sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,333

DREAMBIG.

0x9e8…8db8
SharpWhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 60+1y+PoliticsCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$148kvol $1.97M
PnL 30d−$2,688gains $1,462 · losses $0.43
PnL 7d−$2,157win rate 7d 97.7%
Win rate69.8%adj 69.1% · 30d 96.8%
Open value$129kcash n/a
Positions264 / 4,774open / all-time
Max drawdown−2.4%of equity peak
Account age1.6ylast trade 4d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$151kbelow peak −$2,966Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

82/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale74
Adjusted win rateraw 69.8% · shrunk toward 50%73
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d87
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity98

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No55.0k50¢100¢$55.0k+$27.5k$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No45.0k50¢92¢$41.4k+$18.9k$0
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No14.0k50¢98.8¢$13.8k+$6,825$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes45.0k50¢8.1¢$3,623−$18.9k$0
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes2,21627.8¢78.5¢$1,740+$1,123$0
No one announced as next James Bond?No1,71276.5¢80.6¢$1,379+$69−$5.36
Pierce Brosnan announced as next James Bond?No86690.9¢99.9¢$865+$78$0
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Yes1,00037¢81.5¢$815+$445$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes1,30073.5¢48.4¢$629−$326+$4.38
Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?No1,00068.3¢60.5¢$605−$78$0
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?No70066¢71.5¢$500+$38$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes3,55039.1¢13.5¢$479−$909−$219
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No50090.4¢95.5¢$478+$26+$3.00
Will Tom Holland be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?No50083.6¢92.2¢$461+$43$0
Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop?Yes49254.1¢82.5¢$406+$140$0
Will Trump and Putin not meet?No50033¢81¢$405+$240$0
Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau?Yes48558¢77.5¢$376+$95+$23
Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards?No40056¢92.5¢$370+$146$0
Anthropic IPO before 2027?No1,94335.4¢17.5¢$340−$348−$253
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Yes1,65935.7¢19.5¢$323−$269$0
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No50082.2¢60.7¢$303−$108$0
Brie Larson as Captain Marvel?Yes56941.6¢52¢$296+$59+$17
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No30088¢85.5¢$257−$7.50$0
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No50050¢49.5¢$248−$2.50$0
Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary?No24190¢98.4¢$237+$20$0
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Yes56717.5¢37¢$209+$110+$90
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLAU?No20098.3¢99.7¢$199+$2.80$0
Trump on $250 bill this year?No20091¢97.7¢$195+$13$0
Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?No45245.2¢41¢$185−$19$0
Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?No26357¢67.5¢$178+$28$0
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes14.0k50¢1.3¢$175−$6,825$0
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?No16088.4¢95.8¢$153+$12+$54
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?No19082¢77.5¢$148−$8.57+$0.48
Will "Disclosure Day" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No14552¢97.5¢$141+$66+$3.30
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?No12881.7¢93.7¢$120+$15$0
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Yes62424¢18.3¢$114−$36−$11
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?No11593.9¢94.5¢$109+$0.73$0
LA28 Olympics run as scheduled?Yes12590.8¢85.6¢$107−$6.51$0
Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man?No15674¢67.5¢$105−$10+$1.35
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?Yes1,1137¢9.2¢$102+$25$0
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $APBC?No10098¢94.7¢$95−$3.35$0
Jack O'Connell announced as next James Bond?Yes1,1061.4¢8.5¢$93+$79$0
Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Khamzat Chimaev next?No10084¢89.9¢$90+$5.90$0
Will Barclays or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?No8897.3¢100¢$88+$2.32$0
Will Loki die in Avengers: Doomsday?No39433¢17.5¢$69−$61$0
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?No6186.8¢98.6¢$60+$7.18+$2.07
Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?No6093¢96.9¢$58+$2.34$0
Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine?No7756.8¢66.5¢$51+$7.47$0
Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026?No5554¢92.5¢$51+$21$0
Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton engaged in 2026?No5578.5¢92.6¢$51+$7.73$0
Theo James announced as next James Bond?No5092.8¢99.7¢$50+$3.45$0
Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next?No6082¢81.5¢$49−$0.30$0
Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?Yes5080¢94¢$47+$7.00$0
Will The Batman: Part II be delayed?No9073.1¢48.5¢$44−$22$0
Will Zendaya and Robert Pattinson star in another film together announced in 2026?Yes43410.9¢10¢$43−$4.00$0
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Yes5337¢80.5¢$43+$23$0
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Yes35016.4¢12¢$42−$15$0
Will Kanye West meet with Vladimir Putin by October 31?No4295¢99.5¢$42+$1.87$0
Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Jiri Prochazka next?No4088¢96.7¢$39+$3.46$0
Will Avengers: Doomsday be delayed?No3892¢95.6¢$36+$1.35$0
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?No4383¢81.8¢$35−$0.54$0
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by October 31, 2026?No3586¢96.9¢$34+$3.81$0
Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes1,06113.5¢3.2¢$33−$110+$14
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No3270.1¢96.6¢$31+$8.57$0
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No8856.8¢34.5¢$30−$20+$20
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?No3190¢97.7¢$30+$2.39$0
Will Rodri be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?No3090¢99.3¢$30+$2.79$0
Tom Francis announced as next James Bond?Yes7620.3¢3.9¢$30+$27$0
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes55.0k50¢0.1¢$28−$27.5k$0
Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31?No2883.8¢94.5¢$27+$3.04$0
Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?Yes2872¢93¢$26+$5.87$0
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No400¢64¢$26+$26$0
Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes3051.2¢80.5¢$24+$8.80$0
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?No20071.1¢12¢$24−$118−$12
Next James Bond announced by March 31, 2027?Yes2591¢91.5¢$23+$0.12$0
Phoebe Gates arrested by December 31?No2293¢98.9¢$22+$1.30$0
Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No2356¢87¢$20+$7.05$0
Will Thor die in Avengers: Doomsday?No6045¢32.5¢$19−$7.50$0
Jonathan Majors as Kang?No2085¢92.4¢$18+$1.47+$22
Dario Amodei arrested by December 31?No1992¢96.7¢$18+$0.88$0
Dario Amodei arrested by December 31?Yes5402.3¢3.4¢$18+$5.89+$0.26
Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?No2188¢79.5¢$17−$1.78$0
Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes3454¢49.5¢$17−$1.52$0
Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?No1497¢100¢$14+$0.41$0
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?No1391¢98.8¢$13+$1.01$0
Will Possible Love win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes2346¢5.4¢$13−$1.40$0
Mark Ruffalo as Hulk?No3845¢33¢$13−$4.55$0
Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?Yes1,3362.5¢0.8¢$11−$23+$13
Will Timothée Chalamet be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No1321¢81.5¢$10+$7.66$0
Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp?No1090¢90.5¢$9.05+$0.05−$0.70
Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond?Yes7680.6¢1.2¢$8.83+$4.36$0
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?No989¢96.7¢$8.79+$0.70$0
Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?No965¢96.6¢$8.77+$2.86$0
Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?No993¢99.9¢$8.56+$0.59−$8.16
Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange?Yes1079¢89¢$8.47+$0.95$0
Will Alejandro G. Iñárritu win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes1450¢5.5¢$7.97+$7.97$0
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No1832¢39.5¢$7.30+$1.39$0
Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?No714¢98.9¢$6.90+$5.92$0
Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31?Yes2507.8¢2.8¢$6.88−$13$0
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes1045¢50.5¢$5.15+$0.56$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?13¢450$5970%82Sharp
BUY NoWill The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?45.2¢452$20470%82Sharp
BUY NoWill there be fewer than 1 ChatGPT outage in September 2026?98.9¢221$21870%82Sharp
BUY NoWill Trump say "Migrant Criminal" this week?30¢153$4670%82Sharp
BUY NoWill "By Any Means" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?19.5¢699$13770%82Sharp
BUY YesJack Barton announced as next James Bond?12.1¢50$6.0570%82Sharp
BUY YesWill Trump say "Ballroom" this week?99¢463$45870%82Sharp
SELL YesTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?6.4¢60$3.8470%82Sharp
BUY YesWill Trump say "Eli Lilly" in September?78.4¢96$7670%82Sharp
BUY YesWill Trump say "Ballroom" this week?99¢120$11970%82Sharp
BUY NoWill there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in August 2026?99.9¢25$2570%82Sharp
BUY NoWill there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in August 2026?99.9¢25$2570%82Sharp
BUY NoWill there be exactly 5 ChatGPT outages in August 2026?99.9¢18$1870%82Sharp
BUY NoWill there be 6 or more ChatGPT outages in August 2026?99.9¢13$1370%82Sharp
BUY NoWill Edmilson Costa win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?99¢30$3070%82Sharp
BUY NoWill there be exactly 5 ChatGPT outages in August 2026?99.8¢105$10570%82Sharp
SELL YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?9¢201$1870%82Sharp
SELL YesWill Trump speak to Nicolás Maduro in August?0.7¢100$0.7070%82Sharp
BUY YesWill Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week?59¢31$1870%82Sharp
BUY YesRichard Madden announced as next James Bond?0.2¢662$1.3270%82Sharp