sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,120

abidal

0xa11…63d5@halamanteeshi
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+SportPoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$1,529vol $147k
PnL 30d+$91gains $189 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$48win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate87.9%adj 84.0% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$2,833cash n/a
Positions29 / 203open / all-time
Max drawdown−83.8%of equity peak
Account age4.8ylast trade 9h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$1,552below peak −$3,098Oct 11

SharpScore inputs

61/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale45
Adjusted win rateraw 87.9% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable77
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity16

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 29

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes2,15688.1¢87.9¢$1,896−$3.63$0
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No12083¢93.5¢$113+$13$0
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?No10893¢98.2¢$106+$5.59$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes11587¢90.5¢$104+$4.02$0
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?No11289.1¢92.5¢$104+$3.82$0
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No10694¢97.2¢$103+$3.40$0
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes12779¢81.5¢$103+$3.16$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes11885¢85.5¢$101+$0.59$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes37027¢15.5¢$57−$43$0
Iran leadership change by December 31?No5886¢88.5¢$51+$1.45$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No3684¢83.5¢$30−$0.18$0
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes4468¢64.8¢$29−$1.41$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No2773¢66.5¢$18−$1.78$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes2482.2¢71.6¢$17−$2.58$0
Will Alexandre Pantoja become UFC champion in 2026?Yes2148.5¢1.1¢$0.23−$9.77$0
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceGermany95794¢0¢$0−$900−$1.62
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?No24781¢0¢$0−$200−$1.90
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)Khamzat Chimaev12083¢0¢$0−$100−$0.51
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card)Umar Nurmagomedov6182¢0¢$0−$50−$0.45
UFC 331: Gable Steveson vs. Sean Sharaf (Heavyweight, Prelims)Gable Steveson5493¢0¢$0−$50−$0.17
Exact Score: Alexander Zverev 3-0?Yes4743¢0¢$0−$20−$0.57
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?Yes4174¢0¢$0−$30−$0.23
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?Yes3066¢0¢$0−$20−$0.34
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes2775¢0¢$0−$20−$0.25
UFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)Terrance McKinney2387¢0¢$0−$20−$0.13
Celtic FC vs. LASK Linz: Team to AdvanceCeltic FC2066¢0¢$0−$13−$0.22
UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)Anthony Hernandez1662¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.19
France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5Under1693¢0¢$0−$15−$0.03
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to AdvanceColombia956¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.07

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?88¢1,705$1,50088%61
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?88.6¢452$40088%61
SELL NoClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?94.9¢58$5588%61
SELL NoRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?97.9¢641$62788%61
SELL NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?86¢159$13788%61
SELL YesWill Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-10-09?95¢127$12088%61
BUY YesWill Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-10-09?79¢63$5088%61
BUY YesWill Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-10-09?79¢63$5088%61
BUY NoRussia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?93¢108$10088%61
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?85¢118$10088%61
BUY NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?63¢159$10088%61
BUY YesWill Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?68¢44$3088%61
SELL NoNetanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?99.2¢516$51288%61
BUY Gable StevesonUFC 331: Gable Steveson vs. Sean Sharaf (Heavyweight, Prelims)93¢54$5088%61
BUY NoWill Joshua Van win by KO or TKO?69.4¢72$5088%61
BUY YesExact Score: Alexander Zverev 3-0?43¢47$2088%61
BUY Alexander ZverevUS Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton75¢67$5088%61
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?87¢115$10088%61
BUY Elena RybakinaUS Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina84.9¢59$5088%61
BUY Elena RybakinaUS Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina84¢60$5088%61