PnL all-time+$628vol $19.2k
PnL 30d−$4.26gains $1.00 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$1.74win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate64.8%adj 60.8% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$508cash n/a
Positions6 / 61open / all-time
Max drawdown−10.1%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 6mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$563below peak −$15Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
43/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale40
Adjusted win rateraw 64.8% · shrunk toward 50%52
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable60
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity90
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? · Noclosed−$73Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yesopen−$69Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19? · Yesclosed−$45Will the US strike Somalia next? · Noclosed−$34Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? · Yesclosed−$33
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | Yes | 192 | 52¢ | 100¢ | $192 | +$92 | $0 | |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? | No | 105 | 95¢ | 99.1¢ | $104 | +$4.30 | −$0.86 | |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | 20¢ | 100¢ | $100 | +$80 | $0 | |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June? | No | 100 | 96¢ | 100¢ | $100 | +$4.00 | $0 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 200 | 40¢ | 5.5¢ | $11 | −$69 | $0 | |
| Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Serie A league? | Yes | 100 | 7.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7.60 | $0 |
Recent trades
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