sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,701

0xa0f…1848

0xa0f…1848
WhaleSportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$3.21Mvol $57.4M
PnL 30d−$319kgains $139k · losses $256k
PnL 7d−$72.4kwin rate 7d 44.7%
Win rate43.2%adj 43.5% · 30d 43.2%
Open value$572kcash n/a
Positions252 / 6,313open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 1h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$2.95Mbelow peak −$3.10MOct 9

SharpScore inputs

24/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 43.2% · shrunk toward 50%9
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Thunder vs. HawksHawks142k92.7¢62.7¢$89.3k−$42.6k−$3,837
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?Yes149k31.1¢42.5¢$63.1k+$16.9k−$3.73
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?Yes125k17.5¢23.5¢$29.3k+$7,562−$66
US recession by end of 2026?Yes402k14.3¢6.5¢$26.1k−$31.3k−$71
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?Yes107k13.2¢23.3¢$24.9k+$10.8k$0
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes212k5.7¢9.8¢$20.7k+$8,524$0
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes164k14.8¢12.5¢$20.5k−$3,794$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes94.4k18.1¢19.9¢$18.7k+$1,606+$227
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes138k16.1¢9.5¢$13.1k−$9,028−$220
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Yes32.7k12.8¢39.1¢$12.8k+$8,621$0
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes114k12.9¢11.1¢$12.6k−$2,143$0
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes82.0k10.3¢11.5¢$9,432+$967$0
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes86.5k7.2¢9.9¢$8,518+$2,244$0
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No22.5k41¢35.5¢$7,977−$1,234$0
Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship?Yes48.4k16.1¢15.9¢$7,671−$104$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes8,87446.3¢84.5¢$7,499+$3,394+$546
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?Yes160k5.5¢4.3¢$6,866−$1,856−$19
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes17.9k48.2¢37.5¢$6,698−$1,913$0
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes18.5k52.2¢35.5¢$6,554−$3,076$0
Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship?Yes42.3k19.7¢15.5¢$6,552−$1,777$0
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes118k6.3¢5.4¢$6,383−$1,054−$2,367
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No15.8k40.6¢37.5¢$5,925−$496$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes32.1k25¢17.8¢$5,736−$2,282−$231
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes159k4.7¢3.4¢$5,338−$2,081$0
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes65.9k7.7¢7.5¢$4,946−$100$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes66.9k13.6¢7.4¢$4,917−$4,187+$121
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes200k4.9¢2.5¢$4,909−$4,997$0
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes11.3k31.9¢42.5¢$4,793+$1,199$0
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes78.3k3.3¢5.9¢$4,578+$1,995$0
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Yes10.1k17¢44.5¢$4,479+$2,765−$7.47
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes114k4.2¢3.8¢$4,280−$492$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No44.8k10.4¢9.5¢$4,260−$404$0
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes52.4k7.7¢7.9¢$4,113+$86$0
Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?Yes19.9k18.3¢20.5¢$4,076+$442+$25
Will Brock Purdy win the 2026 NFL MVP?Yes17.8k8.8¢20.7¢$3,674+$2,110+$22
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes120k1.9¢3.1¢$3,660+$1,434$0
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No9,62845.2¢37.5¢$3,610−$737$0
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No7,21531¢42.5¢$3,066+$832$0
Will Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Yes28.0k17.7¢10.5¢$2,940−$2,010−$8.59
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes6,06149.4¢48.4¢$2,936−$57+$36
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes35.9k15.1¢8.1¢$2,887−$2,541−$326
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes32.5k7.8¢8.5¢$2,763+$224$0
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes20.2k9.6¢12.5¢$2,525+$576$0
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes11.1k20.1¢22.5¢$2,498+$267$0
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?Yes41.5k5.5¢5.9¢$2,449+$174$0
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?Yes41.7k5.5¢5.8¢$2,417+$146$0
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No2,66589.3¢89.9¢$2,395+$15−$32
Will Miami Hurricanes win the 2027 CFP National Championship?Yes16.7k12.4¢13¢$2,162+$91$0
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes68.5k3.6¢3.1¢$2,089−$354$0
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Yes7,27831.6¢28.5¢$2,074−$227−$0.99
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No2,43951.9¢84.5¢$2,061+$795$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?No2,99367.8¢68.5¢$2,051+$20$0
Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP?Yes45.1k14.2¢4¢$1,782−$4,617−$52
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes62.5k4.1¢2.9¢$1,780−$810$0
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes71.3k4.6¢2.5¢$1,747−$1,524$0
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes1,91387.3¢90.5¢$1,731+$61$0
Will Ohio State Buckeyes win the 2027 CFP National Championship?Yes11.6k16.3¢13.5¢$1,572−$326$0
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes145k4.2¢1.1¢$1,525−$4,595$0
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes27.6k4.1¢5.1¢$1,422+$295$0
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes1,35372.9¢96.6¢$1,307+$320+$335
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes9,2955.8¢13.2¢$1,222+$684+$187
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes5,37828.9¢22.5¢$1,210−$346−$49
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes7,98417¢15.1¢$1,206−$154−$13
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes31.8k4.3¢3.8¢$1,193−$165−$5.54
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes4,10027.5¢26.5¢$1,086−$40$0
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes140k1.8¢0.8¢$1,047−$1,482$0
Will Dak Prescott win the 2026 NFL MVP?Yes22.6k8.4¢4.5¢$1,016−$878$0
Will LSU Tigers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?Yes18.9k10.2¢5.4¢$1,009−$912$0
Will Notre Dame Fighting Irish win the 2027 CFP National Championship?Yes8,64813¢11.5¢$994−$130$0
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026?Yes15.9k7.4¢6.2¢$977−$194$0
Will Florida Gators win the 2027 CFP National Championship?Yes41.4k6.8¢2.4¢$972−$1,848$0
Will Trevor Lawrence win the 2026 NFL MVP?Yes12.8k5¢7.6¢$966+$323$0
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes2,40143.2¢40.1¢$963−$74$0
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes75.3k0.6¢1.3¢$942+$516$0
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes43.1k2.1¢2.2¢$927+$21$0
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No1,59149.7¢57.5¢$915+$124$0
Will Alabama Crimson Tide win the 2027 CFP National Championship?Yes11.7k4.8¢7.8¢$906+$347$0
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes11.2k7.5¢7.1¢$793−$46−$6.01
Will Lamar Jackson win the 2026 NFL MVP?Yes14.0k12.2¢5.5¢$768−$941−$55
Will New York Liberty win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Yes12.1k14.8¢6.3¢$763−$1,028$0
Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL MVP?Yes6,7966.2¢10.4¢$707+$285+$17
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes5,13317.2¢13.5¢$693−$192−$3.31
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes4,54415.5¢15.1¢$684−$21$0
Kings vs. LakersLakers74387.9¢90.5¢$672+$19−$7.46
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes56.3k3.2¢1.2¢$647−$1,133$0
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes17.5k4.8¢3.5¢$612−$233$0
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No92260.8¢65.5¢$604+$43+$9.93
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026?Yes15.4k9.5¢3.8¢$579−$885$0
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin VacherotSebastian Baez2,00030¢28¢$560−$40$0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?No52997.3¢97.7¢$516+$1.84$0
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?No50387¢99.5¢$501+$62$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?No2,03025.6¢24.5¢$497−$23$0
Will Joe Burrow win the 2026 NFL MVP?Yes7,5239.5¢5.9¢$448−$267$0
Kings vs. LakersKings4,50424.5¢9.5¢$428−$678−$1,849
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes45.5k0.8¢0.9¢$386+$12−$167
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes66.9k1.1¢0.5¢$368−$345$0
Will Oregon Ducks win the 2027 CFP National Championship?Yes7,5485.9¢4.8¢$359−$83$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No82563.4¢42.2¢$348−$175$0
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes30.0k1¢1.2¢$345+$50−$124
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes7,4864.4¢4.6¢$344+$11−$1.83

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?43¢286$12343%24
BUY KingsKings vs. Lakers0.1¢269$0.2743%24
BUY YesWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?43¢288$12443%24
BUY KingsKings vs. Lakers2¢100$1.9743%24
BUY KingsKings vs. Lakers6¢16$0.9843%24
BUY KingsKings vs. Lakers8¢32$2.5643%24
BUY KingsKings vs. Lakers8¢18$1.4343%24
BUY KingsKings vs. Lakers8¢845$6843%24
BUY KingsKings vs. Lakers7.9¢389$3143%24
BUY KingsKings vs. Lakers8.7¢12$1.0443%24
BUY KingsKings vs. Lakers0.9¢125$1.1843%24
BUY KingsKings vs. Lakers0.9¢389$3.4043%24
SELL KingsKings vs. Lakers2¢316$6.3243%24
SELL KingsKings vs. Lakers3.3¢661$2243%24
SELL KingsKings vs. Lakers4¢88$3.5443%24
SELL KingsKings vs. Lakers4¢2,000$8043%24
SELL LakersKings vs. Lakers91¢11$1043%24
SELL LakersKings vs. Lakers91¢168$15343%24
SELL LakersKings vs. Lakers91¢5$4.5543%24
BUY KingsKings vs. Lakers9¢280$2543%24