.5¢$486−$5.66$0
CA Paranaense vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5Over99447.9¢47.5¢$472−$3.97$0
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver44771¢100¢$447+$130−$210
Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia?Yes43470.1¢99.1¢$430+$126$0
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes39696.3¢95.6¢$378−$2.97+$0.76
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes58266.2¢64.5¢$375−$9.76−$0.20
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?No41191¢90¢$370−$4.11$0
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes59540.9¢61.5¢$366+$122+$444
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETDown36670.5¢100¢$366+$108+$1.21
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-08?Yes64054.9¢54.5¢$349−$2.28−$1.20
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No61850.7¢56.3¢$348+$35$0
Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5Over95035.3¢36¢$342+$6.80$0
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes1,15321.5¢29.5¢$340+$92$0
Santos FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5Over39881¢81.5¢$324+$1.99$0
Canucks vs. HurricanesHurricanes41877¢76.5¢$320−$2.09$0
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes16.0k3.3¢1.9¢$296−$238−$632
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-10-08?Yes43566.7¢67.5¢$294+$3.40$0
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsTeam Yandex69221.6¢41.4¢$287+$137$0
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsAurora Gaming40671¢70.5¢$287−$2.03$0
Will José Maria Neves win the Cape Verde presidential election?Yes36578.9¢77.5¢$283−$5.23$0
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 9?Yes30983.2¢89.5¢$276+$20$0
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes33477.6¢82¢$274+$15+$51
CA Paranaense vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5Under52053¢52.5¢$273−$2.63$0
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes1,17420.8¢22.5¢$264+$20−$34
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes1,35328.7¢19.5¢$264−$124+$2.13
Wizards vs. KnicksWizards79735.5¢31.5¢$251−$32$0
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes68436.1¢35.5¢$243−$4.26−$39
Will AS FAR win on 2026-10-08?Yes23766.5¢100¢$237+$79+$6.80
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group OmegaDragon Ranger Gaming22667.1¢100¢$226+$74−$2.80
LoL: Maryville University vs Cupid Esports (BO5) - LCS Promotion PlayoffsCupid Esports33666.7¢67¢$225+$1.03$0
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?Yes1,05849.4¢21¢$222−$301+$0.62
Will Grêmio Novorizontino win on 2026-10-08?Yes39253.6¢56.5¢$221+$11$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes1,37618.7¢15.5¢$213−$44−$1,087
Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes46.3k0.9¢0.5¢$208−$206$0
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes26784.8¢77.5¢$207−$20+$0.01
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-10-08?Yes44745.9¢45.5¢$203−$1.92$0
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?No21192¢93.5¢$197+$3.17$0
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 9?No19799.7¢99.5¢$196−$0.42$0
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes45678.1¢43¢$196−$160−$93
Will the Miami Heat make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?Yes27869.8¢70¢$195+$0.54−$0.10
CA Paranaense vs. CA Mineiro: Draw at halftime?Yes44244¢43.5¢$192−$2.21$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?Yes3,9283.8¢4.8¢$187+$39−$117
Will David Raya (Arsenal) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Premier League season?Yes27070.6¢68.5¢$185−$5.64−$0.50

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?32.4¢6$1.9041%24
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET28¢33$9.3441%24
BUY YesWill CA Paranaense win on 2026-10-08?46¢21$9.5241%24
BUY VillainousCounter-Strike: Villainous vs Reign Above (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffs68¢7$4.7641%24
BUY BORRACHEIROSCounter-Strike: BORRACHEIROS vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs57¢3$1.9041%24
BUY Maryville UniversityLoL: Maryville University vs Cupid Esports (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs56¢71$4041%24
BUY DownEthereum Up or Down - October 8, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET8¢23$1.8341%24
BUY OverCeltics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 220.556¢17$9.5241%24
BUY Maryville UniversityLoL: Maryville University vs Cupid Esports (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs57¢3$1.9041%24
BUY WizardsSpread: Knicks (-6.5)53¢18$9.5241%24
BUYSpread: CR Flamengo (-1.5) AND Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5) AND Spread: CA Paranaense (-1.5) AND Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-10-08?24¢191$4641%24
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET72¢6$4.6741%24
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET49¢21$1041%24
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET50¢21$1041%24
SELLWill Maghreb AS de Fès win on 2026-10-08? AND Will CA Grau win on 2026-10-08?6¢155$9.3041%24
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET47¢12$5.6041%24
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET50¢19$9.3441%24
BUY YesWill Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?5¢113$5.7141%24
BUY YesWill Maghreb AS de Fès win on 2026-10-08?32¢30$9.5241%24
BUY UnderAtletico FC Cali vs. Real Cartagena FC: O/U 5.583.6¢1,058$88541%24