| Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon before 2027? | No | 359 | 76.2¢ | 91¢ | $327 | +$53 | −$9.08 | |
| Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027? | No | 290 | 83.9¢ | 82.3¢ | $239 | −$4.56 | −$99 | |
| Will fewer than 10 albums be ranked #1 on the Billboard 200 in 2026? | No | 214 | 83¢ | 100¢ | $214 | +$36 | −$19 | |
| Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31? | No | 228 | 75.5¢ | 90.3¢ | $206 | +$34 | −$14 | |
| Will Marty Tuley win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election? | No | 192 | 94¢ | 100¢ | $192 | +$11 | −$47 | |
| Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? | No | 198 | 61.6¢ | 93¢ | $184 | +$62 | +$2.27 | |
| Will Jeff Colyer win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election? | No | 164 | 77.6¢ | 100¢ | $164 | +$37 | +$50 | |
| Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | No | 164 | 83.7¢ | 99.3¢ | $163 | +$26 | −$56 | |
| Will Sabrina Carpenter be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? | No | 162 | 95.5¢ | 99.9¢ | $162 | +$7.07 | +$10 | |
| Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? | Yes | 195 | 37.5¢ | 80.5¢ | $157 | +$84 | +$39 | |
| Will Lovable announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 152 | 87.9¢ | 97¢ | $148 | +$14 | −$50 | |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027? | No | 154 | 78.4¢ | 90.6¢ | $139 | +$19 | −$24 | |
| Tom Lee charged by December 31? | No | 121 | 81.9¢ | 97.9¢ | $119 | +$19 | +$15 | |
| Will Craig Federighi be the next CEO of Apple? | No | 110 | 80.9¢ | 100¢ | $110 | +$21 | −$16 | |
| Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | No | 106 | 30.2¢ | 100¢ | $106 | +$74 | +$37 | |
| Will Solana Sierra be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | No | 106 | 96.8¢ | 100¢ | $106 | +$3.39 | +$2.26 | |
| Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 101 | 71¢ | 95¢ | $96 | +$24 | −$25 | |
| Will Greg Joswiak be the next CEO of Apple? | No | 94 | 94.6¢ | 100¢ | $94 | +$5.13 | +$17 | |
| Will 60 or more of senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee? | No | 79 | 87.7¢ | 100¢ | $79 | +$9.80 | −$19 | |
| Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 73 | 75.1¢ | 95.2¢ | $70 | +$15 | −$6.13 | |
| Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? | No | 63 | 71.2¢ | 93.8¢ | $59 | +$14 | −$13 | |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027? | No | 42 | 94¢ | 98.7¢ | $42 | +$1.97 | −$44 | |
| Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend? | Avengers: Doomsday | 37 | 83.9¢ | 97.2¢ | $36 | +$4.94 | −$26 | |
| Will Perplexity AI announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 18 | 89¢ | 95.5¢ | $18 | +$1.20 | −$19 | |
| Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? | Yes | 203 | 27.5¢ | 8¢ | $16 | −$40 | +$19 | |
| Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026? | Yes | 330 | 11.5¢ | 4.5¢ | $15 | −$23 | +$107 | |
| Will Consensys IPO by September 30 2026? | No | 14 | 40.5¢ | 100¢ | $14 | +$8.58 | +$38 | |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027? | Yes | 117 | 21.7¢ | 9¢ | $11 | −$15 | +$24 | |
| Will Greece recognize Palestine before 2027? | Yes | 177 | 25.8¢ | 5.5¢ | $9.64 | −$36 | +$79 | |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? | No | 6 | 94¢ | 99¢ | $5.54 | +$0.28 | $0 | |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 33 | 49.4¢ | 15.5¢ | $5.15 | −$11 | −$29 | |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 5 | 66.7¢ | 100¢ | $5.14 | +$1.71 | $0 | |
| Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026? | Yes | 141 | 64.2¢ | 3.2¢ | $4.44 | −$86 | +$100 | |
| Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 4 | 94.7¢ | 100¢ | $3.60 | +$0.19 | $0 | |
| Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 3 | 93.9¢ | 100¢ | $3.30 | +$0.20 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 3 | 91.9¢ | 100¢ | $3.30 | +$0.27 | $0 | |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 3 | 89.6¢ | 100¢ | $3.20 | +$0.33 | $0 | |
| Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30? | No | 3 | 97¢ | 100¢ | $2.90 | +$0.09 | $0 | |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 3 | 93¢ | 100¢ | $2.80 | +$0.20 | $0 | |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | 3 | 68.9¢ | 100¢ | $2.80 | +$0.87 | $0 | |
| Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 3 | 99¢ | 100¢ | $2.80 | +$0.03 | $0 | |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 3 | 91.1¢ | 82.3¢ | $2.71 | −$0.29 | $0 | |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | No | 3 | 78.2¢ | 100¢ | $2.70 | +$0.59 | $0 | |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 3 | 54.9¢ | 100¢ | $2.70 | +$1.22 | $0 | |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 3 | 93.8¢ | 100¢ | $2.60 | +$0.16 | $0 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 3 | 89.7¢ | 97.8¢ | $2.54 | +$0.21 | $0 | |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 2 | 93.5¢ | 100¢ | $2.31 | +$0.15 | $0 | |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 2 | 93.5¢ | 100¢ | $2.30 | +$0.15 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 2 | 93.7¢ | 99.4¢ | $2.29 | +$0.13 | $0 | |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 2 | 94¢ | 100¢ | $2.20 | +$0.13 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | No | 2 | 92.1¢ | 100¢ | $2.20 | +$0.17 | $0 | |
| Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election? | No | 2 | 95.8¢ | 100¢ | $2.20 | +$0.09 | $0 | |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 3 | 76.4¢ | 80.2¢ | $2.08 | +$0.10 | $0 | |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 2 | 94.7¢ | 94.1¢ | $2.07 | −$0.01 | $0 | |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 2 | 88.9¢ | 97.8¢ | $2.05 | +$0.19 | $0 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2 | 90.8¢ | 100¢ | $2.00 | +$0.18 | $0 | |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 2 | 80.4¢ | 100¢ | $1.90 | +$0.37 | $0 | |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 2 | 85.3¢ | 85.3¢ | $1.88 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 2 | 90.5¢ | 100¢ | $1.80 | +$0.17 | $0 | |
| Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 2 | 99¢ | 99.9¢ | $1.80 | +$0.02 | $0 | |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 2 | 92.2¢ | 92.2¢ | $1.75 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 2 | 77.7¢ | 100¢ | $1.71 | +$0.38 | $0 | |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? | No | 2 | 98¢ | 100¢ | $1.70 | +$0.03 | $0 | |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 2 | 94.1¢ | 100¢ | $1.70 | +$0.10 | $0 | |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 2 | 99¢ | 99.9¢ | $1.70 | +$0.02 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 2 | 74.7¢ | 97.6¢ | $1.66 | +$0.39 | $0 | |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 2 | 92.2¢ | 97¢ | $1.65 | +$0.08 | $0 | |
| Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 2 | 99¢ | 100¢ | $1.60 | +$0.02 | $0 | |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 2 | 91¢ | 99.9¢ | $1.60 | +$0.14 | $0 | |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | No | 2 | 94.3¢ | 98.9¢ | $1.58 | +$0.07 | $0 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 2 | 86.1¢ | 96.8¢ | $1.55 | +$0.17 | $0 | |
| Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | No | 2 | 93.6¢ | 100¢ | $1.50 | +$0.10 | $0 | |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 2 | 88.3¢ | 100¢ | $1.50 | +$0.17 | $0 | |
| Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | No | 2 | 73.7¢ | 100¢ | $1.50 | +$0.40 | $0 | |
| Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 2 | 99¢ | 99.9¢ | $1.50 | +$0.01 | $0 | |
| Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 2 | 99¢ | 99.7¢ | $1.49 | +$0.01 | $0 | |
| Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 2 | 99¢ | 99.4¢ | $1.49 | +$0.01 | $0 | |
| SBF released from custody in 2026? | No | 2 | 88¢ | 98.7¢ | $1.48 | +$0.16 | $0 | |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 2 | 92¢ | 97.2¢ | $1.47 | +$0.08 | $0 | |
| Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 2 | 74.8¢ | 94.5¢ | $1.42 | +$0.30 | $0 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 1 | 81.4¢ | 100¢ | $1.40 | +$0.26 | $0 | |
| Will David Luna Sánchez win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | No | 1 | 99¢ | 100¢ | $1.40 | +$0.01 | $0 | |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6? | No | 1 | 58.4¢ | 100¢ | $1.40 | +$0.58 | $0 | |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 1 | 98¢ | 100¢ | $1.40 | +$0.03 | $0 | |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 1 | 92.2¢ | 100¢ | $1.40 | +$0.11 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1 | 94.6¢ | 99.6¢ | $1.39 | +$0.07 | $0 | |
| Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 2 | 66.4¢ | 76.5¢ | $1.38 | +$0.18 | $0 | |
| Will Germany strike Iran by March 31? | No | 1 | 92.7¢ | 100¢ | $1.30 | +$0.09 | $0 | |
| Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30? | No | 1 | 94¢ | 100¢ | $1.30 | +$0.08 | $0 | |
| Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 1 | 56¢ | 100¢ | $1.30 | +$0.57 | $0 | |
| Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 1 | 93.3¢ | 98.9¢ | $1.28 | +$0.07 | $0 | |
| Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | 1 | 89¢ | 100¢ | $1.20 | +$0.13 | $0 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1 | 82.6¢ | 100¢ | $1.15 | +$0.20 | $0 | |
| Will Trump launch a coin by December 31? | No | 1 | 76.7¢ | 93¢ | $1.12 | +$0.20 | $0 | |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 1 | 83.5¢ | 100¢ | $1.10 | +$0.18 | $0 | |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 1 | 94.4¢ | 100¢ | $1.10 | +$0.06 | $0 | |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | No | 1 | 95.7¢ | 100¢ | $1.10 | +$0.05 | $0 | |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 1 | 89.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $1.10 | +$0.12 | $0 | |
| Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 1 | 99¢ | 99.9¢ | $1.10 | +$0.01 | $0 | |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 2 | 54.3¢ | 51.6¢ | $1.03 | −$0.05 | $0 | |